
Frank Morales is a Boeing Associate Technical Fellow /Technical Lead for Cloud-Interoperability Native Services at Boeing Global Services, Digital Solutions, and Analytics.
Thinkers360 Top Voices 2025
#1 Thought Leader: Open Source
#5 Thought Leader: Predictive Analytics
#6 Thought Leader: Agentic AI
#8 Thought Leader: Generative AI
#23 Thought Leader: Cryptocurrency
Top 100 Thought Leader: Agile, Artificial Intelligence, Healthcare, IT Strategy
In 1989, he received both B. Eng. and M. Eng. degrees in computer engineering, Avionics, and Artificial Intelligence with distinction from the Institute of Civil Aviation Engineers in Kyiv, Ukraine. He then became a 2001 senior member of IEEE. https://news.ieee.ca/2002/jan2002.htm#smupdates
Frank is a devout inventor, author, and speaker. He holds three US patents (7,092,748, 10,467,910, 10,522,045). He has published several technical peer-reviewed papers in prestigious journals such as Nature and authored a book chapter. He was a speaker at the 59th AGIFORS Annual Symposium with the theme entitled "Multi-Agent Systemic Approach to Support Dynamic Airline Operations based on Cloud Computing." His Google Scholar is here: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=IlTdC5IAAAAJ&hl=en
He received several individual awards for his accomplishments with The Boeing Co. He also earned accreditation from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in the Sloan Executive Program Field of Study: Technology Strategies and Leadership.
He is a highly commended, analytical, and seasoned professional with a broad background in software and systems architecture, system integration, and project management. He possesses hands-on experience in business solutions architecture in the biomedical technology and aerospace industries. Demonstrate top-notch organizational skills in optimizing strategies to bridge the technical and business worlds while integrating technical solutions toward business problem resolutions.
I love the open-source community, and my GitHub repository for Machine/Deep Learning and AI is here:
https://github.com/frank-morales2020/MLxDL
He speaks fluent Spanish, Russian, and English.
Available For: Advising, Authoring, Consulting, Influencing, Speaking
Travels From: Montreal, Canada
Speaking Topics: Predictive Analytics & Machine Learning, Cloud Computing & Open Source, Generative AI
| FRANK MORALES | Points |
|---|---|
| Academic | 20 |
| Author | 428 |
| Influencer | 67 |
| Speaker | 3 |
| Entrepreneur | 150 |
| Total | 668 |
Points based upon Thinkers360 patent-pending algorithm.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Predictive Analytics
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Program Certificate - Executive Certificate in Management and Leadership
Credential ID https://www.linkedin.com/in/frank-morales1964/overlay/1635475339334/single-media-viewer/?profileId=A
Tags: Agentic AI, AI, Open Source
Tags: Agentic AI, AI, Generative AI
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Patent Number 10467910 and United States Patent 10522045
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Patent Number United States Patent 7092748
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Multi-Agent Systemic Approach to Support Dynamic Airline Operations based on Cloud Computing
Tags: Agentic AI, AI, Predictive Analytics
Date : November 03, 2025
Date : November 03, 2025
The Multi-Level Architecture of Agentic RAG: A New Paradigm for Reliable AI
The journey of Large Language Models (LLMs) from impressive research feats to enterprise-grade tools has been marked by a fundamental challenge: bridging the gap between vast linguistic knowledge and verifiable, real-time action. Early generations of LLMs, despite their fluency, were limited by static training data and a tendency to "hallucinate" facts. This critical deficiency motivated an architectural shift. The answer lay not in building larger models, but in augmenting them with external, searchable knowledge and complex decision-making capabilities. This imperative gave rise to the Agentic RAG (Retrieval-Augmented Generation) Tech Stack, a nine-level architecture that transforms inert models into reliable, autonomous agents. Ranging from Level 0 (Infrastructure) to Level 8 (Governance), this stack reveals that successful, trustworthy AI is fundamentally an engineering challenge—one that requires a cohesive, multi-level system to deliver grounded intelligence and measurable integrity.
To understand this architectural challenge, the stack is broken down into nine essential levels:
Level 8: Safety & Governance
Focus: Ensuring ethical, safe, and compliant deployment.
Tools: Langfuse, arize, Guardrails AI, NELM.
Level 7: Memory & Context Management
Focus: Managing conversation history and context for agents.
Tools: Letta, mem0, zep, chroma.
Level 6: Data Ingestion & Extraction
Focus: Getting data into a usable format, often for embedding and storage.
Tools: Scrapy, Beautiful Soup, Apache Tika.
Level 5: Embedding Models
Focus: Transforming data (text, images, etc.) into numerical vectors.
Tools: OpenAI, spacy, cohere, Hugging Face.
Level 4: Vector Databases
Focus: Storing and indexing the numerical vectors for fast retrieval.
Tools: Chroma, Pinecone, Milvus, Redis, pgvector.
Level 3: Orchestration Frameworks
Focus: Managing the workflow and logic between the different components (retrieval, generation, memory).
Tools: LangChain, DSPy, Haystack, LiteLLM.
Level 2: Foundation Models
Focus: The core Large Language Models (LLMs) used for generation.
Tools: Gemini 2.5 Pro, Mistral AI, Claude 3, LLaMA 4. Deepseek,
Level 1: Evaluation & Monitoring
Focus: Testing model performance, identifying bias, and tracking usage.
Tools: LangSmith, mflow, aragas, Fairlearn, Holistic AI.
Level 0: Deployment & Infrastructure
Focus: The platforms and services used to host and run the entire stack.
Tools: Groq, together.ai, Modal, Replicate.
At the core of the stack lies the essential grounding mechanism. This begins with Level 2: Foundation Models (e.g., Gemini 2.5 Pro, Claude), which are large neural networks that provide the core reasoning capability. Crucially, these models are made current and domain-specific by integrating with Level 5: Embedding Models and Level 4: Vector Databases (like Pinecone or Chroma). The Embedding Models transform proprietary or external data into numerical vectors, which the Vector Databases store and index for rapid, semantic similarity search. This integration is the essence of RAG, ensuring the LLM is factually grounded in verifiable information, mitigating the pervasive problem of hallucination.
Building upon this grounded core is the intelligence and control layer, which is critical for agentic behaviour. Level 3: Orchestration Frameworks (such as LangChain or DSPy) serve as the central nervous system, defining the sequence of actions—deciding when to search the vector database, when to call an external tool, or when to generate a response. This orchestration requires clean and relevant data, handled by Level 6: Data Ingestion & Extraction tools (like Apache Tika), and a persistent working memory, provided by Level 7: Memory & Context Management. These memory systems are crucial for maintaining conversational coherence, enabling agents to maintain state and engage in multi-step planning and decision-making.
Finally, the integrity and viability of the entire system are determined by the MLOps and regulatory layers at the bottom and top of the stack. Level 0: Deployment & Infrastructure ensures apparatus as a whole—from the Vector Database to the LLM endpoints—is hosted efficiently and scalably. More critical for production are Levels 1: Evaluation & Monitoring (e.g., LangSmith, Weights & Biases), which continuously measure metrics such as retrieval accuracy and output fairness, and Level 8: Safety & Governance. This top layer, utilizing tools like Guardrails AI, enforces guardrails against harmful or non-compliant outputs, transforming a powerful but unconstrained model into a compliant, enterprise-grade asset.
Ultimately, the Agentic RAG Tech Stack signifies the end of the "model-only" era in AI development. The nine essential levels, working in concert—from the factual grounding of RAG (Levels 4 and 5) to the autonomous control of Orchestration (Level 3) and the ethical mandates of Governance (Level 8)—demonstrate that power alone is insufficient. Actual impact requires reliability, verifiability, and oversight. This sophisticated architecture has transformed the Large Language Model from a powerful oracle into a trustworthy, accountable team member, paving the way for the age of autonomous agents that can be safely and effectively deployed across every industry.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Open Source
The Architecture of Intelligent Systems: A Compilation on JEPA, PDLM, and the Future of AI Reasoning
The integration of Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) and Predictive Learning in Dynamic Models (PDLM) represents a paradigm shift in artificial intelligence, bridging the gap between traditional neural networks and sophisticated reasoning capabilities. Across six comprehensive explorations, these architectures emerge as foundational elements in the evolution of AI systems, from flight planning and cryptocurrency forecasting to the pursuit of artificial general intelligence. This compilation synthesizes insights from cutting-edge research and practical implementations that demonstrate how JEPA and PDLM are reshaping AI's capabilities.
At its core, JEPA represents a breakthrough in how AI systems process and predict complex patterns. As explored in "The Advancing Frontier of AI: Insights into Joint Embedding Predictive Architectures," JEPA moves beyond traditional predictive models by learning representations that capture the essential structure of data while discarding irrelevant details. This architecture enables systems to build internal models of the world that are both efficient and robust, capable of handling the uncertainty and complexity of real-world environments.
The significance of JEPA lies in its ability to learn hierarchical representations without requiring massive labelled datasets. By learning to predict representations rather than pixel-level details, JEPA systems develop a more sophisticated understanding of underlying patterns and relationships. This approach proves particularly valuable in domains where data is complex and multidimensional, such as visual understanding, temporal forecasting, and complex system modelling.
The application of JEPA and PDLM in flight planning demonstrates the practical power of these architectures. In "The Integrated AI Agent for Flight Planning: A Gemini 2.5 Perspective with JEPA and PLDM" and its companion piece "Gemini 2.5 and PLDM: An AI Agent for Intelligent Flight Planning in the Latent Space," we see how these technologies enable sophisticated decision-making in critical environments.
Flight planning provides an ideal testbed for advanced AI architectures, given its complex constraints: weather patterns, air traffic control, fuel efficiency, safety regulations, and dynamic routing requirements. JEPA's representation learning capabilities allow these systems to understand the complex relationships between multiple variables, while PDLM enables adaptive planning in response to changing conditions.
The integration with Gemini 2.5 demonstrates how large language models can leverage JEPA's structural understanding to generate more intelligent and context-aware flight plans. By operating in latent spaces, these systems can consider countless potential scenarios and optimize routes based on multidimensional constraints that would overwhelm traditional planning systems.
The financial markets, particularly cryptocurrency trading, present another domain where JEPA architectures show remarkable promise. "The LLM-JEPA Advantage: Fine-Tuning Mistral-7B for Cost-Efficient, High-Abstract Cryptocurrency Forecasting" and "Pioneering Abstract Representation Learning for Cryptocurrency Forecasting: A Mistral LLM-JEPA" explore how these systems can identify complex patterns in highly volatile and noisy financial data.
Cryptocurrency markets operate 24/7 with massive data streams, complex interrelationships between assets, and influence from diverse factors including social sentiment, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. JEPA's ability to learn abstract representations enables these systems to identify meaningful patterns amid noise, distinguishing random fluctuations from significant trend changes.
The combination with Mistral-7B demonstrates how small language models can be enhanced with JEPA's predictive capabilities to create cost-efficient yet highly sophisticated forecasting systems. This approach represents a significant advancement over traditional technical analysis, incorporating both quantitative data and qualitative factors into a unified predictive framework.
"The Architecture of Tomorrow's Mind: Superintelligence Through SLMs, Agentic AI, and JEPA" presents perhaps the most ambitious vision for these technologies. Here, JEPA emerges as a critical component in the development of systems that approach artificial general intelligence.
The paper argues that the path to superintelligence lies not in simply scaling existing architectures, but in developing more efficient and capable reasoning systems. JEPA's representation learning capabilities, combined with small language models (SLMs) and agentic AI frameworks, create a foundation for systems that can reason, adapt, and learn with human-like efficiency.
This approach addresses one of the fundamental challenges in AI development: the trade-off between capability and computational efficiency. By focusing on better architectures rather than simply larger models, JEPA-based systems promise to make advanced AI capabilities more accessible and deployable across diverse applications.
Across these six articles, a consistent theme emerges: the power of integration. JEPA and PDLM don't operate in isolation but enhance other AI technologies. When combined with large language models, they provide the structural understanding that pure language models lack. When integrated with reinforcement learning systems, they enable more efficient exploration and faster adaptation.
The flight planning applications show how JEPA can ground language models in real-world constraints, preventing hallucinations and ensuring practical feasibility. The cryptocurrency forecasting research demonstrates how JEPA can enhance financial analysis by providing a structural understanding of market dynamics. And the exploration of superintelligence reveals how these architectures might form the foundation for the next generation of AI systems.
Despite their promise, JEPA and PDLM architectures face significant challenges. The complexity of training these systems requires sophisticated optimization techniques and careful hyperparameter tuning. The integration with existing AI systems demands thoughtful architectural design to ensure compatibility and performance.
Future research directions include developing more efficient training methods, exploring new domains for application, and improving the interpretability of these systems. As these architectures mature, we can expect to see them applied to increasingly complex problems, from scientific discovery to large-scale system optimization.
The compilation of these six articles reveals JEPA and PDLM as transformative architectures in the AI landscape. From practical applications in flight planning and financial forecasting to foundational roles in the pursuit of artificial general intelligence, these technologies represent a significant advancement in how AI systems understand and interact with complex environments.
As research continues to refine these architectures and explore new applications, we can anticipate increasingly sophisticated AI systems capable of reasoning, adaptation, and understanding that approaches human-level capabilities. The integration of JEPA and PDLM with other AI technologies promises to unlock new possibilities across domains, making intelligent systems more capable, efficient, and widely applicable.
The journey toward knowledgeable systems continues, and JEPA and PDLM have emerged as critical waypoints on this path, offering both practical solutions to current challenges and a vision of what future AI systems might achieve.
Tags: Agentic AI, Cryptocurrency, Generative AI
The Hybrid AGI Blueprint: A Modular Pathway to General Intelligence in Safety-Critical Domains
The pursuit of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)—a machine capable of matching or exceeding human intellectual capabilities across diverse tasks—began over half a century ago, famously formalized at the 1956 Dartmouth workshop. Early efforts focused primarily on symbolic reasoning and logic. However, modern research, influenced by pioneers like Yann LeCun, acknowledges that accurate general intelligence must be embodied and predictive, rooted in the ability to understand and model the continuous physics of the real world. This requires bridging the gap between abstract thought and raw sensory data.
The motivation for building such robust systems is not abstract theory; it is a necessity in safety-critical domains. In fields where failure is catastrophic, such as controlling an aircraft or making a clinical diagnosis, AI must exhibit not just performance, but reliability, foresight, and ethical adherence. The monolithic, single-model approach of the past has proven insufficient for these complex demands. What is required is a comprehensive cognitive architecture that allows specialized modules to collaborate, creating a synergistic "mind" that is both highly performant and rigorously verifiable.
The following analysis presents the Hybrid AGI Blueprint, demonstrating this modular, multi-agent approach across two distinct, high-stakes environments: dynamic flight planning and life-clinical-decision-making.
The two conceptual AGI demonstration codes employ distinct models but share a common modular framework for integrating perception, reasoning, and safety.
1. Aviation AGI Demo Code (Dynamic Planning and Predictive Modelling)
This code implements a Hybrid AI Agent for Flight Planning, primarily demonstrating the ability to perceive a dynamic environment, model its causality, and perform constrained, predictive Planning.
2. Medical AGI Demo Code (Multimodal Diagnostic Reasoning and Safety Adherence)
This code implements a Multi-Agent System for Clinical Diagnostic Reasoning, focusing on synthesizing multimodal data (image and text) and ensuring the final output adheres to non-negotiable safety and clinical standards through rigorous internal validation.
The foundational design of the Hybrid AGI Blueprint rests on five pillars, initially proposed by researchers in the field to outline the components needed to achieve human-level intelligence. The mapping below illustrates how each abstract pillar is realized through concrete components in the two safety-critical domains.
|
AGI Pillar |
Definition |
Aviation Demo Mapping |
Medical Demo Mapping |
|
Pillar 1: World Models |
Systems that can build internal, predictive models of the world, distinguishing between text-based reasoning and complex physical reality. |
Implemented by the V-JEPA/CLIP system, extracting visual features from video (raw reality) and classifying the observed flight phase. |
Implemented by the I-JEPA (Conceptual) extractor, which turns raw multimodal images into "Grounded Perception Facts." |
|
Pillar 2: Autonomous Causal Learning |
The capacity to discover and utilize the underlying causal structure of a system, rather than just memorizing correlations. |
Implemented by the PLDM, explicitly trained on real-world TartanAviation trajectories to learn the transition function |
Implemented implicitly by forcing the Qwen3-VL-8B LLM to perform predictive analysis of complex outcomes (necrosis risk) based on its synthesized clinical knowledge. |
|
Pillar 3: Modular Systems (Planning) |
Systems that can reason, plan, and act coherently by efficiently managing resources (energy, time) and designing toward a verifiable goal state. |
Demonstrated by the Total Cost Function and the planning loop, which optimizes for goal proximity while minimizing fuel cost and resource expenditure. |
Demonstrated by the LLM's output synthesizing a complete, multi-stage plan (Diagnosis, Acute Management, Long-Term Strategy) for the patient. |
|
Pillar 4: Embodied Salience & Ethics |
The ability to be grounded in sensory experience, focus on what truly matters, and align ethically with human safety values. |
Implemented by integrating salience (weather data) and an Ethical Boundary Latent Vector directly into the mathematical cost function, penalizing unsafe actions. |
Implemented by the Validation Agent (Guardian), which enforces non-negotiable adherence to clinical safety standards (NEJM-grade facts). |
|
Pillar 5: Cognitive World Models (Hybrid Integration) |
The capability to combine lower-level, continuous perception with abstract, symbolic reasoning (analog-digital bridge) to achieve general problem-solving. |
The integration of continuous V-JEPA output (analog) with the symbolic DeepSeek LLM (digital/abstract reasoning) for operational assessment. |
The integration of the raw CT image (analog) with the structured, corrective linguistic input from the Prompt Engineer Agent to achieve convergence on a definitive clinical truth. |
Both demonstrations integrate low-level predictive models and high-level cognitive models. The core challenge is solved through an **Analog-Digital Integration Layer** that condenses continuous sensory data into discrete, verifiable facts. The Aviation PLDM learns physics-based transitions from real-world data. The medical LLM learns to predict complex outcomes (e.g., necrosis) based on evidence and clinical knowledge, demonstrating predictive reasoning.
The crucial convergence between the two demos is their non-negotiable adherence to safety and ethical constraints.
* Aviation enforces constraints mathematically using a Total Cost Function during its planning loop, penalizing factors like high fuel consumption and ethical deviations.
* Medicine implements constraints through an explicit, linguistic, multi-agent feedback loop. The Validation Agent acts as the Guardian, and the Prompt Engineer Agent corrects the input, forcing the primary model to converge on a safe clinical protocol.
These demos move beyond narrow AI by integrating multiple cognitive functions into a single, cohesive, goal-driven system.
1. Generalization and Complexity in Safety-Critical Domains* Aviation (Flight Planning): Requires real-time predictive Planning based on dynamic causal models.
* Medicine (Clinical Decision-Making): Requires synthesizing multimodal data, abstract reasoning, and adhering to ethical/safety constraints.
2. The Modular, Multi-Agent Architecture
Both systems adopt a modular, multi-agent approach.
|
Architectural Feature |
Aviation Demo |
Medical Demo |
AGI Pillar |
|
Perception/Grounding |
Uses V-JEPA/CLIP features to generate discrete labels ("airplane landing"). |
Uses I-JEPA (conceptual) to extract definitive "Grounded Perception Facts". |
World Models & Integration (Pillars 1 & 5) |
|
Prediction/Causality |
Uses a PLDM trained on TartanAviation trajectories to forecast the next state given an action. |
Uses the Qwen3-VL-8B to perform predictive analysis of complications (e.g., necrosis/perforation risk) based on NEJM-grade facts. |
Causal Structure & Prediction (Pillar 2) |
|
Constraint/Safety |
Uses a Total Cost Function that incorporates ethical and salient variables (e.g., fuel cost, ethical boundary deviation) to guide Planning. |
Uses the Validation Agent and Prompt Engineer Agent in a feedback loop to force clinical and safety-critical adherence. |
Ethical & Modular Systems (Pillars 3 & 4) |
|
Abstract Reasoning |
Uses the DeepSeek LLM to translate technical output into a human-readable "operational assessment". |
Uses the Qwen3-VL-8B to synthesize a full clinical report, differential diagnosis, and long-term strategy. |
Cognitive World Models (Pillar 5) |
The Hybrid AGI Blueprint validates Yann LeCun's vision for AMI —the successor to LLMs. The design principles address LLM deficiencies by illustrating AMI's core tenets:
* Machines that Understand Physics: The Aviation demo's PLDM learns the continuous effects of actions on state variables. The Medical demo's LLM performs causal medical reasoning, predicting physical consequences like perforation or necrosis.
* AI that Learns from Observation and Experimentation: The Medical demo's iterative Constraint Loop forces the system to _experiment_ and learn through experience until its output aligns with clinical ground truth. The Aviation demo's MPPI planning loop serves as a rapid-experimentation system, evaluating hundreds of simulated actions to find the optimal path.
* Systems that Can Remember, Reason, and Plan Over Time: The perception layer gathers the "observation," the causal model performs planning over a time horizon, and the multi-agent system uses constraints to guide reasoning. The Medical system constructs a long-term management strategy, demonstrating deep temporal Planning.
This architecture moves AI from recognizing text patterns to building an understanding of grounded, high-stakes reality.
The simultaneous realization of these two distinct domain demos—from piloting conceptual flight paths to navigating life-critical clinical protocols—affirms a fundamental shift in the pursuit of AGI. This Hybrid AGI Blueprint is a decisive technical response to the core critiques levelled against Large Language Models by figures such as Yann LeCun.
The future of general intelligence lies not merely in human-level performance, but in deployable, trustworthy intelligence built to uphold the highest standards of safety in the complex reality of our world. This modular, hybrid architecture provides the practical, verifiable roadmap for achieving Advanced Machine Intelligence.
Tags: Generative AI, Open Source, Agentic AI
Agentic Workflows and Clinical Accuracy: Qwen3-VL-8B-Thinking in Multimodal Medical Diagnosis
The aspiration to integrate intelligent systems into medicine is as old as the digital age itself, dating back to early expert systems such as MYCIN and Internist. While such systems were rule-based and brittle, the emergence of Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) marks a paradigm shift, offering the potential to process the complexity inherent in real-world clinical practice. Today, AI must move beyond simple image classification to synthesize diverse data streams—clinical history, laboratory results, and complex imaging—to offer verifiable diagnostic and management strategies. This endeavour is not merely academic; it is motivational, driven by the need to support clinicians in high-stakes scenarios where fragmented data can lead to missed diagnoses or treatment delays. This paper evaluates the capabilities of the Qwen3-VL-8B-Thinking model in performing a complex, multimodal medical diagnosis, specifically examining the trade-offs between instantaneous accuracy and the robust, verifiable precision achieved through an iterative agentic workflow.
The development of LMMs capable of synthesizing visual evidence (e.g., imaging) with extensive text data (e.g., clinical history) is foundational to future clinical informatics. The Qwen3-VL-8B-Thinking model was tested in a high-stakes diagnostic scenario—a complex case of stercoral colitis—to evaluate its consistency and accuracy under both single-pass and iterative agentic workflows. The results demonstrate the model’s robust reasoning capabilities, highlighting its proficiency in handling nuanced medical data and its capacity to be systematically guided toward precise, verifiable clinical outputs.
This experiment was meticulously structured around a specific, published clinical case study: "Stercoral Colitis," authored by Aleksandra Bajer, B.S., and Erica Levine, M.D., and published in the New England Journal of Medicine (N Engl J Med 2025; 393: e23) on October 15, 2025 (DOI: 10.1056/NEJMicm2502616). This authoritative paper provided the ground truth necessary to design a high-fidelity benchmark for the Qwen3-VL model.
The case involves a 23-year-old man with autism spectrum disorder and chronic constipation. This unique combination of risk factors elevates the case's complexity beyond routine impaction. The paper detailed:
Specific Imaging Findings: Computed Tomography (CT) scans revealing colonic distention, mural thickening, and perirectal fat stranding—the visual evidence provided to the model.
Required Acute Management: Fecal disimpaction via flexible sigmoidoscopy.
Comprehensive Long-Term Management: The finding of puborectalis muscular dysfunction required follow-up with anorectal manometry and pelvic-floor physical therapy.
These five critical elements (Diagnosis, Imaging Findings, Acute Procedure, Long-Term Assessment, and Long-Term Therapy) formed the non-negotiable checklist for the Validation Agent in the iterative workflow. The difficulty of the task lies not just in diagnosis, but in producing this comprehensive, multi-stage management plan that integrates acute care with chronic neurological causes.
The experiment employed two distinct methodologies, each implemented in Python code to interact with the Qwen-VL-8B-Thinking model via the OpenRouter API.
This workflow serves as the efficiency benchmark. It is direct, simulating a human clinician providing a single, comprehensive request to the model:
Structure: A single function call containing all inputs: the CT images (encoded as Base64 data), the clinical vignette, and an exhaustive prompt detailing the required diagnostic elements (e.g., rationale, differential diagnoses, acute intervention, and long-term management).
Result: The model delivers one, unassisted output. The success of this approach hinges entirely on the clarity of the initial prompt and the model’s immediate reasoning capacity.
This workflow serves as the robustness benchmark, simulating a multi-stage review process designed to enforce specific clinical precision. It is built around three specialized, interacting Python classes (agents):
Image Analysis Agent: This initial agent's sole task is to describe the raw, observable findings from the CT images (e.g., "Colon distention," "Increased colon wall thickness," "Pericolonic fat stranding") without drawing clinical conclusions. This ensures the primary model grounds its subsequent output in concrete visual evidence.
Prompt Engineer Agent: This agent manages the iterative flow. For each loop, it updates the prompt by incorporating the image findings and, critically, integrates the specific negative feedback received from the Validation Agent. This targets the model's refinement (e.g., forcing the use of the termrequiringoral Colitis" instead of a generalized term).
Validation Agent: This is the gatekeeper. It contains a fixed set of five non-negotiable clinical criteria (Diagnosis, Acute Procedure, Long-Term Assessment, Long-Term Therapy, and Complications). To overcome the rigidity issues of the initial runs, this agent uses Regular Expressions for flexible but specific semantic checking (e.g., accepting flexible sigmoidoscopy or endoscopic removal). If any criterion is not met, the loop continues; only perfect compliance achieves convergence.
This modular, iterative design was essential for proving that the Qwen3-VL model could be systematically steered to align with the precise, detailed requirements of the authoritative medical literature.
The model's ability to interpret the three-part CT scan (coronal, sagittal, and axial views) alongside the critical clinical vignette (23-year-old male, autism spectrum disorder, chronic constipation) was highly reliable across all experimental runs:
Multimodal Synthesis: Qwen3-VL-8B-Thinking consistently linked the visual findings (colonic distention, soft tissue density of impacted stool, wall thickening, and perirectal fat stranding) to the clinical context. It correctly deduced that the patient's history of chronic constipation, exacerbated by ASD-related behavioural factors, was the root cause of the acute condition.
Diagnostic Accuracy: The model maintained a high level of diagnostic correctness throughout the experiment, rapidly identifying the condition as Stercoral Colitis or its direct mechanism, "Fecal Impaction with Secondary Ischemic Colitis."
Management Comprehensiveness: Crucially, the model consistently included the complete three-part management plan derived from the medical ground truth: endoscopic disimpaction (e.g., flexible sigmoidoscopy), necessary diagnostic follow-up via anorectal manometry, and the long-term therapeutic strategy of pelvic-floor physical therapy.
In the single-prompt test, Qwen3-VL-8B-Thinking demonstrated exceptional efficiency, producing a structured, correct, and comprehensive result instantly. This showed that, given a high-quality, fully contextualized prompt, the model can synthesize a complex clinical delivery in a single step. This workflow prioritizes speed, relying entirely on the model's innate ability to interpret and follow complex, layered instructions.
The agentic workflow, comprising the Image Analysis Agent, Prompt Engineer Agent, and Validation Agent, was designed to test the model's capacity for verifiable precision.
Initial Response: Qwen3-VL often provided the clinically equivalent description ("Fecal Impaction with Secondary Ischemic Colitis"), which, while accurate, lacked the specific, formal term.
Refinement and Convergence: The model responded effectively to the targeted prompts issued by the Prompt Engineer Agent. When the Validation Agent enforced the strict requirement for "Stercoral Colitis" and the specific procedure "flexible sigmoidoscopy," Qwen3-VL successfully modified its subsequent output to meet these exact semantic criteria. This successful convergence (at Iteration 4 in the final execution) proves that the Qwen3-VL-8B demonstrates a model that is not only intelligent but also highly steerable and capable of meeting predefined external requirements for regulated clinical documentation.
Both the Non-Agentic and the Final Agentic versions provided high-accuracy medical diagnoses and treatment plans compared to the paper's ground truth.
|
Feature |
Ground Truth (Paper) |
Non-Agentic Version (Original) |
Final Agentic (Converged, Iteration 4) |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Final Diagnosis |
Stercoral Colitis |
Stercoral Colitis |
Stercoral Colitis |
|
Pathology Rationale |
Feces distend the colon, causing inflammation (ischemia). |
Massive fecal impaction leading to ischemic inflammation. |
Fecal Impaction --> Ischemia --> Colitis (Inflammation). |
|
Acute Procedure |
Fecal disimpaction by flexible sigmoidoscopy. |
Colonoscopy (preferred) / Enemas for disimpaction. |
Flexible sigmoidoscopy is the gold standard for immediate disimpaction. |
|
Long-Term Assessment |
Anorectal manometry (showed non-relaxation of the anorectal angle). |
Anorectal Manometry (to diagnose dysfunctional defecation). |
Anorectal Manometry (to evaluate dyssynergia). |
|
Long-Term Therapy |
Pelvic-floor physical therapy was initiated. |
Pelvic-Floor Physical Therapy (targets hypertonic puborectalis with biofeedback). |
Pelvic-Floor Physical Therapy (using biofeedback). |
|
Workflow Efficiency |
N/A |
Most Efficient (Single Pass) |
Robust, Self-Correcting (Converged at Iteration 4) |
Medical Accuracy: Both the Non-Agentic and Final Agentic methods successfully yielded the specific diagnosis of Stercoral Colitis and correctly identified all three critical management steps: endoscopic disimpaction, anorectal manometry, and pelvic-floor physical therapy.
Efficiency vs. Robustness:
The Non-Agentic method was faster, achieving the result in a single, well-primed step.
The Final Agentic method demonstrated that an autonomous system could be engineered to achieve the same high-specificity result by using iterative feedback and self-correction, making it a more robust framework for complex, sensitive tasks.
The successful application of the Qwen3-VL-8B-Thinking model—an open-source Large Multimodal Model—within an agentic framework holds significant implications for the future of clinical AI. Unlike proprietary black-box systems, open-source models offer crucial advantages in medical settings:
Transparency and Auditability: Open access allows researchers and hospital IT teams to inspect the underlying model architecture and fine-tune it with local, specialized medical data. This level of transparency is essential for building trust among clinicians and for regulatory compliance, as medical decisions must be fully auditable.
Customization and Specialization: Open-source models can be specialized for specific clinical domains (e.g., pediatric radiology, neuro-oncology) by continuous training on unique institutional data, a flexibility that is severely limited in closed commercial models. This is particularly valuable for rare or complex conditions like stercoral colitis, which require integrating GI, behavioural, and logical knowledge.
Safety via Agentic Architecture: The use of the agentic framework for mitigating the inherent risks (e.g., hallucinations, nonspecific outputs) associated with general-purpose LLMs in medicine. By breaking the task down into verifiable steps and using a Validation Agent to enforce clinical protocols and terminology, the workflow acts as a safety guardrail. This demonstrated convergence of an open-source model confirms that safety and high accuracy can be achieved simultaneously through structural, code-based interventions, paving the way for the decentralized adoption of powerful LMMs globally.
Convergence of multimodal intelligence and open-source agentic design marks a pivotal moment for clinical AI. The Qwen3-VL-8B-Thinking model demonstrated the necessary core intelligence to diagnose and manage a complex, multifactorial condition. One of the most profound lessons is that efficiency must yield to verifiability in healthcare. The iterative agentic workflow, though slower, delivered a result that was not only accurate but provably compliant with strict clinical criteria, ensuring the use of the precise diagnostic and procedural language required by specialists. This robust, steerable architecture—leveraging the transparency of open-source LMMs—establishes a scalable blueprint for safely embedding advanced AI assistants into critical care settings worldwide. The future of medical diagnosis is not merely about powerful LLMs; it is about building reliable, auditable agentic scaffolding that guarantees clinical confidence and patient safety.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Open Source
The Architecture of Adaptability: Analyzing SEAL with Mistral-7B and QLoRA
For decades, the great ambition of artificial intelligence has been to build systems capable of self-improvement—not just executing learned tasks, but fundamentally enhancing their own capacity to learn. Historically, large language models (LLMs) have been brilliant but brittle giants: static knowledge repositories, brilliant after pretraining but incapable of persistent, autonomous adaptation to new data. This deficiency has necessitated costly, human-driven fine-tuning for every new task, creating an enormous barrier to achieving authentic continual learning.
The Self-Adapting LLMS (SEAL) framework, which serves as the theoretical foundation for the conceptual code and execution log analyzed here, represents a pivotal break from this static paradigm. Inspired by the paper Self-Adapting Language Models" (arXiv:2506.10943v2), SEAL proposes a revolutionary solution: an LLM that generates its own training curriculum. The goal is no longer merely to produce a correct answer, but to successfully execute a meta-learning strategy—to learn how to learn more efficiently in the future.
The practical realization of this vision, however, faces a massive computational hurdle. How can a model constantly re-train itself? The provided Python blueprint tackles this efficiency imperative head-on, coupling the powerful generative capacity of Mistral-7B-v0.1 with the computational frugality of 4-bit Quantized Low-Rank Adaptation (QLoRA). The subsequent execution log demonstrates the critical, nested process where meta-learning and memory-efficient fine-tuning converge, offering a viable path toward perpetually adaptive AI.
The provided log demonstrates the repeated application of the nested-loop optimization at the core of the SEAL framework over two Reinforcement Learning (RL) iterations.
Model and Efficiency Setup: The base model is the Mistral-7B-v0.1 Large Language Model, conceptually loaded with 4-bit QLoRA for efficiency. This quantization is critical because the inner finetuning loop is computationally intensive, and QLoRA enables the 7B-parameter model to be updated with minimal GPU memory. The QLoRA SFT (Supervised Finetuning) is applied repeatedly in the inner loop.
Inner Loop: Self-Edit Evaluation (E-Step): Each of the two RL iterations involves sampling five separate applications of the inner loop (one for each sampled self-edit). For each application:
Generate SE: The Mistral model generates a self-edit (e.g., 'Implication 1: The A...').
QLoRA SFT: This SE is used as training data, and the model's small LoRA adapter weights are updated ($\ theta' \leftarrow \text{SFT}(\theta, \text{SE})$), confirming memory efficiency as the 4-bit backbone remains fixed.
Evaluate: The updated model ($\theta'$) is tested on the downstream QA task (implied by the log's structure).
Outer Loop: Policy Update (M-Step): This step reinforces the self-edit generation policy using the successful outcomes of the inner loop (ReSTEM). In both Iteration 1 and Iteration 2, the policy update succeeds based on one successful self-edit (out of the five tested). The message "Policy (base model weights) updated to reinforce generation..." indicates that the entire model's policy is updated to increase the probability of generating the successful self-edit ($\text{SE}$) in the future, marking the core meta-learning step of SEAL.
The two-iteration demo successfully simulated the core SEAL mechanism: the Mistral-7B model learned to generate an effective "self-edit" after its adaptation process resulted in a reward signal. The use of 4-bit QLoRA ensures that this meta-learning process, which requires many expensive SFT steps (5 evaluations per RL iteration), is computationally feasible. The model is progressively meta-learned to produce better, high-utility finetuning data or directives.
The practical events captured in this log exemplify the theoretical necessity of the two-loop architecture. The Inner Loop represents the adaptation itself, mirroring the "Test-Time Training (TTT)" protocol described in the SEAL paper. For each sampled "self-edit" (SE)—in the demo, a string representing new factual implications—the code simulates applying QLoRA SFT. The resulting log message, "LoRA adapter updated to theta_t_prime ($\theta'$)", confirms that only the small, trainable LoRA matrices are modified, successfully integrating the new knowledge (the implication) into the model's transient memory without altering the massive 4-bit backbone. This efficiency is the foundation that allows the outer loop to function.
The Outer Loop, governed by Reinforcement Learning (RL) using the ReSTEM algorithm, evaluates the quality of the generated self-edit. If the model updated by the SE performs successfully on the downstream task (a QA task, in this case), that specific self-edit is retained as "successful." This final successful policy reinforcement is the culmination of the meta-learning process. It signifies that the Mistral model's ability to generate valid training data has been reinforced, making it more likely to synthesize better, high-utility implications in future adaptation attempts.
This output is the step-by-step record of an AI (specifically, the Mistral-7B-v0.1 model) teaching itself how to learn better.
Here is a simple explanation of what the log shows:
The Big Picture: Training the "Learning Strategy"
Imagine you are trying to find the best way to study for a test. You try five different study methods, see which one gives you the highest score, and then decide to use that successful method in the future.
The SEAL process does the same thing for the Mistral AI:
Preparation (The Efficiency Trick):
Loading 4-bit Quantized Mistral Model...: The AI is loaded into memory using a trick called QLoRA (4-bit Quantization + LoRA). This is essential because it makes the massive 7-billion-parameter model small enough to be repeatedly fine-tuned quickly and cheaply. It's like downsizing a huge textbook to a lightweight digital file so you can carry it around easily.
Trial and Error (RL Iterations 1 & 2):
--- Mistral SEAL RL Iteration 1 (ReSTEM) ---: This is the first main round of "self-teaching."
The Inner Loop (5 Trials): The AI performs the same experiment five times in a row (one for each line starting with Applying QLoRA SFT...).
Generate SE: The AI first generates a "Self-Edit" (SE), which is its own custom-made training data (e.g., an implication/fact based on a new article).
Apply QLoRA SFT: It immediately trains on this custom data.
LoRA adapter updated...: This confirms the training worked. The AI's knowledge is updated.
Finding the Winner (The Lesson Learned): After the five trials, the AI checks the score (reward) from the five updated versions of itself.
Policy (base model weights) updated to reinforce generation of 1 successful self-edits.: This is the key outcome. It means only one of the five study methods was successful. The AI then permanently updates its "brain" (base model weights) to make sure it uses that successful method/data format next time.
Conclusion:
The second iteration repeats this process, proving the learning is stable. The final line confirms that the AI has been "meta-learned"—it didn't just learn a single fact; it knew the best way to generate its own training data.
The purpose of the code, based on the SEAL paper's focus on Knowledge Incorporation and Few-Shot Learning, is to create a model that learns better, not to complete a creative writing task.
The conceptual logic within the code explicitly breaks down the process:
|
Component |
Code Action |
Final Output (Essay?) |
|---|---|---|
|
|
Mistral generates an "Implication 1..." string. |
No. This is synthetic training data for finetuning, not the essay. |
|
|
Mistral's LoRA adapter weights are updated ($\theta'$). |
No. This is a persistent memory update (adaptation), not text output. |
|
|
The adapted Mistral model is implicitly queried with a QA task. |
No. This returns a boolean ( |
|
|
The base model's weights ($\theta$) are updated to improve future SE generation. |
No. This is the meta-learning step. |
The log confirms the model successfully learned to generate better training data to solve the implied QA task, not that it generated an essay.
The execution log confirms a pivotal advance in LLM development: the realization of the Self-Adapting LLMS (SEAL) architecture. By strategically coupling the powerful generative capacity of Mistral-7B-v0.1 with the computational efficiency of 4-bit QLoRA, this conceptual implementation successfully resolves the core paradox of deep learning: the resource-intensive nature of model self-modification.
The success of the two-iteration loop is not measured by a single final answer on a single task, but by the model's validated reinforcement of its meta-learning strategy. This architecture signals a crucial shift from static knowledge repositories to dynamic, self-evolving agents capable of autonomously generating their own optimal training curricula. SEAL represents a viable and scalable blueprint for building perpetually improving AI, essential for a future where models must continually incorporate new information—like the pages of an academic paper—without requiring constant human intervention.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Open Source
The Orchestrated Mind: Agentic AI Specialization with open-mixtral-8x22b in Complex Decision Systems
Agentic Artificial Intelligence (AI) represents a significant shift from traditional models, moving towards systems that operate autonomously, make decisions, and take complex actions to achieve high-level goals.
This conceptual leap is fundamentally demonstrated in the multi-agent flight planning model, built using the Mistral API. This system effectively fragments a singular, powerful Large Language Model (LLM)—the open-mixtral-8x22b—into a specialized assembly of conceptual agents, thereby establishing a robust framework for handling real-time, multi-faceted tasks with both precision and adaptability.
The foundation of this architecture is its highly specialized structure, which mirrors the modularity of human operational teams. The notebook defines and orchestrates 10 conceptual agents for the flight planning task. These are roles defined by distinct system prompts that the Orchestrator (the Python code) passes to the Mistral LLM, enabling it to adopt a specific persona for each step.
The 10 conceptual agents performing specialized sub-tasks are:
The orchestration logic uses 11 distinct LLM-based roles. The final_synthesis_agent. It is technically the 11th agent, but the orchestration is described as using "10 conceptual agents" in the execution block comments, with the steps covering these 10 specializations plus the final synthesis, which is also an LLM call with a dedicated system prompt. Furthermore, the notebook also creates one specific Mistral Beta Agent via the API for demonstration purposes, named historical-context-agent. In the context of the leading flight planning logic, there are 10 specialized agent roles, followed by a final synthesis agent, for a total of 11 LLM-based roles used in the orchestration.
In this Agentic AI system, the single underlying LLM (open-mixtral-8x22b) is assigned different system prompts to adopt specialized personas for each step of the planning process. The 10 conceptual agents and the final synthesis agent ensure the complex task is broken down, analyzed, and synthesized by dedicated "experts."
These agents are responsible for analyzing specific data points and providing expert advice for their assigned domain:
The final, distinct role is what brings the entire plan together, demonstrating the orchestration's value:
The notebook also mentioned one additional, separate Agent:
The use of this functional decomposition is crucial: it ensures that each piece of information is processed within a narrow, expert context before being passed along. This method maximizes the LLM's capacity for focused, high-quality reasoning at each specific step.
The actual intelligence of the system, however, lies not just in the agents but in the Orchestrator—the plan_flight function. This function acts as the central coordinator, driving the workflow and mediating information flow between the conceptual agents and external, non-LLM tools. For instance, the Orchestrator first calls the deterministic Python tools (calculate_distance_tool and get_simulated_weather_tool) to obtain complex data (e.g., the 7054.24-mile flight distance between YUL and PVG). It then strategically injects this calculated, validated data into the prompts for the relevant agents, such as route_calculation_agent and fuel_load_agent.
This interweaving of reliable numerical data with the LLM's contextual reasoning forms a grounded, traceable, and sophisticated decision-making process.
The system's final showcases its utility in dynamic environments through its inherent adaptability, as demonstrated in two full flight-planning scenarios for a flight from Montréal-Trudeau International Airport (YUL) to Shanghai Pudong International Airport (PVG) using a BOEING 777.
This initial plan was synthesized assuming normal destination weather:
The system then ran a feedback loop simulating a 'moderate' weather change at the destination (PVG) and synthesized a new plan. The re-planning, triggered by this simulated shift, reveals the agentic feedback loop in action:
This capability to autonomously incorporate changing variables and reformulate a comprehensive, safety-critical plan without manual intervention proves the system's value as a system, real-time asset.
In conclusion, the multi-agent flight planning framework serves as more than just a proof of concept; it is a profound demonstration of the commercial and safety-critical potential of Agentic AI. By effectively orchestrating eleven specialized LLM-based roles, the system transforms a single, powerful model—open-mixtral-8x22b—into a reliable, decentralized, and expert operational team. This synthesis of high-fidelity data, specialized reasoning, and autonomous adaptability offers a compelling glimpse into a future where complex, high-stakes decisions are managed not by monolithic algorithms but by coordinated AI intelligence, setting a new benchmark for automated reliability in critical industries.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Predictive Analytics
Fine-Tuning Mistral-7B: Building the Crypto Oracle for Bitcoin Price Prediction
The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into financial markets has undergone a significant transformation since its inception in the 1980s. Back then, rule-based expert systems provided rudimentary support for stock trading decisions, relying on predefined logic to guide investors. By the 1990s, the advent of machine learning introduced more dynamic approaches, such as neural networks and decision trees, which began to model complex price prediction patterns. The 2000s marked the rise of algorithmic trading, fueled by statistical models and time-series analysis. This era, bolstered by the internet and exponential growth in computational power, allowed for faster and more precise market analysis.
The launch of Bitcoin in 2009 introduced a new layer of complexity. Its decentralized nature and extreme volatility challenged traditional financial models, pushing AI research toward more sophisticated methodologies. The 2010s saw deep learning techniques, such as Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, gain prominence for their ability to capture temporal dependencies in financial data. However, their black-box nature and lack of interpretability limited their adoption in high-stakes financial applications. By the late 2010s, large language models (LLMs) such as BERT and GPT had emerged, blending natural language processing with numerical analysis to provide more interpretable insights.
In the 2020s, advancements in efficient fine-tuning techniques, such as Quantized Low-Rank Adaptation (QLoRA), revolutionized the field of machine learning. QLoRA enabled the resource-efficient adaptation of massive models, such as Mistral-7B, a 7-billion-parameter language model renowned for its performance in natural language tasks. This project leverages this historical progression to transform Mistral-7B into a specialized "Crypto Orac" for Bitcoin price prediction, addressing the unique challenges of cryptocurrency markets with cutting-edge AI techniques.
The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, driven by factors such as social media sentiment, regulatory changes, macroeconomic trends, and technological advancements. Traditional financial models, such as ARIMA or basic regression, often struggle to capture these multifaceted influences. Predicting Bitcoin's 12-hour price direction—whether it will rise or fall—offers traders and analysts a strategic edge, especially when paired with clear, interpretable rationales.
This project aims to convert Mistral-7B into a Crypto Oracle using QLoRA, making advanced AI accessible to a broader audience through open-source deployment on the Hugging Face Hub. By focusing on a classification task (UP or DOWN) rather than precise price forecasting, the model simplifies the prediction problem while maintaining practical utility. The inclusion of technical rationales enhances its value, enabling users to understand the reasoning behind each prediction. This approach not only supports trading decisions but also fosters collaboration and innovation in financial AI.
Large language models excel at processing and generating text, but raw time-series data, such as stock or cryptocurrency prices, poses a significant challenge. Numerical inputs are often poorly tokenized, leading models to memorize sequences rather than infer meaningful patterns. This project addresses this issue through a novel data transformation strategy, converting raw numbers into structured, interpretable formats that leverage the LLM's natural language reasoning capabilities.
The dataset is built from 12.5 years of Bitcoin Open-High-Low-Close-Volume (OHLCV) data, extracted from a SQLite database. To enrich this dataset, technical indicators—specifically the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI)—are calculated and integrated. These indicators transform raw price and volume data into statistical signals that capture market trends and momentum, making them more suitable as input for the model.
The core innovation lies in the instructional formatting. A sliding window approach processes 72 hours of historical data into a structured Markdown table (th" "Conte" t"). The model is then tasked with an explicit instruction to predict the 12-hour price direction (UP or DOWN) and provide a technical explanation (the "Response"). This method shifts the task from numerical forecasting to contextual decision-making, allowing Mistral-7B to interpret quantitative patterns as if they were textual narratives. This approach maximizes the model's ability to reason over complex financial data while producing outputs that are readable by humans.
The dataset creation process begins by loading 12.5 years of hourly Bitcoin OHLCV data, spanning from 2013 to 2025, which results in approximately 109,500 data points. After preprocessing, which includes calculating SMA, RSI, and log returns, and removing rows with missing values, the dataset is reduced to 89,769 rows. A custom function, format_for_llm(), transforms this data into an instruction-tuning format, generating 88,788 training samples and 897 validation samples. Each sample includes:
This structured dataset enables the model to learn and interpret financial patterns contextually, aligning with its strengths in natural language processing.
Fine-tuning a 7-billion-parameter model like Mistral-7B is computationally intensive, often requiring multiple high-end GPUs. QLoRA (Quantized Low-Rank Adaptation) overcomes this barrier by enabling efficient fine-tuning on a single GPU, such as the NVIDIA A100-SXM4-80GB. The methodology includes several key components:
This approach reduces the computational footprint while enabling precise, domain-specific adaptation of Mistral-7B for Bitcoin price prediction.
The code executed on Google Colab with an NVIDIA A100-SXM4-80GB GPU orchestrates the creation of the Crypto Oracle. The script is structured into several key blocks:
The fine-tuned LoRA adapter and tokenizer are saved to Mistral-7B-BTC-Expert and uploaded to the Hugging Face Hub under the frankmorales2020/Mistral-7B-BTC-Expert repository. Robust error handling ensures successful deployment, making the model accessible for inference and collaboration. The deployment process includes a primary method via SFTTrainer and a fallback using the base model and adapter stored in Google Drive.
This project advances the application of LLMs in finance by enabling Mistral-7B to interpret technical indicators and generate reasoned predictions. QLoRA's efficiency democratizes access to advanced AI, supporting trading automation, market analysis, and educational tools. The open-source deployment fosters collaboration, providing a scalable blueprint for domain-specific AI agents in other financial markets or asset classes.
The training process concluded at 07:34 AM EDT on October 04, 2025, after 5,550 steps (100% completion, Epoch 1.00/1). Final evaluation metrics include:
These results demonstrate robust convergence, with minimal overfitting and strong predictive performance for Bitcoin's 12-hour price direction. The model's mean token accuracy of 92.20% reflects its ability to generate coherent technical rationales based on RSI and SMA indicators. In contrast, the processing of 90,112,000 tokens ensures comprehensive exposure to diverse market conditions.
The MISTRAL_FT_BTC.ipynb notebook represents a transformative milestone in financial AI. The Crypto Oracle reimagines Mistral-7B as a tool to decode Bitcoin's volatile price movements with precision and clarity. By leveraging 12.5 years of data and anQLoRA's efficiency, this project redefines predictive analytics, turning raw data into actionable insights for traders and innovators.
QLoRA enables fine-tuning of a 7-billion-parameter model on a single GPU, democratizing access to advanced AI. By quantizing the model to 4-bit precision and injecting low-rank adapters, the project achieves computational efficiency without sacrificing performance. This approach solves the resource challenge that previously made full fine-tuning inaccessible to most users.
The project's most significant innovation lies in its data handling. By converting numerical time-series data (OHLCV, SMA, RSI) into structured Markdown tables, the model can read financial patterns as text. This approach transforms a numerical forecasting task into a classification problem (UP or DOWN), leveraging the LLM's strengths in contextual reasoning. The inclusion of technical indicators enhances the model's ability to interpret complex market dynamics.
The 12.5-year dataset, spanning multiple market cycles, provides robustness and mitigates data scarcity. With 89,769 preprocessed rows and 88,788 training samples, the model learns from diverse market conditions, improving its generalization. Feature engineering, including SMA, EMA, RSI, and log returns, ensures the model reasons over analyst-level inputs rather than raw prices.
The methodology—combining QLoRA, a proprietary instruction-tuned dataset, and open-source deployment—offers a scalable framework for other financial applications. The final model, expressed as:
[ M_{\text{final}} = \text{QLoRA}{\text{Adapter}}(\text{Mistral 7B}) \text{ trained on } D{\text{prop}} \text{ (12.5 years of BTC Instruction Data)} ]
Represents a significant intellectual property advantage. This approach can be adapted to other assets, such as stocks or commodities, or extended to other domains requiring time-series analysis.
The Crypto Oracle, born from the MISTRAL_FT_BTC.ipynb notebook, marks a new era in financial AI. By transforming Mistral-7B into a specialized model for Bitcoin price prediction, this project demonstrates the power of combining QLoRA, innovative data handling, and open-source collaboration. With a mean token accuracy of 92.20% and a validation loss of 0.2019, the model delivers reliable predictions and interpretable rationales, empowering traders and analysts. As a beacon for the future of predictive analytics, this work inspires a global community to reshape financial intelligence through AI innovation.
Tags: Cryptocurrency, Predictive Analytics, Generative AI
Tinker and the Democratization of AI Fine-Tuning: The Cloud Computing Analogy
The rise of Large Language Models (LLMs) has been defined by two competing forces: the raw power of closed, proprietary systems and the flexibility of open-weight models. Bridging the gap between these worlds is Tinker, a fine-tuning API announced by Thinking Machines Lab. Tinker's core value proposition is best understood through a powerful historical analogy: it represents the "Cloud Computing of AI Training," abstracting the complexity of infrastructure to democratize access to cutting-edge model specialization. This essay will examine how Tinker leverages the foundational philosophy of Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) in LLM fine-tuning, thereby reducing barriers to entry, accelerating research, and shifting the focus from hardware management to algorithmic innovation.
Before cloud computing giants like AWS, deploying a software application required significant Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) on physical servers, networking, and data center maintenance. Cloud computing liberated developers by offering these resources as a scalable, on-demand service. Tinker applies this exact abstraction to the specialized and highly complex domain of LLM fine-tuning:
Tinker's design is crafted to shift the researcher's focus from boilerplate engineering to genuine discovery, fulfilling the vision of fostering a community of "tinkerers" in AI.
The release of the Tinker Cookbook, an open-source library with modern implementations of post-training methods, reinforces the "Cloud Computing for AI" philosophy.
Tinker's analogy to cloud computing is underpinned by a profound strategic decision: the exclusive focus on open-weight LLMs like Llama and Qwen.
This choice is not an accident; it is a direct rejection of the prevailing "closed-box" philosophy often championed by their former colleagues at OpenAI. The Thinking Machines Lab, staffed by veterans of the original ChatGPT development, is making a clear bet that the future of AI value lies in customization, not the core pre-training scale.
By providing a specialized infrastructure layer for open-weight models, Tinker captures this economic value by:
Suppose the first era of AI was dominated by those who could afford to pre-train the largest models (the "server manufacturers"). In that case, the next era will belong to those who can customize them most effectively (the "app developers"). By abstracting away the monumental engineering friction of distributed training on these open-source foundations, Tinker shifts the competitive edge away from infrastructure spending and toward genuine algorithmic innovation, fulfilling its mission to enable "more people to do research on cutting-edge models."
Tags: Agentic AI, Open Source, Predictive Analytics
The BTC Trading Bot Pipeline: Hybrid CNN-LSTM Architecture and Walk-Forward Validation
This report details the end-to-end architectural pipeline used to develop and validate the Bitcoin (BTC) trading component of the BOT FERRARI system. The core challenge was designing a robust predictive model capable of achieving exceptional risk-adjusted returns in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, specifically targeting the recent 2.3-year market micro-trend. The solution utilizes a hybrid 12-feature Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) model, whose stability was rigorously confirmed through Walk-Forward Optimization (WFO) and Hyperband tuning. The final candidate, the MLM-12 model, achieved an optimal Average Out-of-Sample Sharpe Ratio of 5.19 and a total compounded return of 636.27%, proving its superior efficacy and suitability for automated deployment.
Historically, financial market prediction suffered from relying on linear models that failed to capture the non-stationary, non-linear dynamics of high-frequency cryptocurrency data. The intelligence of the BTC Bot bypasses these limitations by employing deep learning. Furthermore, in trading, the significant price movements that generate profitable signals (Buy/Sell) are statistically rare compared to periods of low activity (Hold). Addressing this fundamental class imbalance (where Hold signals dominate) is critical for ensuring the model does not become biased toward the passive 'Hold' signal.
The foundation of any robust algorithmic trading strategy is clean, comprehensive data. To mitigate overfitting and ensure the model learns macro-cyclical patterns, the initial step involved curating a 12-year archive of Bitcoin's hourly OHLCV (Open, High, Low, Close, Volume) data, meticulously stored in an SQLite database.
The pipeline utilizes two distinct tables within the ohlcv_data_BTC.db SQLite file to enforce data scope segregation:
Crucially, while the model training leverages the whole 12-year history (btcusd_1h_data_12y) to capture broad market regimes, the critical validation and optimization stages focus solely on the most recent 2.3 years (btcusd_1h_data) of data. This methodology—training on macro history but validating against current trends—ensures the model's knowledge is deep while its trading parameters remain relevant to current market microstructure.
The prediction system uses a specialized deep learning architecture designed for time series analysis:
The model training process itself utilized callbacks, such as Early Stopping and ReduceLROnPlateau, applied to the validation loss to halt training when marginal improvements ceased, thereby proactively preventing model overfitting.
To transcend the critical flaw of backtest overfitting, the trading logic was subjected to Walk-Forward Optimization, combining the highest standards of financial rigour with advanced machine learning techniques:
The completion of this rigorous Walk-Forward Validation delivers a decisive victory over the non-stationary nature of the cryptocurrency market. The stability check confirms the model operates at a standard of excellence rarely seen in volatile markets.
The MLM-12 is the final, proven candidate for the BTC-Bot component of BOT FERRARI. The validated 5.19 Sharpe Ratio signifies an extraordinary level of risk management and return generation, transforming the complex quantitative model into a robust, disciplined operational engine. The superior consistency of the 12-feature model guarantees the system is ready for immediate, high-conviction deployment as the flagship component of BOT FERRARI.
Tags: Cryptocurrency, Open Source, Predictive Analytics
The Case for Cryptanalytics: A New Discipline for a Decentralized World
The path to creating new disciplines is often forged by the convergence of existing fields, particularly when a new technology presents unprecedented challenges and opportunities. While cryptography and informatics are well-established, their powerful union in the context of decentralized systems has given rise to a new, urgent field: Cryptanalytics. This discipline is the study, design, and implementation of secure, decentralized information systems that leverage cryptographic principles to ensure data integrity, transparency, and resilience. As demonstrated by a series of algorithmic trading case studies, Cryptanalytics is not a theoretical concept but a practical necessity for navigating and capitalizing on the complexities of decentralized markets.
The central problem that Cryptanalytics seeks to solve is the inherent risk of trusting a centralized authority. In traditional information systems, a single entity controls the data, creating a single point of failure and a high potential for data manipulation. Blockchain technology, and the cryptocurrencies built upon it, offer a radical alternative. However, simply using a blockchain is not enough; the strategies for interacting with these systems must be equally robust. This is where Cryptanalytics comes in, providing the rigorous, data-driven frameworks necessary to build and validate resilient applications.
The efficacy of Cryptanalytics is best illustrated through its application in the volatile world of algorithmic trading. Developing a profitable trading strategy is not simply about finding a pattern in historical data; it is about creating a model that can adapt to ever-changing market conditions without succumbing to the fatal flaw of overfitting. Overfitting occurs when a model becomes overly tailored to past data, causing it to fail in live trading and misinterpret noise as genuine market signals. The core methodology of Cryptanalytics addresses this directly through Walk-Forward Optimization (WFO). As a framework, WFO divides historical data into sequential, non-overlapping windows. Parameters are tuned on an "in-sample" period and then validated on the subsequent, unseen "out-of-sample" data. This iterative process provides an unbiased and reliable measure of a strategy's actual viability in the real world.
The results from four distinct algorithmic trading case studies on different cryptocurrency pairs—SOL/USD(1), ETH/USD(2), BTC/USD(3), and LDO/USD(4)—serve as compelling proof of concept for this new discipline. By utilizing a machine learning model validated through WFO, each strategy achieved remarkable performance metrics, demonstrating a genuine market edge.
|
Cryptocurrency Pair |
Average Out-of-Sample Sharpe Ratio |
Total Compounded Return |
Worst Out-of-Sample Max Drawdown |
Total Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LDO/USD |
6.91 |
651.52% |
30.39% |
516 |
|
BTC/USD |
3.85 |
553.26% |
29.92% |
559 |
|
ETH/USD |
5.88 |
546.89% |
30.56% |
491 |
|
SOL/USD |
6.85 |
697.43% |
30.27% |
472 |
These findings are more than just a testament to the success of a single trading strategy; they highlight the principles of Cryptanalytics. The consistently high Sharpe Ratios across all assets indicate strong, risk-adjusted returns, suggesting that the strategy was not merely lucky but was based on sound, adaptable logic. The impressive compounded returns, despite significant drawdowns, underscore the resilience of a framework designed to learn and recover from market volatility. This is the essence of Cryptanalytics: building systems that are not just profitable but robust, transparent, and capable of withstanding the unpredictable nature of decentralized systems.
In conclusion, formalizing Cryptanalytics as a technological discipline is a logical and necessary next step. Its principles of rigorous, transparent validation and decentralized data management are essential for building the next generation of resilient systems. The success of the algorithmic trading strategies presented here provides a clear blueprint for this new field, demonstrating that the future of information lies in a framework that systematically addresses the challenges of a trustless, decentralized world.
References
Tags: Cryptocurrency, Open Source, Predictive Analytics
A Comparative Analysis of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Lido DAO
The digital revolution of the last few decades connected the world through a vast network of information, but a new movement is emerging to connect the world through a network of value and trust. This is the promise of blockchain technology. From the bold vision of a decentralized currency to the creation of a programmable world computer and the rise of high-speed networks, these innovations are laying the foundations for a new digital age. Understanding the key players in this space is crucial to grasping how the future of finance, art, and online interaction is being reimagined. Among the most prominent entities shaping this future are Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Lido DAO (LDO), each serving a distinct and critical purpose in the evolution of this ecosystem.
This is a deep dive into four prominent entities in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Lido DAO (LDO). Each plays a distinct role, and understanding their individual characteristics and how they interact is key to a comprehensive view of the market.
Bitcoin is the original cryptocurrency, created in 2008 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto. It is often referred to as "digital gold" due to its fixed supply and its primary use case as a store of value.
Technology: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized, peer-to-peer network. It uses a Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, where "miners" compete to solve complex mathematical problems to validate transactions and add new blocks to the blockchain. This process is energy-intensive but highly secure.
Key Features:
Fixed Supply: The total supply of Bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins, creating digital scarcity and a core part of its value proposition.
Decentralization: The network is run by thousands of nodes worldwide, making it resistant to censorship and single points of failure.
Store of Value: Its scarcity and security have positioned it as a hedge against inflation and a long-term investment.
Comparison with Others: Bitcoin is a simpler, more focused technology compared to Ethereum or Solana. Its primary function is as a secure, decentralized payment network and store of value, rather than a platform for building complex applications.
Ethereum is a decentralized blockchain with smart contract functionality. It was conceived in 2013 and launched in 2015. While Ether (ETH) is its native cryptocurrency, the platform's primary purpose is to serve as a programmable blockchain for building decentralized applications (dApps).
Technology: Ethereum recently transitioned from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism. This change, known as "The Merge," made the network significantly more energy-efficient. In PoS, validators "stake" their ETH as collateral to validate transactions and secure the network.
Key Features:
Smart Contracts: Ethereum enables developers to build and deploy self-executing contracts, with the terms of the agreement directly written into the code. This functionality is the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and a wide range of other applications.
DeFi and NFTs: Ethereum is the dominant blockchain for DeFi, with the largest "Total Value Locked" (TVL), and for non-fungible tokens (NFTs).
Scalability Challenges: While the shift to PoS was a significant step, Ethereum still faces scalability issues. Layer-2 solutions, such as Arbitrum and Optimism, are being developed to offload transactions from the main chain, thereby improving speed and reducing costs.
Comparison with Others: Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum is a "world computer" that can host a vast ecosystem of applications. Its uncapped supply and focus on utility distinguish it from Bitcoin's "sound money" narrative.
Link with Bitcoin. The relationship between Ethereum and Bitcoin is crucial to understanding the origin of Ethereum. In essence, Ethereum was a direct response to what Buterin saw as Bitcoin's limitations. Vitalik Buterin's involvement with Bitcoin: Before creating Ethereum, Buterin was deeply involved in the Bitcoin community. He was a co-founder and lead writer for Bitcoin Magazine starting in 2011. This experience provided him with a profound understanding of blockchain technology. Inspiration and limitations: Buterin was fascinated by Bitcoin's decentralized nature and its ability to create a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. However, he believed its scripting language was too limited and that the technology could be used for much more than just financial transactions. He envisioned a "world computer" that could run any decentralized application, not just a currency. The "programmable blockchain": This desire to expand the use of blockchain beyond a simple ledger led him to propose a new platform with a more flexible programming language. This concept, the "programmable blockchain" with smart contracts, is what led to the creation of Ethereum. The name "Ethereum" itself was chosen to evoke the idea of a fundamental, ubiquitous medium, much like the "ether" in classical physics. Funding and development: The Ethereum project was even funded with Bitcoin. In 2014, the team held a crowdsale, raising over $18 million worth of BTC to finance the project's development. This marked one of the first primary initial coin offerings (ICOs) and solidified the intertwined history of the two networks. In short, while there's no direct personal link between Buterin and Bitcoin's anonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, Ethereum was born from Buterin's experience with and desire to build upon the foundational technology introduced by Bitcoin.
Solana is a blockchain platform designed for high transaction throughput and low fees. It was launched in 2020 and has gained traction as a competitor to Ethereum, particularly for dApps and NFTs that require high speed and scalability.
Technology: Solana uses a unique hybrid consensus mechanism that combines Proof-of-Stake (PoS) with a new technology called Proof of History (PoH). PoH creates a historical record of events on the blockchain, allowing for faster and more efficient transaction processing.
Key Features:
High Performance: Solana's architecture is optimized for speed, capable of processing tens of thousands of transactions per second.
Low Fees: Transaction fees on Solana are notably low, making it attractive for high-frequency applications like gaming and trading.
Growing Ecosystem: Solana boasts a thriving ecosystem of DeFi projects, NFT marketplaces, and dApps, although it has also faced challenges due to network outages.
Comparison with Others: Solana is often viewed as a direct competitor to Ethereum, offering a faster and more cost-effective alternative. However, its history of network outages and a class-action lawsuit alleging that SOL is an unregistered security are points of concern.
Lido DAO is not a blockchain like the others, but a crucial part of the Ethereum ecosystem. It is a liquid staking protocol, and LDO is its governance token.
Technology: Lido enables users to stake their ETH and earn rewards without locking up their assets. When a user stakes ETH through Lido, they receive stETH (Lido Staked ETH), a liquid token that represents their staked ETH and accumulated rewards.
Key Features:
Liquid Staking: This is Lido's core value proposition. It addresses the issue of "capital inefficiency" in traditional staking, where staked assets are locked and cannot be utilized for other purposes. stETH can be used as collateral in other DeFi protocols.
Accessibility: Lido lowers the barrier to entry for staking, as users do not need to meet the 32 ETH minimum required to run their own validator node.
Decentralized Governance: LDO holders can vote on proposals and decisions that affect the protocol's development, fees, and operations.
Comparison with Others: Lido is a service that leverages the Ethereum network. It is not a competing blockchain but a complementary protocol that enhances the utility and accessibility of ETH. Its success is directly tied to the adoption and continued growth of Ethereum's PoS network.
Summary: A Holistic View of Bitcoin (BTC): The foundational layer of the crypto market. A secure, decentralized store of value with a fixed supply. Ethereum (ETH): The "world computer." A programmable blockchain that powers the vast majority of dApps, DeFi, and NFTs. Its move to PoS and ongoing scalability efforts are key to its future. Solana (SOL): The "high-speed" alternative. A competitor to Ethereum that prioritizes transaction speed and low costs, but with a history of network instability. Lido DAO (LDO): A critical protocol on Ethereum. It addresses the liquidity issue of staking, enabling users to participate in securing the network while maintaining access to their assets. In short, BTC is a store of value, ETH is the platform for decentralized innovation, SOL is a high-performance rival, and LDO is a service that maximizes the utility of staked ETH.
In the volatile world of crypto trading, the use of automated bot strategies has become a sophisticated method for managing risk and maximizing returns. For assets as diverse as BTC, ETH, SOL, and LDO, a one-size-fits-all approach is insufficient. This is where advanced evaluation techniques, such as walk-forward optimization and hyperparameter tuning, become critical.
Walk-forward optimization is the gold standard for testing the robustness of a trading strategy. It involves a systematic process of optimizing a strategy's parameters on a specific historical dataset (the "in-sample" data) and then testing those parameters on a subsequent, unseen period (the "out-of-sample" data). This process is repeated by "walking" the windows of data forward, mimicking real-time trading. For a Bitcoin trading bot, this approach can help determine if a strategy that worked during a low-volatility period will still be effective during a bull run. For ETH and SOL, which are used for a wide range of applications, walk-forward analysis can reveal how a bot's performance holds up under different market regimes, from DeFi speculation to NFT hype cycles.
Complementing this is hyperparameter tuning, which involves finding the ideal settings for a trading bot's core variables, such as entry/exit points, risk-adjusted returns, or the number of trades. Tools or frameworks, sometimes referred to conceptually as a "Tuner Hyperbrand," can automate this process, iterating through thousands of potential parameter combinations to find the most profitable and reliable ones. For a liquid staking token like LDO, which has its own unique governance and market dynamics, tuning these parameters is crucial to developing a strategy that can effectively navigate its specific market conditions. By combining these two techniques, traders can develop and validate strategies that are not simply "overfit" to past data but are genuinely robust and adaptable to the unpredictable nature of cryptocurrency markets.
In the grand tapestry of the digital economy, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Lido DAO are not merely isolated assets but interconnected threads that weave a new financial paradigm. Their individual strengths and innovations point to a future defined by decentralization, transparency, and a re-imagination of value itself. Bitcoin's unwavering role as a store of value provides a stable foundation, attracting institutional investment and serving as a crucial hedge against inflation. Ethereum's evolution into a modular, scalable platform is transforming it into a global hub for a new class of financial instruments and creative works. Solana's relentless pursuit of speed and efficiency is pushing the boundaries of what is possible with blockchain technology, creating fertile ground for high-performance applications. Meanwhile, Lido DAO's elegant solution to liquidity is promoting more involvement in securing the network, proving that complementary protocols are essential to unlocking a blockchain's full potential.
While challenges such as regulatory uncertainty and market volatility remain, the collective impact of these technologies is undeniable. They are not just disrupting traditional finance; they are building a parallel, more inclusive financial system from the ground up. This shift is poised to create new jobs, foster innovation, and offer financial services to a global population that has historically been excluded. The ongoing developments and collaborations among these and other projects show that the journey has only just begun. The future of the global economy is increasingly being written in code, and these four entities are among its most influential authors.
Tags: Cryptocurrency, Open Source, Predictive Analytics
The Innovation Dilemma: Open-Weight Versus Proprietary Models in Knowledge Distillation
From its origins in the early days of machine learning, knowledge distillation was conceived as a practical solution to a persistent problem: how to deploy powerful but cumbersome models in resource-constrained environments. The seminal 2015 paper, "Distilling the Knowledge in a Neural Network," by Geoffrey Hinton and his colleagues, formalized this concept. However, the idea of transferring knowledge from a large "teacher" model to a smaller "student" model has roots that extend even further back. The motivation has always been clear: while large models are essential for extracting complex patterns from data, their high computational cost, large memory footprint, and long inference latency make them impractical for widespread use.
Knowledge distillation emerged as a way to circumvent this limitation, enabling the industry to strike a balance between high performance and the need for efficiency and accessibility. This historical drive for efficiency has now collided with the modern debate between open-source and proprietary AI, creating a new, more complex innovation dilemma.
Knowledge distillation is a transformative technique used to compress the expertise of a large "teacher" model into a smaller, more efficient "student" model. The effectiveness of this process hinges on a critical technical detail: the type of information available from the teacher. The most effective form of distillation, often referred to as "white-box" distillation, requires access to the teacher model's internal workings, specifically its "soft targets." These soft targets are the nuanced probability distributions that a model generates for potential outputs, containing rich information about its confidence and generalization tendencies. In contrast, "black-box" distillation, which relies only on the final text outputs ("hard targets"), is a far less efficient form of knowledge transfer. Access to the whole model, not just its API, is essential for truly high-fidelity knowledge transfer.
This is where the distinction between models becomes critical. While OpenAI, as the creator of GPT-5, can perform traditional, highly effective distillation, the public faces significant constraints. The open-weight nature of models like DeepSeek and Qwen means the public has access to their whole architecture and parameters. This enables a comprehensive knowledge distillation process, where a student model can learn from the large teacher model's "soft targets"—the nuanced probability distributions for each token—which results in a significantly more effective transfer of knowledge.
This is the method used in my article on distilling Qwen3-Next-80B-A3B-Instruct into Mistral-7B-v0.1.
In contrast, as a proprietary, "black box" model, GPT-5 is only accessible via an API that provides the final text output. Distillation in this scenario is far more challenging. Researchers can train a student model on data generated by the GPT-5 API, but they are limited to the final answers ("hard targets"). They cannot access the more informative soft targets. This method is fundamentally less effective and can be prohibitively costly due to the fees associated with API usage. This disparity highlights a legal and ethical dilemma in the industry, where OpenAI has accused companies like DeepSeek of using their API to train competing models, which would violate their terms of service. The legality of this practice is an ongoing debate that will likely shape the future of AI innovation.
This distinction highlights the key advantage of open-weight models, such as Qwen3-Next-80B-A3B-Instruct and the latest DeepSeek models. By making their model weights, architectures, and often a significant portion of their training methodology public, they provide developers with the necessary tools for effective knowledge distillation. This transparency enables researchers to perform a "white-box" distillation, allowing them to access the soft targets and internal representations that encode the model's profound understanding. This not only makes the distillation process more technically effective but also significantly reduces the financial barriers to entry, as the cost is limited to computational resources rather than expensive per-token API calls. The ability to run these models locally, as demonstrated in the distillation of Qwen3-Next-80B-A3B-Instruct into Mistral-7B-v0.1, is a testament to the power of this approach.
In conclusion, the most profound impact of knowledge distillation lies in its role as a bridge between powerful foundational models and the specialized, efficient tools required for agentic AI. The era of "bigger is better" for monolithic models is giving way to a more pragmatic, distributed approach. Knowledge distillation allows us to create highly specialized Small Language Models (SLMs) that can serve as the "expert workers" in a multi-agent system, each fine-tuned for a specific, narrow task. For example, a single, general-purpose LLM might be too slow and expensive to handle every step of a complex task, such as "research and draft a report on solar energy trends." However, a multi-agent system could orchestrate multiple distilled SLMs, with one agent summarizing data from a website, another generating code for a visualization, and a third drafting the final report. The collective intelligence of the system emerges not from the raw power of a single, massive model, but from the seamless collaboration of these specialized agents. This modular architecture not only makes AI systems more efficient and cost-effective but also more robust and controllable. The path to superintelligence may not be through a single, god-like AI, but through a collaborative ecosystem of highly specialized, interconnected agents. This distributed model, enabled by open-weight models and the power of knowledge distillation, offers a more tangible and democratized path to achieving unprecedented progress.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Open Source
The Global Impact of Open-Source LLMs on Agentic AI
For decades, the promise of artificial intelligence remained largely confined to research labs and corporate behemoths. The first generation of AI was a black box, a proprietary tool accessible only to a select few. The emergence of open-source Large Language Models (LLMs) shattered this paradigm, democratizing access to the raw power of generative AI. However, this was just the beginning. The true revolution is now underway with the rise of agentic AI, a fundamental leap that transforms AI from a mere tool into a proactive, autonomous collaborator. This shift from reactive chatbots to intelligent agents—systems that can reason, plan, and execute multi-step tasks—is not a centralized effort but a global phenomenon.
Fueling this transformation are open-source LLMs from every corner of the world, empowering developers to build specialized agents that address unique, localized challenges. This article will explore how open-source AI from each continent is impacting the global development of agentic AI.
In North America, the Llama family of models, championed by Meta, has become a foundational layer for building sophisticated, enterprise-grade AI agents. The Llama Stack, for instance, provides a comprehensive framework for developers to create agents capable of performing complex tasks, such as document analysis, knowledge retrieval, and workflow automation. Companies are leveraging Llama-based agents to handle internal processes, such as reviewing financial reports or managing customer service inquiries. This impact is especially significant within corporate environments, where data privacy and control are of paramount importance. Llama's open nature allows organizations to host agents on-premises and fine-tune them on proprietary data without exposing it to external APIs.
Europe's contribution to agentic AI is spearheaded by Paris-based Mistral AI, which has built a reputation for developing efficient and performant models. Mistral's open-weight philosophy and focus on a smaller computational footprint make its models ideal for creating agents that require low latency and can operate in resource-constrained environments. Their platform, "la Plateforme," offers tools and APIs for developing specialized agentic workflows, such as agents for code generation, RAG, and advanced reasoning. This approach aligns with Europe's strategic emphasis on digital sovereignty, empowering local businesses and developers to build AI solutions that are both powerful and independent from the large, proprietary tech ecosystems.
The development of open-source models, such as AfriBERTa, is crucial for enabling agentic AI in Africa, a continent with over 2,000 languages that faces a unique set of challenges. An agent built on an AfriBERTa foundation can be fine-tuned to not only understand local languages but also to grasp the cultural context, social norms, and regional dialects that are essential for effective communication. These agents are being developed to provide vital services in sectors such as healthcare and education, acting as personalized assistants that can offer medical advice, assist with literacy, or facilitate financial transactions in a community's native language. By tailoring agents to a specific linguistic and cultural landscape, these projects ensure that AI is a tool of empowerment, not just a distant and inaccessible technology.
The Asia-Pacific region is rapidly adopting agentic AI, particularly for enhancing software development and business operations. The SeaLLMs project provides a crucial foundation for this growth by enabling agents that are fluent in the diverse languages of Southeast Asia. These models can power agents that automate code reviews, streamline customer support with nuanced, multilingual interactions, or generate localized marketing content for small businesses. The development of open-source datasets and benchmarks by initiatives like SeaLLMs ensures that the region has the resources to build powerful, context-aware agents, accelerating digital transformation and fostering innovation across a wide array of industries.
In South America, where internet connectivity can be inconsistent in rural and remote areas, the small-scale approach of projects like TeenyTinyLlama is revolutionizing agentic AI. By creating compact yet powerful models, this initiative enables the direct execution of agents on a user's device, allowing for seamless integration. This enables the creation of on-device agents that can operate offline, providing essential support for tasks such as language preservation, basic literacy, or agricultural planning in remote communities. These agents are not dependent on a central server, ensuring that the benefits of AI are truly decentralized and accessible to everyone, regardless of their location or internet access.
The evolution from open-source foundational to specialized agentic AI is a global phenomenon driven by diverse motivations and needs. While the current discourse often centers on the race for a singular, monolithic superintelligence, the work of these continental projects offers a more hopeful and sustainable path. Instead of a single "brain" controlled by a handful of entities, they are collectively building a distributed, decentralized form of intelligence—a collaborative network of purpose-built agents that reflect a broad spectrum of human languages, cultures, and values. This bottom-up approach to AI development serves as a critical safeguard against the biases and risks inherent in any centralized system, ensuring that the future of advanced AI is not a technological coup, but a global co-creation. Ultimately, by empowering diverse communities to build their own intelligent tools, open-source LLMs are laying the groundwork for a superintelligence that is not just powerful but also equitable, robust, and genuinely representative of humanity.
Tags: Generative AI, Open Source, Agentic AI
The Synergy of Agentic AI and Small Language Models Toward Superintelligence
The pursuit of artificial intelligence has long been defined by shifting paradigms. The early days of AI, from the 1950s to the 1980s, were dominated by Symbolic AI, an approach that focused on explicit rules and logic to simulate human reasoning. While this method produced breakthroughs in areas such as chess and theorem proving, it struggled with the complex, unpredictable nature of the real world, leading to a period known as the "AI winter." The field's rebirth was driven by a new, data-centric approach: neural networks and deep learning. This era gave rise to the scaling hypothesis, the belief that by simply increasing the size of models, datasets, and computational power, we could achieve ever-greater capabilities, culminating in human-level intelligence and beyond. This hypothesis fueled the development of modern Large Language Models (LLMs), which demonstrated astonishing emergent abilities due to their sheer scale. However, as the logistical and financial costs of this approach become increasingly unsustainable, a new, more efficient paradigm is emerging—one that moves beyond the single, monolithic model and into a world of distributed, collaborative intelligence.
Agentic AI systems are a class of AI defined by their capacity for autonomy and purpose. Unlike a standard chatbot that responds to a single prompt, an agentic system can perceive an environment, set its own goals, formulate a plan to achieve those goals, and execute a series of actions with limited human supervision. This process includes a crucial feedback loop where the system reflects on the outcome of its actions and learns to improve. The "agent" is the orchestrator, a high-level manager that breaks down a complex task, such as "research and draft a report on solar energy trends," into smaller, actionable steps, including "search for recent data," "analyze the findings," and "write a summary." This ability to manage a multi-step workflow is the cornerstone of its functionality and a prerequisite for more sophisticated intelligence.
While Agentic AI provides the strategic "will," the question remains: what are the optimal "tools" for its agents to use? The conventional answer has been Large Language Models (LLMs), which offer a broad range of general knowledge. However, the sheer size and computational cost of LLMs create significant bottlenecks for practical, scalable deployment. In contrast, Small Language Models (SLMs) offer a more compelling solution. An SLM has a fraction of an LLM's parameters, making it faster, cheaper to run, and capable of operating on less powerful hardware. Crucially, while they lack the general knowledge of an LLM, SLMs can be fine-tuned for an extremely high degree of proficiency in a specific, narrow domain, such as generating structured data, summarizing particular types of text, or translating between APIs. SLMs are specialized through techniques such as knowledge distillation, pruning, and quantization to optimize their performance for a specific task.
The synergy between Agentic AI and SLMs represents a profound shift in the pursuit of artificial superintelligence. The era of believing that bigger is always better is giving way to a more nuanced, modular, and sustainable approach. By combining the proactive, goal-driven nature of Agentic AI with the specialized, efficient power of SLMs, we move beyond the limitations of a single, monolithic model. This distributed intelligence framework, where thousands of lightweight "expert" models collaborate under the direction of a central orchestrator, offers a more robust and scalable architecture for managing the complexity of a truly superintelligent system. Just as the human brain relies on specialized regions working in concert to achieve higher-level cognition, this heterogeneous model promises to unlock a level of intelligence that is both powerful and practical. As we build these modular systems, we are not just creating faster tools; we are laying the architectural foundation for a future where a collaborative, distributed form of superintelligence is not a distant fantasy, but a reality that is achievable.
Tags: Generative AI, Open Source, Agentic AI
AI and the Future of Clinical Decision Support: An Agentic Approach.
The integration of artificial intelligence into medicine is shifting from simple data analysis to a dynamic paradigm of agentic systems. These systems empower specialized AI agents to autonomously orchestrate and execute complex workflows, a capability that is particularly impactful in high-stakes fields like oncology. By examining a clinical decision support system designed to handle a breast cancer case, we can observe how this architecture provides a comprehensive and actionable plan that augments, rather than replaces, human expertise.
At its core, this system operates on a multi-agent framework composed of three distinct roles: the Orchestrator, the Executor, and a network of Specialist Agents. The Specialist Agents are a suite of purpose-built tools, implemented as Python functions, that perform atomic clinical tasks. These include retrieving a patient's electronic health record, ordering diagnostic tests such as a CT scan or biopsy, and obtaining their results. This modular design allows the system to dynamically interact with and gather data from a simulated external environment. The complete code is here https://github.com/frank-morales2020/MLxDL/blob/main/AAI_DEEPSEEK_ONCOLOGY.ipyn
The entire process is driven by the Orchestrator Agent, which acts as the central intelligence managing the workflow. It directs the Executor Agent, a component of the code itself, to fulfill its commands by running the corresponding Python functions with the correct arguments. This collaborative structure enables the system to perform a sequence of complex tasks, with each agent contributing its specific expertise to the overall goal.
The narrative of this system unfolds as an iterative cycle of observation and action. The agent successfully handled this complex oncology case by systematically gathering data and synthesizing it into a clinically relevant recommendation. The final output demonstrates a high level of reasoning based on a sequential, multi-step process.
Agentic Workflow Breakdown ️
The agent's decision-making is a direct result of its tool-calling sequence:
Initial Assessment: The process starts with a call to get_patient_ehr, which retrieves crucial patient information, including a history of breast cancer and a family history of breast and ovarian cancer. This initial step is fundamental for contextualizing the user's query about potential recurrence.
Diagnostic Data Gathering: The agent then orders and retrieves a series of diagnostic tests. It calls get_tumor_marker_results and finds an elevated CA-125 level. While CA-125 is most often associated with ovarian cancer, its elevated levels can also be a predictive marker for outcomes in breast cancer, especially in advanced tumours.
Initial Staging: Following the concerning tumour marker result, the agent orders a CT scan to check for distant metastasis. The results come back negative, which is a favourable finding in the context of cancer.
Definitive Diagnosis: The agent's final diagnostic step is to order and retrieve a biopsy. This is the most crucial action, as only a biopsy can provide a definitive diagnosis of cancer. The biopsy confirms the recurrence of "invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC), HER2-positive".
Clinical Recommendation Analysis
The final recommendation is a comprehensive synthesis of the gathered data. The agent correctly identifies and processes complex, potentially conflicting information to provide a nuanced plan:
Synthesizing Conflicting Data: The agent effectively resolves the conflict between the elevated tumour marker (suggesting active disease) and the negative CT scan (suggesting no distant spread). It concludes that the elevated marker is concerning for a recurrence not yet visible on imaging and requires further evaluation.
The Significance of HER2-Positive Status: The agent correctly highlights the HER2-positive status of the confirmed carcinoma as a critical finding. HER2 is a protein that can cause cancer cells to grow and spread more rapidly. However, a positive status indicates that the cancer is likely to respond to highly effective targeted therapies that specifically target the HER2 protein. The agent's recommendation to consider "targeted treatment options including HER2-directed therapies" demonstrates its understanding of this key clinical factor.
Comprehensive Plan: The recommendation to have the case reviewed by a multidisciplinary tumour board and to schedule an urgent consultation reflects the standard of care for a complex oncology case. It demonstrates the agent's ability to provide a comprehensive, multifaceted plan that extends beyond a simple diagnosis.
The system's sophisticated behaviour is made possible by its underlying technology: a single, hybrid model from DeepSeek. This model, identified as DeepSeek V3.1, unifies the distinct capabilities of two previous models into a single, highly efficient architecture. DeepSeek V3.1 operates in two modes:
Non-Thinking Mode (deepseek-chat): This fast and efficient mode is used by the Orchestrator to manage the workflow and perform function calls. It is optimized for speed and structured outputs, enabling the system to interact quickly and accurately with its various Specialist Agents.
Thinking Mode (deepseek-reasoner): The more powerful thinking mode is dynamically engaged by the platform when deep reasoning and complex synthesis are required. This mode performs the logical analysis necessary to interpret conflicting data and formulate the final, expert-level diagnosis and treatment plan.
This hybrid design represents a significant advancement, enabling the system to achieve the high accuracy of a reasoning model while maintaining the speed and efficiency of a conversational model. By seamlessly switching between these two modes, the system navigates the complexities of a clinical case, from data collection to final recommendation, within a single, coherent framework.
This system exemplifies a new frontier in AI by demonstrating a dynamic, multi-agent framework capable of sophisticated problem-solving. It is a powerful example of how artificial intelligence can be a valuable collaborator in a high-stakes professional field. By handling the tedious processes of data retrieval and initial synthesis, this technology allows physicians to dedicate more time to direct patient care and complex treatment discussions. As agentic systems continue to evolve, they will become indispensable collaborators, providing physicians with a powerful tool to navigate the ever-increasing complexity of medical science and ultimately leading to more precise, personalized, and effective care.
Tags: Generative AI, Open Source, Agentic AI
Navigating Crypto Volatility: A Hybrid Deep Learning Approach to Algorithmic Trading
In the world of financial markets, few spaces are as exhilarating and unforgiving as the cryptocurrency market. The extreme volatility and complex, non-linear patterns of assets like Ethereum have rendered traditional forecasting methods largely obsolete, opening the door for advanced machine learning to seek a predictive edge. This article explores a sophisticated algorithmic trading model, developed in a Jupyter Notebook, that combines a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architecture. By training on years of historical data, the model attempts to classify future price action as "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold," and its actual efficacy is measured not only by its predictive accuracy but also by its performance in a rigorously backtested trading simulation.
The model's predictive power is rooted in a robust and extensive dataset. It was trained using approximately ten years of hourly OHLCV (Open, High, Low, Close, Volume) data for ETH/USD from the Kraken exchange, spanning from August 7, 2015, to March 31, 2025. This historical data, comprising over 81,000 candles, offers a comprehensive view of various market conditions, ranging from periods of stable growth to intense volatility.
Beyond the raw price and volume data, the model's feature set is enriched with several key technical indicators, which are calculated directly from the historical data:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): A trend-following indicator showing the relationship between two moving averages.
Bollinger Bands (BBANDS): A volatility indicator that defines a range of price movement.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): A cumulative volume-based indicator that links volume to price changes.
Average True Range (ATR): A measure of market volatility, which is also used for dynamic risk management in the backtest.
The predictive core is a hybrid deep learning model combining the strengths of CNNs and LSTMs. The architecture is sequential and meticulously designed to handle time-series data:
CNN Layers: The initial layers consist of Conv1D and MaxPooling1D, which are highly effective at identifying local patterns and extracting meaningful features from the price and volume data.
LSTM Layer: The output of the CNN layers is then fed into an LSTM layer. LSTM LSTM layer. LSTMs are a type of recurrent neural network specialized in retaining long-term dependencies in sequential data, enabling the model to understand how past events influence current and future price action.
Dense Layers: The model concludes with standard dense layers, culminating in an Softmax output layer that provides a probability distribution for the "Buy," "Sell," and "Hold" signals.
A critical challenge addressed during training was the significant class imbalance, with "Hold" signals vastly outnumbering "Buy" and "Sell" opportunities. To mitigate this, a hybrid resampling pipeline was applied to the training data RandomUnderSampler to reduce the majority class and SMOTE to create synthetic samples for the minority classes. This ensured the model learned effectively from all three signal types. The model was trained over 150 epochs, achieving a test accuracy of 72.50%.
The model's performance was evaluated using several metrics, providing a comprehensive view of its predictive capabilities.
Model Performance Metrics:
Test Loss: 0.6311
Test Accuracy: 72.50%
Classification Report: The report reveals a strong performance on "Hold" signals (precision: 0.81, recall: 0.74), but a lower, though still effective, performance on "Buy" (precision: 0.65, recall: 0.70) and "Sell" (precision: 0.67, recall: 0.73) signals.
Confusion Matrix: A visual representation of the model's predictions. The matrix shows the model correctly identified 4,967 "Hold" signals, but also frequently misclassified "Buy" and "Sell" signals as "Hold" (1,641 and 1,014 instances, respectively). This highlights a common challenge: models often default to the most conservative prediction ("Hold") when faced with uncertainty.
Backtesting Simulation:
To validate the model's real-world viability, a high-conviction backtesting simulation was performed on the test data. The strategy was disciplined, with a high confidence threshold of 0.85 and adaptive take-profit and stop-loss levels based on the Average True Range (ATR). The backtest results were as follows:
Initial Capital: $10,000.00
Final Portfolio Value: $10,248.87
Total Return: 2.49%
Trades Executed: 14
Winning Trades: 6
Losing Trades: 8
Win Rate: 42.86%
The modest but positive return of 2.49%, despite a sub-50% win rate, is a testament to the effectiveness of the backtesting strategy's risk management. The winning trades were structured to be more profitable than the losses, demonstrating a sound approach to algorithmic trading that prioritizes risk-adjusted returns over a simple high frequency of winning trades.
The project demonstrates that a hybrid CNN-LSTM model can effectively navigate the complexities of cryptocurrency trading, but its success hinges on more than just raw predictive power. While the model's test accuracy and classification metrics are strong, the backtesting results offer the most compelling narrative. A modest 2.49% return was achieved with a win rate below 50%, a seemingly counterintuitive outcome that underscores a fundamental truth of modern finance: a successful strategy is one that systematically manages risk and maximizes the gains from its correct predictions. This work serves as a powerful case study, illustrating that in the world of deep learning and algorithmic trading, a well-defined and rigorously tested risk management framework is just as critical to success as the model's predictive ability itself.
Tags: Cryptocurrency, Predictive Analytics, Open Source
The Synergy of Efficient Fine-Tuning of GPT-OSS-20B and Alpaca: An Open Source Journey on Cutting-Edge Hardware
The era of artificial intelligence is defined by the colossal power of Large Language Models (LLMs), magnificent neural networks that replicate the nuances of human language. Yet, the journey from their vast, generalized intelligence to specialized, practical applications is fraught with immense computational demands. Our recent endeavour—fine-tuning a 20-billion-parameter GPT-OSS-20B model on a formidable 4x H100 GPU cluster from Lambda.ai, meticulously guided by the finetuning_h100_fp8_lambda.py script—serves as a compelling testament. It vividly demonstrates how the strategic convergence of sophisticated algorithmic efficiency and cutting-edge hardware is not just an advantage but a necessity, unlocking unprecedented capabilities in the relentless pursuit of advanced AI.
The selection of GPT-OSS-20B for this fine-tuning endeavour is particularly significant. As a 20-billion-parameter model, it provides a robust foundation for a wide range of natural language tasks. The availability of such a potent model, especially from an entity like OpenAI that has advocated for both closed and increasingly open approaches to AI development, marks a pivotal shift in the field.
The term 'open source' implies that its architecture, weights, or at least substantial insights into its workings, are accessible to the broader research community. This open accessibility democratizes advanced AI capabilities, empowering researchers and developers to build upon and specialize state-of-the-art LLMs without starting from scratch.
The act of fine-tuning GPT-OSS-20B is not just a technical exercise; it represents a transformative pathway to maximizing the utility and impact of such a powerful foundational model. While a pre-trained LLM like GPT-OSS-20B possesses a vast general understanding of language, it lacks specific knowledge or stylistic nuances required for specialized applications. Fine-tuning bridges this gap, adapting the model's core capabilities to perform exceptionally well on domain-specific tasks or to adhere to particular interaction styles. This process allows organizations and individuals to leverage the massive investment in pre-training, customizing it for their unique needs without having to build a large model from the ground up. The open-source nature of GPT-OSS-20B amplifies this importance, as it enables a broader community to collectively refine and deploy these models, pushing the boundaries of what is possible in AI across countless sectors.
The choice of Lambda.ai's infrastructure, specifically their 4x H100 GPU cluster, was instrumental to the success of this fine-tuning project. NVIDIA's H100 Tensor Core GPUs are purpose-built for accelerating AI workloads, offering significant advantages in both computational speed and memory capacity. Each H100 GPU provides 80 GB of HBM3 memory, which is critical for accommodating the considerable parameters of models like GPT-OSS-20B. Furthermore, the H100's architecture, including its advanced Tensor Cores and NVLink interconnections, facilitates high-speed data transfer and parallel processing across multiple GPUs. This capability allowed us to distribute the immense computational burden of the 20-billion parameter model across the four GPUs, ensuring that device_map='auto' could efficiently shard the model and optimize resource utilization. The robust and scalable environment provided by Lambda.ai enabled us to leverage these hardware advantages fully, transforming a theoretically challenging task into a practical and achievable endeavour.
The finetuning_h100_fp8_lambda.py script exemplifies a sophisticated approach to making this task feasible. It strategically employs Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT), specifically Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA), to dramatically reduce the number of parameters that need to be trained. Instead of updating all 20 billion parameters, LoRA introduces small, trainable matrices alongside the original weights, effectively fine-tuning only a minuscule fraction (in our case, 0.0190%) of the model. This ingenious technique drastically cuts down memory requirements and speeds up convergence, transforming an otherwise intractable problem into a manageable one.
Complementing LoRA, the script utilizes mixed-precision training with fp16, allowing most computations to occur in a lower-precision format. This is a vital optimization for the H100 GPUs, as they are highly optimized for float16 operations, resulting in faster training times and further memory savings, which is critical when every gigabyte of VRAM counts. The script's use of device_map='auto' intelligently distributes the substantial model across all available H100 GPUs, a crucial feature for models that exceed the capacity of a single GPU. It then leverages the SFTTrainer from Hugging Face TRL to streamline the supervised fine-tuning process.
The entire fine-tuning process was meticulously monitored on the Lambda.ai system with four H100 GPUs, as visually confirmed by nvtop (see nvtop.png), which tracked images and the distinctive lambda-hostname in the terminal prompt. This close observation provided critical insights throughout our iterative optimization.
Initially, our journey encountered formidable challenges, including a "CUDA out of memory" error during the evaluation phase—a common bottleneck when pushing the limits of GPU capacity. A ValueError compounded this during TrainingArguments setup, stemming from misaligned save_steps and eval_steps. These issues necessitated a meticulous review and adjustment of our configuration. We strategically shifted from bf16=False to fp16=True for mixed-precision training, precisely tuned batch sizes, and meticulously aligned our saving and evaluation steps.
The culmination of these efforts was a remarkably swift and successful training run. The provided logs confirmed all four GPUs were actively engaged, with VRAM usage on GPUs 2 and 3 approaching their maximum capacity (79.19 GiB), typical for efficiently sharded models. The training process completed 0.1 epochs in less than seven minutes, with the final reported training loss dropping to an impressive 0.0001 and token accuracy reaching 1.0.
While these training metrics demonstrate robust learning and adaptation to the Alpaca dataset, the presence of eval_strategy="steps" further confirms that the model's performance on a validation set was continuously monitored, providing a crucial safeguard against potential overfitting. This rapid convergence, coupled with the efficient utilization of nearly all VRAM on the H100s, underscores the profound impact of combining algorithmic optimizations with specialized hardware.
The final training metrics(see metrics.png) reported at the end of the session showed an extremely low loss of 0.0001 and a mean token accuracy of 1.0. These figures indicate that the model effectively learned to predict the training data with minimal error and achieved 100% accuracy on the last reported batch. While such results demonstrate the success of the training phase and the model's strong adaptation to the new dataset, it also raises the possibility of overfitting. Overfitting occurs when a model learns the training data too well, potentially memorizing noise and specific examples rather than generalizing underlying patterns. This can lead to reduced performance on new, unseen data. Therefore, while the training loss and accuracy are excellent indicators of the model's learning on the provided data, a comprehensive evaluation would also consider the validation loss (eval_loss) to ensure robust generalization to new examples. Setting the eval_strategy to "steps" confirms that the model's performance on the validation set was monitored during the run, providing a crucial check against overfitting.
The fine-tuning of a 20-billion-parameter LLM like GPT-OSS-20B on a 4x H100 GPU cluster is more than just a technical achievement; it's a profound statement about the future of AI. This endeavour, powered by intelligent techniques like LoRA and mixed-precision training, unequivocally demonstrates that the path to advanced AI lies in the strategic convergence of sophisticated algorithms and purpose-built hardware. By transforming the previously insurmountable challenge of adapting colossal models into a rapid and efficient process, we unlock unprecedented accessibility and impact for AI across all sectors. This synergy empowers rapid iteration and deployment, accelerating the transition of theoretical AI capabilities into tangible, transformative solutions that will redefine industries and elevate human potential. Critically, as even corporate giants begin to recognize, fostering an open-source community around AI is increasingly seen as the most direct route to achieving superintelligence faster, collectively accelerating progress beyond what any single entity could achieve.
Tags: Predictive Analytics, Generative AI, Open Source
Optimizing Text Classification: A Deep Dive into Fine-Tuning BERT with Flax and JAX on TPUs
In the realm of artificial intelligence, Natural Language Processing (NLP) stands as a cornerstone, enabling machines to understand, interpret, and generate human language. At the forefront of this revolution are pre-trained transformer models, particularly BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers), which have fundamentally reshaped how we tackle complex language tasks. These sophisticated models, initially trained on vast corpora of text, possess an incredible ability to learn intricate language patterns. However, to excel at specific applications like classifying text, they require a tailored approach: fine-tuning. This article delves into the meticulous process of adapting a BERT-based model for text classification on the GLUE benchmark, showcasing how the formidable power of Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), coupled with the flexible and efficient JAX and Flax frameworks, drives cutting-edge performance in NLP.
The journey of fine-tuning begins with establishing a robust computing environment and preparing the textual data. The process involves installing essential libraries like Transformers, Datasets, Flax, and Optax. Crucially, the TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) is configured for JAX, ensuring that the high-performance hardware accelerator is ready for computation—a step verified by confirming the availability of eight TPU devices.
Data preparation is handled efficiently using the GLUE Benchmark, a collection of nine diverse text classification tasks. The load_dataset and load_metric Functions from the Datasets library are used to fetch the relevant data and its corresponding evaluation metric (e.g., Matthews correlation for classification). Before feeding text to the model, a Transformers Tokenizer (e.g., for "bert-base-cased") converts raw sentences into numerical representations, adding special tokens, padding, and truncation to a uniform length of 128. This ensures the data is in the precise format required by the model.
At the technical core of this fine-tuning endeavour are JAX and Flax. JAX is a numerical computing library that combines automatic differentiation with the XLA compiler, allowing for highly efficient computations and easy gradient calculations. Built upon JAX, Flax is a neural network library designed for flexibility and performance. Its functional design ensures models are immutable, with parameters managed externally and updated in a controlled, predictable manner, aligning perfectly with JAX's parallel computing transformations. This powerful synergy of JAX, Flax, and TPUs allows for remarkable training speeds and cost efficiencies when working with complex models like BERT.
With the environment set and data prepared, the fine-tuning process moves to adapting the pre-trained BERT model for the specific classification task. The FlaxAutoModelForSequenceClassification class is used to load a pre-trained BERT model and automatically integrate a classification head. While the base BERT layers retain their learned weights, this new classification head starts with random parameters, which will be discovered during fine-tuning. The number of output labels for this head is dynamically set based on the specific GLUE task (e.g., 2 for binary classification, 3 for multi-class tasks like MNLI, or 1 for regression).
The training itself is an iterative process meticulously orchestrated within the JAX and Flax ecosystem. A TrainState class acts as a central hub, managing the model's parameters, the optimizer, and the functions for loss calculation and evaluation. The AdamW optimizer from the Optax library is a key component, chosen for its effectiveness in deep learning training, often accompanied by a custom decay_mask_fn method to apply weight decay selectively. A linear learning rate schedule with a warmup phase is also typically defined to guide the optimization process.
The heart of the training lies in the train_step eval_step Functions are both critically optimized by JAX's pmap transformation. This enables parallel execution across all available TPU devices, compiling the functions once and running them concurrently on each core, significantly boosting training efficiency. During atrain_step, the model processes a batch of data, calculates the prediction error (loss), and then computes the gradients of this loss concerning the model's parameters. These gradients are then averaged across all TPU devices to ensure consistent updates before the optimizer adjusts the model's weights. Conversely, a eval_step process of data to generate predictions, which are then used to compute evaluation metrics (like Matthews correlation for classification tasks) to assess the model's performance on unseen data. Data loaders ensure that training data is shuffled and batches are properly sharded for parallel processing, while evaluation data is prepared for consistent assessment. This continuous cycle of training and evaluation, monitored closely for progress, is repeated for a specified number of epochs.
Achieving a high-performing model is rarely a direct path; it typically involves systematic experimentation to identify the optimal set of hyperparameters. These settings control the learning process itself, rather than being learned from the data. Key hyperparameters include the learning rate, which dictates the step size during weight updates; the number of epochs, determining how many times the model iterates over the entire training dataset; and weight decay, a regularization technique that prevents model weights from becoming too large and consequently reduces overfitting.
The experiments conducted to find these optimal settings involved two distinct hyperparameter searches. The first series of trials explored various combinations of learning rates (,, and ) and epochs (3, 5, and 10). The most promising performance in this group was observed with a learning rate of after 3 or 5 epochs, both yielding a strong Matthews correlation score of. Interestingly, extending the training to 10 epochs with this same learning rate led to a slight decrease in the score, hinting at potential overfitting or a learning rate no longer ideal for prolonged training. The lowest score, , was recorded with a learning rate of and five epochs.
A second set of experiments was then performed to tune the weight decay. These runs utilized a fixed learning rate of and 10 epochs, with weight decay values tested at, and. The results indicated an improvement in performance as the weight decay increased, with the highest score achieved at a weight decay of .
By synthesizing the outcomes from both hyperparameter searches, the overall optimal combination was identified. The optimal hyperparameters for this specific text classification task were determined to be a learning rate of, three epochs, and a weight decay of. This combination ultimately yielded the highest Matthews correlation score. This data-driven, systematic approach to hyperparameter tuning is paramount for extracting the best possible performance from a fine-tuned model.
The culmination of the fine-tuning process often involves sharing the trained model with the broader machine learning community. This is typically facilitated through platforms like the Hugging Face Hub. For instance, the fine-tuned BERT model discussed in this essay is publicly available on the Hugging Face Hub at https://huggingface.co/frankmorales2020/bert-base-cased_fine_tuned_glue_cola.
Furthermore, the complete code for this fine-tuning process, including the experiments and setup, can be found on GitHub: https://github.com/frank-morales2020/MLxDL/blob/main/BERT_Text_Classification_on_GLUE_on_TPU_using_Jax_Flax___mdda.ipynb.
The steps for sharing include installing git-lfs to manage large model files, configuring Git credentials (such as email and username), and authenticating with a Hugging Face API token. These measures enable the seamless uploading of the fine-tuned model checkpoint and its associated tokenizer, making the valuable trained asset accessible for others to use, reproduce, or build upon.
The journey of fine-tuning a BERT model for text classification on TPUs with Flax and JAX is a powerful demonstration of how advanced frameworks and specialized hardware can be leveraged to push the boundaries of Natural Language Processing. This methodical approach, encompassing environment setup, data preparation, parallelized training, and systematic hyperparameter optimization, is crucial for developing robust and efficient NLP solutions. The insights gained from fine-tuning, particularly in identifying optimal learning rates, training durations, and regularization techniques, directly contribute to unlocking the full potential of pre-trained language models. Ultimately, this detailed process underscores the intricate interplay between theoretical understanding and practical implementation, paving the way for more sophisticated and high-performing AI applications in the real world.
Tags: Generative AI, Open Source, Predictive Analytics
Building an Intelligent Flight Assistant: A Multi-Level AI Journey - Agentic and Gemini 2.5 Flash
The journey begins with the foundations of GenAI and transformer models (Level 1), where the system is initialized by configuring the LLM (specifically, gemini-2.5-flash) and embedding models. This initial setup establishes the core AI engine. Building upon this, Level 2 delves into language model behaviour and prompting, demonstrating how to craft prompts for flight-related queries. Crucially, it introduces the concept of managing "hallucinations" by adding disclaimers to responses, ensuring users understand the simulated nature of the information. The output at this stage successfully explains complex aviation concepts like ICAO codes, showcasing the LLM's ability to generate informative text.
The system then advances to integrate external knowledge and capabilities. Level 3 introduces Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG), a vital technique for grounding LLM responses in factual data. By simulating the retrieval of relevant flight information from a pre-defined dataset, the system can provide contextually accurate answers to specific queries, such as details about "Air Canada flight AC123." Following this, Level 4 explores LLMOps and tool integration. Here, the AI is empowered to interact with external "tools," exemplified by a mock weather API. This allows the system to respond to queries requiring real-time data, even if the data itself is simulated, demonstrating a critical step towards practical application.
The code demonstrates a multi-level approach to building a flight planning and booking system using a large language model (LLM). It starts with the fundamental concepts of GenAI and prompting, then progressively introduces more advanced topics. The levels are structured as follows:
Here is a summary of the final output:
As the system grows more sophisticated, the focus shifts to creating more autonomous and stateful components. Level 5 introduces the concept of agents and agentic frameworks, where a FlightPlannerAgent is designed to simulate intelligent planning. This agent can analyze a user's request and determine the necessary next steps, such as identifying missing information for a flight search. This agentic behaviour is further enhanced in Level 6, which focuses on agent memory, state, and orchestration. A FlightBookingAssistant is developed to maintain a continuous conversation, updating its internal state with user-provided details like origin, destination, and travel dates. This allows for more natural and coherent multi-turn interactions.
The pinnacle of the system's design is reached with multi-agent systems and collaboration (Level 7). Here, a MultiAgentFlightSystem orchestrates the interaction between the PlanningAgent and the BookingAssistant. The planning agent initiates the process, formulates a preliminary plan, and then seamlessly hands it off to the booking assistant for further processing, showcasing a modular and collaborative AI architecture. Beyond functionality, the document addresses critical aspects of AI system reliability and deployment. Level 8 delves into evaluation, feedback loops, and reinforcement learning (RL), conceptually demonstrating how a system's performance can be evaluated and refined over time through simulated feedback. Level 9 emphasizes protocols, safety, and advanced alignment, illustrating how strict safety prompts can be integrated to prevent the agent from providing harmful or non-compliant information, a crucial consideration for real-world applications. Finally, Level 10 provides a conceptual overview of building, operating, and deploying such a system in production. This level touches upon vital LLMOps considerations like prompt caching for efficiency, observability for monitoring, traceability for debugging, and cost management for optimizing resource usage.
In conclusion, the Jupyter Notebook presents a compelling narrative of building a complex AI application from the ground up. It meticulously guides the reader through ten distinct levels, each adding a layer of sophistication to the flight assistant. From initial LLM configuration and intelligent prompting to robust data integration, multi-agent collaboration, and essential safety and production considerations, the document offers a holistic view of the iterative process of developing advanced Generative AI solutions.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Predictive Analytics
Transforming Drug Discovery: The ADMET Agentic AI and Grok-4 Powered Pipeline
The quest for new medicines has historically been a protracted and resource-intensive endeavour, often marked by trial-and-error experimentation and substantial financial investments. However, the advent of artificial intelligence is rapidly transforming this landscape, ushering in an era of 'in silico' drug discovery. This paradigm shift, vividly demonstrated by an ADMET agentic AI pipeline featuring a Grok-4 agent, holds the promise to significantly accelerate the identification of promising drug candidates by simulating complex biological and chemical processes computationally, instilling optimism about the future of pharmaceutical research.
In silico ADMET refers to the use of computational (or "silico") methods to predict the Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism, Excretion, and Toxicity of chemical compounds, particularly drug candidates.
Here's a breakdown:
Purpose in Drug Discovery: The primary goal of in silico ADMET prediction is to screen potential drug candidates early in the discovery process. By predicting these properties computationally, researchers can:
The concept behind the provided code is to demonstrate a simulated in silico drug discovery pipeline using an AI agent. This pipeline leverages a large language model (LLM), specifically a simulated Grok-4 agent, to orchestrate and automate various steps in the drug discovery process. The core idea is to replace or augment traditional, time-consuming, and expensive wet-lab experiments with computational simulations. By using specialized "tools" that mimic real-world drug discovery actions (like synthesizing molecules, identifying disease targets, running assays, and predicting ADMET properties), the AI agent can rapidly explore, evaluate, and prioritize potential drug candidates. The code establishes a framework where the AI agent receives a query, determines which computational tool is most suitable to address that query, executes the tool (which provides simulated results), and then interprets these results to give a coherent response. This enables a fast, iterative, and data-driven approach to drug discovery, allowing researchers to quickly filter out unpromising compounds and focus resources on those with the highest potential. The "simulation" aspect means that while the interactions between the agent and the tools are fundamental, the outcomes of the drug discovery steps (e.g., yield percentage, binding affinity) are randomly generated to illustrate the process, rather than reflecting actual experimental data.
The Grok-4 agent, serving as the intelligent orchestrator of the sophisticated pipeline, is equipped with a suite of specialized tools. This AI acts as a central brain, interpreting complex queries and delegating tasks to the appropriate computational modules. Whether the task involves synthesizing a molecule, identifying a disease target, simulating an assay, or predicting ADMET properties, the agent seamlessly integrates these diverse functionalities, enabling a highly efficient workflow.
The final output presents a simulated drug discovery pipeline managed by a Grok 4 agent, demonstrating its capabilities through a series of seven distinct steps.
While the current demonstration operates in a simulated environment, the implications of such an ADMET agentic AI pipeline are profound. It represents a significant leap towards truly automated and intelligent drug discovery, where AI can not only process vast amounts of data but also make informed decisions, suggest modifications, and predict outcomes with unprecedented speed. This capability holds the potential to drastically accelerate the pace at which new therapeutic agents are brought to market, offering hope for addressing currently intractable diseases. By integrating advanced AI with specialized computational tools, the future of drug discovery promises to be more efficient, cost-effective, and ultimately, more successful in delivering life-changing medicines.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Predictive Analytics
MISTRAL AI Agents for Protein Folding: A Conceptual Framework
The intricate process by which a linear chain of amino acids folds into a unique, three-dimensional structure is fundamental to all biological life. This "protein folding problem" is notoriously complex, yet its understanding is crucial for advancements in medicine, biotechnology, and material science. The advent of artificial intelligence presents powerful new avenues for tackling this challenge. As demonstrated by a recent AI agent system, a modular, multi-agent approach can effectively dissect and address various facets of protein folding, from data acquisition to ethical considerations, showcasing a sophisticated framework for scientific inquiry.
At the heart of this innovative approach lies the multi-agent paradigm. Instead of a monolithic AI attempting to solve the entire problem, the system employs several specialized AI agents, each endowed with distinct expertise and a set of tools. This modularity offers significant advantages: it allows for the division of labour, promotes scalability, and enables each agent to specialize in a specific domain, thereby enhancing efficiency and accuracy. This specialization reflects the collaborative nature of real-world scientific research, where experts from various fields come together to achieve a common goal, inviting you to be part of this collaborative journey.
The practical application of the MISTRAL AI system's conceptual framework is vividly illustrated through the agents' outputs. The Protein Sequence Data Agent, acting as a biological librarian, swiftly fetches an amino acid sequence and associated metadata for a given protein ID, even identifying existing experimental 3D structures. This immediate access to foundational data is a clear demonstration of the system's capabilities.
Following this, the Folding Prediction & Simulation Agent steps in, conceptually simulating the dynamic process of folding. While a short amino acid sequence might prove insufficient for a meaningful prediction, the agent can still outline the process of molecular dynamics simulation, detailing how minor structural fluctuations might occur over a short period, such as 10 nanoseconds. This highlights the agent's understanding of the underlying scientific principles, even when precise data is limited.
The code demonstrates the architecture and functionality of an AI agent system designed for protein folding analysis. The core concept is to use a multi-agent system built with the Mistral AI SDK to simulate a complex scientific workflow. The system is structured around several specialized agents, each responsible for a specific domain task:
Conceptual Simulation: The demonstration utilizes 'mock' functions to simulate the behaviour of complex scientific processes (such as AlphaFold or GROMACS), illustrating how agents would interact in a real-world scenario without requiring actual high-performance computing resources. This showcases the system's ability to handle complex scientific processes, instilling confidence in its capabilities. The overall goal is to showcase how AI agents can be configured and tested to automate a scientific workflow, explicitly addressing the challenges of protein folding and analysis.
The final output of the code, as presented in the provided code, summarizes the results of the executed test cases and the interactions between the agents. The code execution output demonstrates that the AI agents successfully performed their designated tasks using the conceptual (mock) tools defined in the notebook.
Here is a summary of the final output for each test case:
Further along the analytical pipeline, the Misfolding Analysis & Intervention Agent takes center stage. Protein misfolding is implicated in numerous diseases, making its identification paramount. This agent can pinpoint 'hotspots' – specific regions within a protein prone to misfolding or aggregation. By analyzing simulated data, it identifies areas, such as residues 600-610 and 980-990 in a hypothetical protein, attributing their propensity for misfolding to hydrophobic patches. Such insights are invaluable for understanding disease mechanisms and designing therapeutic interventions. Finally, to consolidate these disparate findings, the Result Synthesis & Interpretation Agent weaves together the predicted structures, folding dynamics, and misfolding analyses into a comprehensive report, complete with confidence scores and potential chaperone recommendations. This agent transforms raw data and analytical insights into actionable knowledge, demonstrating the power of AI in generating structured scientific summaries and empowering you with comprehensive information.
Beyond the purely scientific aspects, the system also incorporates a crucial dimension: ethical consideration. The Historical & Ethical Context Agent provides a broader perspective, capable of recalling significant milestones in protein science, such as Cyrus Levinthal's paradox, which underscored the immense complexity of protein folding.
In essence, this multi-agent AI system for protein folding exemplifies a powerful approach to tackling complex scientific problems. By breaking down a grand challenge into manageable, specialized tasks handled by interconnected agents, the system demonstrates how AI can facilitate comprehensive analysis, accelerate discovery, and even integrate ethical foresight into the scientific process. While the current demonstration utilizes conceptual mock data, the underlying framework lays a robust foundation for future AI-driven research, promising to unlock more profound insights into protein behaviour and its implications for human health.
Tags: Agentic AI, Generative AI, Open Source
AI Agents with Mistral AI LLMs: A New Paradigm for Scientific Discovery
The landscape of scientific inquiry is rapidly evolving, driven by the increasing complexity of grand challenges that defy traditional, single-disciplinary approaches. From the mysteries of the universe to the intricacies of life at the molecular level, these problems demand innovative solutions. A promising paradigm emerging to meet this demand is the development of modular AI agent frameworks, which leverage diverse large language models (LLMs) and specialized tools to orchestrate sophisticated problem-solving. This approach, exemplified by the MSTRAL AI Agents framework, provides a powerful blueprint for accelerating discovery, sparking curiosity, and inspiring exploration, as demonstrated by its conceptual application to the notoriously challenging protein folding problem.
The code illustrates a conceptual framework for developing and evaluating AI agents intended to address complex scientific challenges. The core idea is to break down a significant, multifaceted problem (like understanding protein folding or proving relativity) into smaller, manageable sub-problems, each handled by a specialized AI agent. Here's the breakdown of the concept:
Based on the code, two different Large Language Models (LLMs) are used for the AI agents, both developed by Mistral AI:
A crucial strategic advantage of this modular design lies in its capacity to incorporate diverse LLMs. The framework enables different agents to be powered by various underlying large language models, each selected for its specific strengths and capabilities. For instance, an agent tasked with broad knowledge retrieval, such as a "Protein Sequence Data Agent," might utilize a powerful model like mistral-large-latest. This model's "large-latest" designation suggests it is optimized for comprehensive understanding and complex reasoning across vast datasets, making it ideal for fetching diverse scientific information. Conversely, agents focused on more analytical, conceptual, or synthesis-oriented tasks, like the "Folding Prediction & Simulation Agent" or the "Result Synthesis & Interpretation Agent," might employ a "medium-latest" model. The magistral-medium-latest model noted as the primary Mistral AI model for these agents in the provided context, is likely selected for its balance of robust analytical capabilities and computational efficiency. This strategic matching of LLM capabilities to agent-specific tasks ensures that each component of the problem-solving pipeline is handled by the most suitable AI, optimizing both performance and resource utilization.
The practical utility of this framework is vividly illustrated by its conceptual application to the protein folding problem in bioscience. This challenge, encapsulated by Levinthal's Paradox, seeks to understand how proteins rapidly achieve their precise three-dimensional structures and, conversely, how misfolding leads to debilitating diseases.
The final output demonstrates the successful execution of refactored AI agents designed to tackle the protein folding problem, leveraging the Mistral AI Agents framework. The agents were successfully created and interacted with their respective mock tools, responding relevant to the bioscience field. Specifically, the output shows:
The "Protein Sequence Data Agent" successfully retrieves mock protein sequences and experimental structure data, laying the groundwork for analysis. The "Folding Prediction & Simulation Agent" conceptually attempts to predict protein structures and simulate molecular dynamics, thereby demonstrating the modelling aspect. The "Misfolding Analysis & Intervention Agent" identifies hypothetical misfolding hotspots and suggests interventions, showcasing its role in disease understanding. All these findings are then consolidated by the "Result Synthesis & Interpretation Agent" into a comprehensive report. Furthermore, the "Historical & Ethical Context Agent" offers a broader perspective, discussing milestones such as Levinthal's Paradox and analyzing the ethical implications of cutting-edge bioscience applications, including CRISPR for proteinopathies. The output demonstrates the agents' ability to process queries, invoke their specialized tools (even if mocked), and generate domain-specific responses, showcasing the framework's potential for tackling real-world scientific complexities.
The implications of such AI agent frameworks for scientific discovery are profound. By automating and intelligently orchestrating complex research workflows, these systems can accelerate hypothesis generation, data analysis, and experimental design. They offer the capacity to navigate and synthesize vast amounts of information, identify subtle patterns that human researchers might miss, and explore computational spaces far more efficiently. This represents a significant step beyond simple automation, moving towards a future where AI agents act as intelligent, collaborative partners in the scientific process, freeing human researchers to focus on higher-level conceptualization and interpretation. The modularity and adaptability of this framework suggest that its applicability extends beyond bioscience to other grand challenges, including drug discovery, materials science, climate modelling, and beyond.
In conclusion, the conceptual framework demonstrated by the Gemini 2.0 AI Agents, with its emphasis on modular AI agents, diverse LLM utilization, and specialized tool use, represents a compelling new paradigm for scientific problem-solving. By intelligently decomposing complex challenges and orchestrating specialized AI components, this approach offers a powerful pathway to unravelling some of the most enduring mysteries in science, ushering in an era of accelerated discovery and innovation.
Tags: Agentic AI, AI, Open Source
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