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Roger Spitz
Chair at Disruptive Futures Institute
San Francisco, United States
Roger Spitz (B.Sc. Econ, M.Sc., FCA, APF) is an award-winning author and the world authority on systemic disruption, the future of leadership, and strategic foresight. Ranked among the World’s Top 30 Futurist Professionals (Global Gurus), Spitz has delivered thousands of keynotes across six continents, captivating audiences in over 40 countries, and guest lectured at many of the world’s most prestigious institutions.
As President of Techistential, the preeminent foresight practice, and Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute in San Francisco, Spitz advises CEOs, boards, and investors on navigating uncertainty, anticipating disruptions, and creating sustainable value. He is an advisor to the World Economic Forum's Global Foresight Network, and serves on multiple boards focused on anticipatory leadership, sustainable futures, artificial intelligence and venture capital.
Author of five bestsellers, including the acclaimed collection 'The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption' and award-winning 'Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World'. Disrupt With Impact is the winner of the 2024 Chanticleer International Best Book Awards, Harvey Chute Category Winner (Non-Fiction Business & Enterprise), winner of the 2024 Foreword Indies Book of the Year Award - Bronze, Business & Economics, and was named finalist in the 2025 International Book Awards (IBA) for both General Business and Management & Leadership. Spitz's frameworks are adopted by organizations worldwide and lauded by Edison Electric Institute (EEI), Global Peter Drucker Forum, Institute of Directors, MIT Technology Review, Risk.Net, and World Economic Forum.
A leading expert in AI, Spitz coined the term Techistentialism, founded the Techistential Center for Human & Artificial Intelligence. Spitz also serves on the AI Council of the Indian Society for Artificial Intelligence and on the World Economic Forum’s AI Global Alliance. He delivers keynotes and writes extensively on the intelligence shift: the future of AI and decision-making.
Renowned for his pioneering work in climate foresight and bestselling books on sustainability, Spitz is a Climatebase Fellow and a board member of LuxCS (Brazil’s first carbon credit certifier). Through the DFI Nature & Climate Academy, he equips leaders to accelerate the energy transition via transformative change.
A strong advocate for startups, he is an advisor at Vektor Partners and Berkeley SkyDeck’s fund. Spitz previously led Global Technology M&A and Strategic Advisory at BNP Paribas, advising on over 50 transactions totaling $25bn. He launched the bank’s US M&A practice in San Francisco, built its Global Technology & Digital Corporate Finance Advisory franchises, and led the Aerospace & Defense Industrials Advisory team.
Bilingual English and French, Spitz was born in South Africa and has lived in 10 cities across three continents.
Available For: Advising, Authoring, Influencing, Speaking Travels From: San Francisco. California
Speaking Topics: The Mindset Shift: Become Visionary in an Unpredictable World. | The Intelligence Shift: Upgrade Human Decision-Making in the Age of AI. | The Leaders
ROGER SPITZ OFFICIAL SPEAKER REEL 2026 | Global Futurist & Keynote Speaker
February 10, 2026
ROGER SPITZ | KEYNOTE SPEAKER SHOWREEL 2024-2025
February 10, 2026
Roger Spitz TV Interview @ CNN
February 10, 2026
Featured Topics
INSPIRED & EMPOWERED TO DRIVE CHANGE - Catalyzing Positive Tipping Points through Agency, Foresight, and Storytelling
Many efforts to address our global crises rely on grim narratives that emphasize a bleak future if we fail to act. Yet, we often neglect the power of optimistic narratives - those that highlight informed opportunities to drive positive transformation. In this inspiring keynote, we will explore how agency, storytelling, and systems thinking are powerful tools that can create impactful pathways toward transformative tipping points.
Humanity stands at a crossroads. As Roger Spitz puts it, “Everything in our world is constantly evolving - except our organizations, strategies, and governance structures.” Drawing on insights from Disrupt with Impact, Roger’s bestselling book, we’ll explore the power of informed optimism in shaping the futures. The audience will leave with practical frameworks for embracing uncertainty and using storytelling to create virtuous inflection points that catalyze transformation across systems.
BECOME VISIONARY TO SEE THE FUTURE - Change Is Slow, Until It Isn’t: Anticipating Unpredictable Futures
The future of prediction is not about AI or data, but imagination. In a world where disruption has become a steady state, it’s time to rethink the fundamentals of underlying change. Welcome to the end of trends.
To contrast metatrends, Roger Spitz introduces the concept of “metaruption,” a multidimensional family of systemic disruptions that cause widespread effects, including shifts in the notion of disruption itself. We’ll also examine why predictions fall short in today’s UN-VICE environment (UNknown, Volatile, Intersecting, Complex, and Exponential). Rather than chasing fleeting trends, the audience will learn to prioritize signals over noise and embrace foresight. Together, we will explore uncharted waters with a compass calibrated for the unpredictable.
UPGRADE HUMAN DECISION-MAKING IN THE AGE OF AI - The Future of AI and Decision-Making in an Era of Systemic Disruption
Artificial intelligence is rapidly advancing into domains once considered exclusively human. While we’ve long excelled at decision-making, our advantage may be waning. As Roger Spitz explores through his concept of “Techistentialism,” our very existence and decision-making are being fundamentally reshaped by technology.
Automation, cognification, decentralization, digitization, and virtualization are altering every aspect of our lives. How can humans enhance their capabilities to remain relevant as AI advances? What higher-level functions are machines now capable of, and how quickly are they learning? What strategies can we adopt to thrive in a world where AI increasingly influences decision-making? You’ll leave this keynote with actionable tools and a mindset shift to thrive in a future where human cognition and AI are inseparable.
World Economic Forum Global Foresight Network (GFN)
World Economic Forum
January 01, 2024
Expert Advisor and Member of the World Economic Forum's Global Foresight Network. Contributor to Forum Agenda on capacity building for strategic foresight and future-preparedness.
Vektor Partners Venture Partner
Vektor Partners
March 01, 2021
Venture partner with Vektor Partners (Venture Capital fund, Palo Alto, London & Berlin), focused on investing in the future of sustainable mobility and electrification. Investment thesis in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, Software, category-defining SaaS/MaaS-based businesses.
Tags: Emerging Technology, Entrepreneurship, Venture Capital
1 Analyst Advisory
World Economic Forum AI Global Alliance (AIGA)
World Economic Forum
February 03, 2026
Working Group Member of the World Economic Forum's AI Global Alliance (AIGA), part of the Forum's Global Centre for AI Excellence dedicated to shaping a resilient and trustworthy AI innovation ecosystem. Workstreams span critical areas of Artificial Intelligence, including advancing responsible adoption, integrating AI across industries, shaping robust regulatory approaches through regulation, resilient and anticipatory governance, driving countries competitiveness, and advancing technical standards to support the safe development and deployment of advanced AI systems.
From Foresight to Zeitgeist: Prophetic “Metaruptions” Define the Decade as the Era of Systemic Change
Disruptive Futures Institute Medium
March 15, 2026
Disruptive Futures Institute Affirms Spitz’s Metaruptions Concept as Word of the Year, Demonstrating Prescient Framework that Predicted the Collapse of Isolated Trends
Press enter or click to view image in full size
Metaruptions — The Disruptive Futures Institute 2026 Word of the Year
“The world still chases trends as reliable harbingers. That era ended long ago.”
Over five years in the making — spanning seminal publications and global boardrooms — Roger Spitz’s Metaruptions have shifted from foresight concept to the dominant reality of 2026. As isolated trends collapse into systemic compounding change, we face the end of the ‘trend’ era and the rise of the Metaruption.
What was once a specialized framework for navigating complex change has become the defining lens of 2026. The Disruptive Futures Institute (DFI) traces the evolution of “Metaruptions” from a 2019 foresight construct to the structural reality now dictating geopolitics, business, society, and culture. Today, the term moves from the boardroom into the center of public discourse. Coined by Roger Spitz in 2019, and codified in the Disruptive Futures Institute’s body of work from 2020 to 2024, Metaruptions describe multidimensional, self-reinforcing systemic disruptions, where technological breakthroughs, ecological shifts, geopolitical frictions, societal transformations, and human evolutions intersect and amplify in interconnected, unpredictable cascades.
“Leaders long clung to trends as the currency of foresight,” said Spitz. “Metaruptions reveal change as a networked force: combinatory, exponential, and boundaryless. What were once perceived as provocative constructs are now the pervasive reality of the decade — presenting both existential challenges and unprecedented opportunities. Welcome to the end of trends” — Roger Spitz, Creator of Metaruptions Framework
Redefining uncertainty in our unpredictable world
Institute and Faculty of Actuaries
January 07, 2026
From risks to structural uncertainties:
In 1921, economist Frank Knight drew a foundational distinction between risk and uncertainty. According to his writing in ‘Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit’, risk pertains to situations in which “the distribution of the outcome in a group of instances is known.” In contrast, uncertainty arises in contexts that are, to a significant extent, unique, making it difficult or impossible to assign probabilities to potential outcomes.
Around the same time, John Maynard Keynes similarly questioned the reliability of probabilistic reasoning in his ‘Treatise on Probability’. Both Knight and Keynes were responding to a growing realisation in early 20th century thought: not all future events are foreseeable, and not all uncertainty can be reduced to quantifiable risk.
So what happens when uncertainty cannot be quantified and outcomes unknown? Deep uncertainty – where even the nature or likelihood of future states is contested – emerges in nonlinear systems shaped by complexity, unknowability, and interdependent dynamics. In such environments, shocks can accelerate through feedback loops and cascade systemically.
Disruptive Futures Institute Defines 2026 as a Critical Threshold for the ‘Decade of Techistentialism’
Disruptive Futures Institute
December 14, 2025
Marking Ten Years of Techistentialism, the Disruptive Futures Institute Mobilizes Global Initiatives to Reclaim Human Agency as the Architect of the Futures
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, December 14, 2025 /EINPresswire.com/ -- Phenomena once dismissed as distant theoretical challenges have collapsed into immediate, concrete realities. As the world approaches 2026 - now statistically closer to 2050 than to 2000 - society enters a decisive transition. The Disruptive Futures Institute (DFI) today confirms that the erosion of agency - once the central warning of Techistentialism - has crystallized into the defining condition of the present.
With 2026, the preservation of human agency ceases to be a default condition; it demands deliberate assertion against algorithmic determinism.
"Techistentialism studies existence and decision-making in a technological world. As these conditions are now inseparable, the next few years will determine the trajectory of humanity.”— Roger Spitz
Disruptive Futures Institute Names “Metaruptions” 2026 Word of the Year
Disruptive Futures Institute
December 13, 2025
As the global landscape pivots toward the new year, the Disruptive Futures Institute has officially selected “Metaruptions” as the 2026 Word of the Year. “Metaruptions” redefine how we understand systemic change. The word describes systemic, multidimensional shifts, where volatility is no longer a bug in the system but a feature.
“Metaruptions”: Defining 2026 Before it Begins
Coined by Roger Spitz, and as a central theme to the Disruptive Futures Institute’s body of work, “Metaruptions” goes beyond rote disruption, identifying the meta-layer where disruptions begin to disrupt the frameworks we use to understand change itself. While terms like “rage bait” or “AI slop” diagnose symptoms of a fractured digital environment, Metaruptions diagnose the underlying drivers: systemic, unpredictable shifts that render old playbooks obsolete and demand new anticipatory leadership.
Metaruptions are multidimensional families of systemic disruptions, including shifts in the notion of disruption itself. These are complex, self-reinforcing forces that transcend mere trends - unpredictable shifts that redefine industries, rewrite rules, and demand a new mindset.
Metaruptions generate widespread, self-perpetuating effects that extend beyond initial disruptions. As changes ripple through systems, they interact, amplify, and modify other elements - ultimately disrupting disruption itself.
Spitz, R. “Disruptive Futures Institute Names ‘Metaruptions’ 2026 Word of the Year”. Disruptive Futures Institute, December 11, 2025.
Foresight is Dead. Long Live Foresight. How Can Futurists Shape a Future Already Colliding with the Present?
Association of Professional Futurists (APF) and the Global Futures Society (GFS)
November 17, 2025
This article, titled “Foresight is Dead. Long Live Foresight. How Can Futurists Shape a Future Already Colliding with the Present?” by Roger Spitz, was published in the first Special Edition of the Association of Professional Futurists’ Compass Magazine, in collaboration with the Global Futures Society (GFS). This special edition was made available in limited quantities at the Dubai Future Forum 2025.
Citation:
Spitz, R. “Foresight is Dead. Long Live Foresight. How Can Futurists Shape a Future Already Colliding with the Present?”, Compass Magazine Special Edition, Association of Professional Futurists (APF) and the Global Futures Society (GFS), November, 2025.
The full issue of this Special Edition of Compass Magazine can be found here:
https://www.apf.org/product-page/compass-dff-special-issue-what-makes-a-futurist
https://www.dubaifuture.ae/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/DFF_Compass-Magazine_Digital.pdf
Unpredictability by Design: Zen Buddhism & Philosophy to Embrace Systemic Change with Agency
Substack Thriving on Disruption
November 17, 2025
Unpredictability by Design: Zen Buddhism & Philosophy to Embrace Systemic Change with Agency
The Disruptive Futures Institute marks five years of pioneering a unique approach to strategic foresight — one rooted in Zen Buddhism, Eastern, and existential philosophies.
As disruption becomes the new normal, the Disruptive Futures Institute marks five years of pioneering a unique approach to strategic foresight — one rooted in Zen Buddhism, Eastern, and existential philosophies.
Unpredictability & Adaptive Risk Management for our Deeply Uncertain World
actuview
September 16, 2025
Risk is often treated as something we can model and measure. But what happens when uncertainty cannot be quantified? Deep uncertainty – where even the nature or likelihood of future states is contested – emerges in nonlinear systems shaped by complexity, unknowability, and interdependent dynamics. In such environments, shocks can accelerate through feedback loops and cascade systemically. This uncertainty is also asymmetrical: shocks and disruptions propagate unevenly across sectors, geographies, and stakeholders, amplifying systemic fragilities. As unprecedented events grow more frequent, the shortcomings of traditional risk models become starker.
Financial models thrive on data to price risk and calculate returns, yet the world is throwing curveballs – climate shifts, geoeconomic shocks, and all sorts of systemic disruptions – that defy historical patterns. Put simply, there is no data on the future.
This raises a hard question: “Have our traditional ‘predict and act’ models, built on mountains of data, stopped working?”
Disruptive Futures Institute Reveals the Secrets Behind Global Impact in New Article Series
Disruptive Futures Institute
August 11, 2025
Press Release:
Shaping the Future: Roger Spitz’s Disruptive Futures Institute Releases 4-Part Article Series Honoring 5 Years of Award-Winning Innovation in Foresight
Metaruptions and the End of Trends: 5 Ways to Prepare for Systemic Disruption
London Speaker Bureau
July 29, 2025
Metaruptions Drive Systemic Disruption
In his 1982 book Megatrends, John Naisbitt defined megatrends as transformative processes with global reach and dramatic impact. Because Megatrends are perceived as relatively certain, many see them as interacting predictably with each other. However, extrapolating trends is dangerous, especially when they compound flawed assumptions. With time, assumptions magnify; wrong assumptions cascade and blow up. The greater the pace of change, the greater the futility of looking in the rearview mirror.
Metaruptions, an abbreviation of disruption with the prefix “meta”, contrast Naisbitt’s megatrends. A metaruption is a multidimensional family of systemic disruptions that cause widespread, self-perpetuating effects, including shifts in the notion of disruption itself. Metaruptions are unpredictable and defy rulebooks – and most organizations lack the tools they need to prepare for them.
APF Compass, Polycrisis or Polyprepared? Welcome to Metaruptions
APF Compass
April 01, 2025
Spitz, R. “Polycrisis or Polyprepared? Welcome to Metaruptions”. Compass Magazine, April 2025: Welcome to the Polycrisis. Association of Professional Futurists (APF), April, 2025.
'Disrupt With Impact' by Roger Spitz Named Finalist for Another Prestigious Best Book Award
Foreword Magazine Inc.
March 10, 2025
Roger Spitz's ‘Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World’ Named 2024 Foreword Indies Best Book of the Year Awards Finalist
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, March 10, 2025 /EINPresswire.com/ --
2024 FOREWORD INDIES BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD FINALIST
‘Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World’ by Roger Spitz is named 2024 Foreword Indies Best Book of the Year Awards Finalist.
Published by Kogan Page, the leading independent global publisher, ‘Disrupt With Impact’ has been recognized as a finalist in the 27th annual Foreword Indies Book of the Year Awards. As part of its mission to discover, review, and share the best books from university and independent publishers, Foreword Magazine Inc. hosts an annual awards program each year.
“This year’s submissions have truly impressed me with their depth and diversity. Each finalist stands as a testament to the remarkable talent and vision within the independent publishing world. The INDIES not only celebrates these exceptional literary works but also plays a pivotal role in connecting them with librarians and booksellers, ensuring that a rich variety of voices continues to thrive in the world,” said Christopher Nesbit, INDIES Award Director.
Out of the thousands of titles reviewed by Foreword Magazine, Roger Spitz's ‘Disrupt With Impact’ stood out among the best books for the librarians and booksellers.
How agency, foresight and the right narratives can create virtuous tipping points
World Economic Forum
March 03, 2025
Many efforts to mobilize collective action on the world’s interconnected crises rely on narratives that emphasize a bleak future if we fail to act. Yet, we often under-emphasize the power of optimistic narratives – those that highlight informed opportunities to drive positive transformation.
Agency and storytelling are two tools that can help bridge this gap by creating impactful pathways toward transformative tipping points.
A new bill in Brazil as a virtuous tipping point for the voluntary carbon markets?
Illuminem
December 12, 2024
Voluntary Carbon Markets (VCMs) are a growing market-based mechanism to achieve decarbonization. However, they are often critiqued as lackluster, untransparent, and poorly verified. As the world increasingly turns to carbon offsets, we must ensure they become an effective climate solution.
Brazil is emerging as a significant player in the global carbon credit market, thanks to its diverse biomes, vast size, and revolutionary Bill 182/2024 - which could emerge as a virtuous tipping point toward a high-integrity global VCM.
Spitz, R., and Balzer, J. “A new bill in Brazil as a virtuous tipping point for the voluntary carbon markets?”, illuminem, December 12, 2024.
Thinking Across Different Time Horizons for Sustainable Value Creation
Global Peter Drucker Forum
November 15, 2024
As the lines between present and future blur, thinking across different time horizons is a crucial skill for driving impact and sustainable value creation
O futuro da previsibilidade
MIT Technology Review
September 02, 2024
As our world becomes increasingly complex, the uncertainty of the future grows. Can artificial intelligence provide solutions to these uncertainties, or are alternative tools needed to navigate unpredictability?
CITATION
Spitz, R. “O futuro da previsibilidade”. MIT Technology Review Brasil, September 2, 2024.
How anticipatory governance can help us with unpredictability
World Economic Forum
July 31, 2024
Systemic disruption, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the energy crises and inflationary pressures, forces us to confront unpredictability. The recent CrowdStrike incident was just the tip of the iceberg, with any one event capable of rewriting the world's economic landscape. Following the AAA Framework-representing 'antifragile, anticipatory and agility'-can help create pathways to being more future-savvy. Systemic disruption-the cascade of constant disruptions across our hyperconnected world-forces us to confront unpredictability. The COVID-19 pandemic served as a stark example, and was followed by energy crises, supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures unseen in decades. Indeed, the US Treasury has admitted its lack of understanding regarding these "unanticipated" economic shocks. Even the technological realm isn't immune, evidenced by recent large-scale outages caused by innocuous software updates.
O futuro das indústrias na era da disrupção sistêmica
MIT Technology Review
June 05, 2024
The clearly delineated “industries” or “sectors” of yesterday are disappearing. Leaders need new filters to evaluate companies and their evolving landscapes in today’s liminal world.
MIT Technology Review Brasil, O futuro das indústrias na era da disrupção sistêmica
Citation:
Spitz, R. “O futuro das indústrias na era da disrupção sistêmica”. MIT Technology Review Brasil, June 5, 2024.
Why shifting from prediction to foresight can help us plan for future disruption
World Economic Forum
May 03, 2024
As the world becomes more complex, foresight methodologies account for a greater set of possible futures.
Scenario development, a foresight methodology, is an alternative to prediction which can help map new possibilities.
Foresight may predict possible futures but more importantly, it allows for preparation.
5 strategies to activate your agency and stay relevant in the age of AI
CogX
April 24, 2024
The stakes of Artificial Intelligence
Today, AI seems to be the answer to everything, irrespective of the question. AI’s potential for profound benefits comes face-to-face with existential risks. More nuanced than human extinction alone, these risks challenge our values, freedoms, even the trajectory of civilisation.
Algorithmic control, a growing shift from human judgement, subtly infiltrates our lives. It influences decisions about everything, from news feeds to job prospects, beliefs to allegiances. This erosion of agency and choice, gradual and often invisible, deserves far more attention than stereotypical doomsday scenarios.
Evolutionary pressure prioritises relevance. The pressure is on us to make more relevant decisions. But how?
ClimateTech: system innovation (versus point solutions)
Illuminem
January 23, 2024
The energy transition requires transformative change, not isolated solutions. For ClimateTech, businesses, investors, and stakeholders must consider a broad set of complex ecosystem interactions, raising the bar for viability. If climate solutions overcome the valleys of death, they can achieve system innovation.
Keywords: Adaptation, Business models-as-a-system (BMaaS), ClimateTech, Commercialization Valley of Death, Complexity, Energy Transition, Environment, Resilience, Sustainable Futures, System Innovation, Technological Valley of Death, Technology Readiness Level (TRL).
4 drivers to achieve systems-level change for sustainable futures
World Economic Forum
October 31, 2023
Achieving sustainable futures requires humanity to solve our most complex, systemic and existential risks. If we are to address our world's most critical challenges, our responses must be applied to high leverage points, where small interventions can result in large changes throughout the entire system. Futures studies and systems thinking are instrumental to anticipating, identifying and harnessing effective levers to enable widespread change across complex systems. The world's most critical challenges are complex covering the climate, society and emerging technologies. Addressing these requires systemic change, not isolated solutions. To achieve systemic change, organizations must consider a broad set of stakeholders, partners and complex ecosystem interactions. If solutions aren't systemic, we all lose. Achieving sustainable futures requires humanity to solve our most complex, systemic and existential risks. This demands a deeper understanding of systems level change -deeper than discrete surface-level point solutions. Drawing on futures' studies, there are four related mindsets and actions that can lead to systems-level transformative change: 1. Strategic foresight for adaptive and resilient futures 2. Virtuous inflection points 3. Transformational innovation versus point solutions 4. Levers for effective systemic change
Anticipatory Governance to Prepare for the Unknown
Institute of Directors
March 06, 2023
We are in a world of radical transparency where transgressions stand out. Shareholder primacy is contested by an increasing awareness of an organization’s responsibility to all its stakeholders. Shifting values, stakeholder prioritization, and alignment matter deeply. Leadership teams must integrate these values in the context of potentially irreversible exponential technologies, AI, and climate change.
Listed companies need anticipatory governance to thrive in multistakeholder and unpredictable environments. Deep uncertainties raise challenges, but also opportunities. The cost of preparation pales in comparison with the costs of lacking anticipation.
Disruptive Futures Institute Launches Thriving on Disruption: Metaruptions Briefings to Decode Systemic Change for 2026
EIN Presswire / Disruptive Futures Institute
December 27, 2025
New Substack Publication by Futurist Roger Spitz Names “Metaruptions” Word of the Year and Debuts Proprietary Frameworks for Navigating Complexity
Master the language of metaruptions: Strategic foresight and futures frameworks that empower you to decode systemic disruptions and thrive in an unpredictable world.”— Disruptive Futures Institute
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, December 27, 2025 /EINPresswire.com/ -- The Disruptive Futures Institute today announced the formal launch of “Thriving on Disruption: Metaruptions Briefings,” a new Substack publication designed to help leaders, boards, institutions and the public at large navigate systemic, self-reinforcing disruptions shaping the 2026 horizon and beyond.
Led by futurist and bestselling author Roger Spitz, the launch coincides with the Institute’s designation of “Metaruptions” as the Word of the Year for 2026 - a term coined to describe interconnected disruptions that amplify and transform one another across systems, industries, and societies.
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s Frameworks, Tools, and Language [1/4]
Disruptive Futures Institute
August 09, 2025
A 4-Part Article Overview Series from the Disruptive Futures Institute:
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s frameworks and tools were developed to address a widespread lack of resilience in today’s systems. Through its primary publications, it has introduced a new lexicon and practical methodologies, crafted to shift mindsets and help redefine how we navigate uncertainty.
In this four-part article series, the Disruptive Futures Institute shares an updated understanding of its work on systemic disruption in one convenient place - because our futures depend on it.
What’s in the Overview Series:
Article 1 - Executive Summary: The Purpose and Impact of the Disruptive Futures Institute. A high-level overview of its mission - and why its work matters now more than ever.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-disruptive-futures-institutes-frameworks-tools-and-language-1-c80b44363d07
Article 2 - Frameworks & Methodologies: An overview of the Disruptive Futures Institute’s proprietary FRAMEWORKS - designed to help you understand, anticipate, and navigate change.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-disruptive-futures-institutes-frameworks-methodologies-2-3fa820c6767e
Article 3 - Toolkits: Practical, step-by-step TOOLS you can apply to your work and life. While each toolkit stands alone, they support the broader frameworks.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-toolkits-of-the-disruptive-futures-institute-3-679d58a4da84
Article 4 - Language & Core Concepts: Defining the key terms that shape how we talk and act within this age of complexity. Mastering this LANGUAGE is essential for engaging with systemic disruption.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/language-core-concepts-of-the-disruptive-futures-institute-4-7c64f5350e7b
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s Frameworks & Methodologies [2/4]
Disruptive Futures Institute
August 09, 2025
A 4-Part Article Overview Series from the Disruptive Futures Institute:
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s frameworks and tools were developed to address a widespread lack of resilience in today’s systems. Through its primary publications, it has introduced a new lexicon and practical methodologies, crafted to shift mindsets and help redefine how we navigate uncertainty.
In this four-part article series, the Disruptive Futures Institute shares an updated understanding of its work on systemic disruption in one convenient place - because our futures depend on it.
What’s in the Overview Series:
Article 1 - Executive Summary: The Purpose and Impact of the Disruptive Futures Institute. A high-level overview of its mission - and why its work matters now more than ever.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-disruptive-futures-institutes-frameworks-tools-and-language-1-c80b44363d07
Article 2 - Frameworks & Methodologies: An overview of the Disruptive Futures Institute’s proprietary FRAMEWORKS - designed to help you understand, anticipate, and navigate change.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-disruptive-futures-institutes-frameworks-methodologies-2-3fa820c6767e
Article 3 - Toolkits: Practical, step-by-step TOOLS you can apply to your work and life. While each toolkit stands alone, they support the broader frameworks.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-toolkits-of-the-disruptive-futures-institute-3-679d58a4da84
Article 4 - Language & Core Concepts: Defining the key terms that shape how we talk and act within this age of complexity. Mastering this LANGUAGE is essential for engaging with systemic disruption.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/language-core-concepts-of-the-disruptive-futures-institute-4-7c64f5350e7b
The Toolkits of the Disruptive Futures Institute [3/4]
Disruptive Futures Institute
August 09, 2025
A 4-Part Article Overview Series from the Disruptive Futures Institute:
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s frameworks and tools were developed to address a widespread lack of resilience in today’s systems. Through its primary publications, it has introduced a new lexicon and practical methodologies, crafted to shift mindsets and help redefine how we navigate uncertainty.
In this four-part article series, the Disruptive Futures Institute shares an updated understanding of its work on systemic disruption in one convenient place - because our futures depend on it.
What’s in the Overview Series:
Article 1 - Executive Summary: The Purpose and Impact of the Disruptive Futures Institute. A high-level overview of its mission - and why its work matters now more than ever.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-disruptive-futures-institutes-frameworks-tools-and-language-1-c80b44363d07
Article 2 - Frameworks & Methodologies: An overview of the Disruptive Futures Institute’s proprietary FRAMEWORKS - designed to help you understand, anticipate, and navigate change.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-disruptive-futures-institutes-frameworks-methodologies-2-3fa820c6767e
Article 3 - Toolkits: Practical, step-by-step TOOLS you can apply to your work and life. While each toolkit stands alone, they support the broader frameworks.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-toolkits-of-the-disruptive-futures-institute-3-679d58a4da84
Article 4 - Language & Core Concepts: Defining the key terms that shape how we talk and act within this age of complexity. Mastering this LANGUAGE is essential for engaging with systemic disruption.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/language-core-concepts-of-the-disruptive-futures-institute-4-7c64f5350e7b
Language & Core Concepts of the Disruptive Futures Institute [4/4]
Disruptive Futures Institute
August 09, 2025
A 4-Part Article Overview Series from the Disruptive Futures Institute:
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s frameworks and tools were developed to address a widespread lack of resilience in today’s systems. Through its primary publications, it has introduced a new lexicon and practical methodologies, crafted to shift mindsets and help redefine how we navigate uncertainty.
In this four-part article series, the Disruptive Futures Institute shares an updated understanding of its work on systemic disruption in one convenient place - because our futures depend on it.
What’s in the Overview Series:
Article 1 - Executive Summary: The Purpose and Impact of the Disruptive Futures Institute. A high-level overview of its mission - and why its work matters now more than ever.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-disruptive-futures-institutes-frameworks-tools-and-language-1-c80b44363d07
Article 2 - Frameworks & Methodologies: An overview of the Disruptive Futures Institute’s proprietary FRAMEWORKS - designed to help you understand, anticipate, and navigate change.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-disruptive-futures-institutes-frameworks-methodologies-2-3fa820c6767e
Article 3 - Toolkits: Practical, step-by-step TOOLS you can apply to your work and life. While each toolkit stands alone, they support the broader frameworks.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/the-toolkits-of-the-disruptive-futures-institute-3-679d58a4da84
Article 4 - Language & Core Concepts: Defining the key terms that shape how we talk and act within this age of complexity. Mastering this LANGUAGE is essential for engaging with systemic disruption.
• https://medium.com/disruptive-futures-institute/language-core-concepts-of-the-disruptive-futures-institute-4-7c64f5350e7b
Board Director | Global Head of Sustainable Futures & Strategic Foresight
Lux Carbon Standard (LuxCS)
October 01, 2023
Board Director | Global Head of Sustainable Futures & Strategic Foresight
Lux Carbon Standard is the first Brazilian voluntary carbon market certifier. We are working to transform the carbon credit markets to enhance trust, accountability, transparency, and environmental integrity.
Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
Kogan Page
September 24, 2024
Disruption’s far-reaching effects are inevitable, bringing both unprecedented challenges and opportunities to creatively shape our futures.
Disrupt With Impact is an award-winning, bestselling book designed to help you navigate today’s complex unpredictable world. Covering major challenges such as the energy transition, AI, cybersecurity, and geopolitics, this book is your compass for exploring the uncharted waters of the future. These paradigm shifts will redistribute trillions of dollars, presenting opportunities for immense value creation, while those clinging to business as usual face growing risks of value destruction.
Disrupt With Impact focuses on four key areas: (i) The New Nature of Disruption, (ii) Systems Innovation and Transformative Change, (iii) The Future of Artificial Intelligence and Decision-Making, (iv) The Disruptive Thinking Canvas to invent the future today.
• Critical Acclaim: Reviewers have lauded Disrupt With Impact for its innovative approach to systemic disruptions. Acclaimed by reviewers since its release, Disrupt With Impact offers a “well-illustrated and wide-ranging new approach to large- and small-scale disruptions,” according to Kirkus. The San Francisco Book Review awarded it an impressive rating of 4.5 out of 5, while the Manhattan Book Review noted it as “an engaging and very enlightening read… the kind of book you can always refer to in the future,” with a solid rating of 4 out of 5. BookTrib lauded it as “pure gold,” affirming that it rises above the competition in the crowded business genre.
• Bestseller: After Disrupt With Impact reached #1 in Amazon’s New Releases in September 2024, it quickly climbed to #1 Bestseller in several categories and countries, including the UK, USA, Brazil, India, France, and Germany. The book topped the #1 spot in Systems & Planning, Entrepreneurship, Business Development, Artificial Intelligence, History of Philosophy & Science, and Internet & Software reflecting its broad global appeal.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
Disruptive Futures Institute
March 28, 2023
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: VOLUME IV. DISRUPTION AS A SPRINGBOARD TO VALUE CREATION
The fourth and final Volume is about your organization. What does our unpredictable, complex, and systemic world mean for you as a business?
- Reinventing business and governance ecosystems: This final volume of our Guidebook is specifically focused on business, strategy, and governance systems for our deeply uncertain world. How should organizations and entrepreneurs approach ecosystem innovation through Business Models-as-a-System (BMaaS)? We also discuss systemic disruption as a springboard for sustainable value creation; anticipatory governance to reconcile multistakeholder strategy for leadership and boards; sustainability and Greenaissance as the ultimate disruptive opportunity; digital disruption as industries and sectors converge, intersect, and emerge; space, which is no longer a place but an investment theme; and the shifting centers of gravity in Asia and Africa.
- Volume IV includes two workbooks on dynamic leadership and innovation: They offer a rich set of additional case studies and tools: (i) Disruptive Futures Leadership Workbook: Reinventing Governance & Strategic Decision-Making and (ii) Disruptive Technology & Innovation Workbook: Invent the Future.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume III - Beta Your Life: Existence in a Disruptive World
Disruptive Futures Institute
January 31, 2023
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: VOLUME III. BETA YOUR LIFE: EXISTENCE IN A DISRUPTIVE WORLD
The third Volume is about your life, exploring what constant change and uncertainty mean to you as an individual:
- Creating our preferred personal futures: In any situation, we can use agency to define our purpose and seek meaning. Recognizing our free will is critical to finding meaning. We share tactics on how to create your personal future, with practical applications, examples, and workbooks. We cover a broad set of topics including the relationship between innovation and failure, education, work and money, and your economic life. How do we become and remain economically relevant when anything that can be automated, cognified, decentralized, digitized, disintermediated, or virtualized will be? Remaining relevant is not a linear process, but a jumbled loop for which you can learn the moves. It has never been easier to monetize a creative idea.
- Volume III includes two essential workbooks: (i) Beta Your Life Workbook: Create Your Personal Future and (ii) Education Workbook: Prepare Educators & Learners for Disruptive Futures.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
Disruptive Futures Institute
December 15, 2022
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: VOLUME II. ESSENTIAL FRAMEWORKS FOR DISRUPTION AND UNCERTAINTY
The second Volume develops practical frameworks to help you stay relevant in the 21st century for both organizations and individuals:
- The ultimate framework for 21st century relevance: Adaptation to rapid change and uncertain times with one’s own tools, models, and mindsets is required for both survival and success. In your quest to mitigate and drive disruption, how do you ensure that it is a passionate and enjoyable experience full of flourishing and prosperity? How do we rise above resilience or adaptability to actually thrive on disruption? Our AAA Framework offers the tools and mindset to build Antifragile foundations, develop the capabilities to be Anticipatory, and use emergent and strategic Agility to bridge the short-term with long-term decision-making. This framework builds on the tactical insights from our 6 i’s toolkit to drive and thrive on disruption: Intuition, Inspiration, Imagination, Improvisation, Invention, Impossible.
- Volume II includes a valuable reference workbook: Futures Frameworks & Foresight Fundamentals Workbook.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume I - Reframing and Navigating Disruption
Disruptive Futures Institute
November 29, 2022
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: VOLUME I. REFRAMING AND NAVIGATING DISRUPTION
In this first Volume we lay the foundations, looking at how to make sense of our complex, nonlinear, and unpredictable world:
Deconstructing and reframing disruption: We define systemic disruption and deconstruct how it is evolving.
Navigate metatrends and metaruptions: After a detailed examination of the constants and drivers of disruption, we learn how to think in multiple time horizons, and the implications and opportunities stemming from emerging technologies, AI, and the future of decision-making. These topics lead us to explore “Info-ruption” as a radical change in how information is interpreted, used, and misused. Furthermore, global cybersecurity threats are already a daily occurrence, so those governments and organizations which do not build deep cyber capabilities will suffer in this new era of cyber insecurity. Finally, in the face of existential and climate risks that could threaten our survival, we expand on how to mitigate and build resilience for even the most extreme eventualities.
Tags: Digital Transformation, Emerging Technology, Innovation
12 Book Awards
From Visionary Warning to Academic Standard: Spitz’s Disrupt With Impact as Essential Manual for 2026 Executive Programs
EIN Presswire
March 02, 2026
With Recognition from ACRL, the Multi-Award-Winning Frameworks for Unpredictability Become a Pillar of Global Executive Education & Institutional Libraries
The shift from warning to academic standard marks a new era in education. In 2026, leadership means navigating Metaruptions. Embedding these frameworks in curricula equips leaders for systemic change.”— Disruptive Futures Institute
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, March 2, 2026 /EINPresswire.com/ -- As the first quarter of 2026 unfolds, the global momentum surrounding Roger Spitz’s award-winning book, Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World (Kogan Page), has reached a new inflection point. Beyond its record visibility as a bestseller, the work is now being institutionalized as a foundational text within academic programs, executive leadership circles, and library collections worldwide.
The Disruptive Futures Institute today marks this significant expansion of the book’s footprint. While 2025 saw the work achieve international honors and viral adoption among individual changemakers and organizations alike, 2026 is defined by its integration into the core bibliographies of leading academic institutions, executive education, and leadership development programs. It is now recognized as an extraordinary and recommended addition to corporate, executive, and college/university library Business Management collections, as well as a primary resource for supplemental MBA curriculum reading lists.
INSTITUTIONAL VALIDATION: CHOICE REVIEWS AND THE ACRL
Disrupt With Impact’s formal integration into the academia is supported by its selection in Choice Reviews, the publishing arm of the Association of College and Research Librarians (ACRL). As a trusted authority in evaluating scholarly resources for over 60 years, Choice provides curated reading lists that serve as a primary guide for academic librarians across the United States, Europe, Asia, and Australia.
The inclusion of Roger Spitz’s work in the leading professional reviews as well as Choice Reviews signals its status as an essential addition for scholarly collections. By connecting librarians, scholars, and readers, Choice plays a pivotal role in the discovery of transformative information. This selection and reviews underscore the book’s rigorous research and its practical utility for the academic library community, ensuring that its frameworks - including the seminal AAA Framework (Antifragile, Anticipatory, Agility) - are accessible to the researchers and students shaping future policy and strategy.
Disruptive Futures Institute Names Metaruptions 2026 Word of the Year & Launches Roger Spitz’s Visionary Keynote Series
EIN PResswire
December 07, 2025
Celebrating Anniversary of Award-Winning Bestseller Disrupt With Impact, World Leading Futurist Speaker Debuts his 2026 Global Keynote Engagements
We are navigating Metaruptions - deep, interconnected, transdisciplinary system shifts that arise from the convergence of technological, ecological, geopolitical, economic and societal transformations”— Roger Spitz
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, December 7, 2025 /EINPresswire.com/ -- As the global landscape pivots toward 2026, the Disruptive Futures Institute has officially selected “Metaruptions” as the Word of the Year. This announcement coincides with the one-year anniversary of Roger Spitz’s global bestseller, Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World.
Readers’ Favorite recognizes “Disrupt With Impact” in its annual international book award contest
Readers' Favorite LLC
October 09, 2025
Readers' Favorite recognizes "Disrupt With Impact" by Roger Spitz in its annual international book award contest, currently available at http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1398616885.
The Readers' Favorite International Book Award Contest featured thousands of contestants from over a dozen countries, ranging from new independent authors to NYT best-sellers and celebrities.
Readers' Favorite is one of the largest book review and award contest sites on the Internet. They have earned the respect of renowned publishers like Random House, Simon & Schuster, and Harper Collins, and have received the "Best Websites for Authors" and "Honoring Excellence" awards from the Association of Independent Authors. They are also fully accredited by the BBB (A+ rating), which is a rarity among Book Review and Book Award Contest companies.
Roger Spitz’s 'Disrupt With Impact' Wins Fourth Award, Honored by Readers’ Favorite International Book Contest
Disruptive Futures Institute
September 04, 2025
Roger Spitz’s critically acclaimed book, Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World, has received its fourth major award, earning the 2025 Readers’ Favorite International Book Award (Bronze Medal, Non-Fiction - Business/Finance).
Readers’ Favorite is one of the world’s largest book review and award platforms, with thousands of entries annually from independent authors, major publishing houses, and New York Times bestsellers. The platform is endorsed by leading publishers (including Random House, Simon & Schuster, and HarperCollins) and has received accolades such as Best Websites for Authors and Honoring Excellence by the Association of Independent Authors. Readers’ Favorite is also accredited by the BBB (A+ rating).
Readers' Favorite is proud to announce that "Disrupt With Impact" by Roger Spitz won the Bronze Medal in the Non-Fiction - Business/Finance category.
Financial Content
September 02, 2025
We receive thousands of entries from all over the world. Because of these large submission numbers, we are able to break down our contest into 140+ genres, and each genre is judged separately, ensuring that books only compete against books of their same genre for a fairer and more accurate competition. We receive submissions from independent authors, small publishers, and publishing giants such as Random House, HarperCollins and Simon & Schuster, with contestants that range from the first-time, self-published author to New York Times bestsellers like J.A. Jance, James Rollins, and #1 best-selling author Daniel Silva, as well as celebrity authors like Jim Carrey (Bruce Almighty), Henry Winkler (Happy Days), and Eriq La Salle (E.R., Coming to America).
"When the right books are picked as winners we pay attention. We will be spreading the word about Readers' Favorite." - Karen A., Editor for Penguin Random House
Readers' Favorite is proud to announce that "Disrupt With Impact" by Roger Spitz won the Bronze Medal in the Non-Fiction - Business/Finance category.
You can learn more about Roger Spitz and "Disrupt With Impact" at https://readersfavorite.com/book-review/disrupt-with-impact where you can read reviews and the author’s biography, as well as connect with the author directly or through their website and social media pages.
Readers’ Favorite recognizes “Disrupt With Impact” by Roger Spitz in its annual international book award contest
Readers' Favorite
September 01, 2025
"When the right books are picked as winners we pay attention. We will be spreading the word about Readers' Favorite." - Karen A., Editor for Penguin Random House
Readers' Favorite is proud to announce that "Disrupt With Impact" by Roger Spitz won the Bronze Medal in the Non-Fiction - Business/Finance category.
Disrupt With Impact Wins 2024 Foreword Indies Book of the Year Award
Foreword Reviews
June 01, 2025
Disrupt With Impact Wins 2024 Foreword Indies Book of the Year Award
Books that examine economic, financial, and management issues in a readable manner. They also may explore the lives of prominent businesspeople, tracing their journey to success in business.
The 2024 Harvey Chute Book Awards Winners for Business & Finance
Chanticleer International Book Awards
April 15, 2025
Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World, has garnered a new round of significant awards, including the highly respected 2024 Foreword Indies Book of the Year Award and the Harvey Chute Best Book Award. These honors further solidify the book’s position as a landmark guide for strategic foresight and leadership in an unpredictable world.
‘Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World’ Named 2024 Foreword INDIES Book of the Year Awards Finalist as Best Book
Foreword Magazine Inc.
March 06, 2025
'Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World’ by Roger Spitz is named 2024 Foreword INDIES Book of the Year Awards Finalist.
Published by Kogan Page, a leading independent global publisher, ‘Disrupt With Impact’ has been recognized as a finalist in the 27th annual Foreword INDIES Book of the Year Awards.
As part of its mission to discover, review, and share the best books from university and independent publishers, Foreword Magazine Inc. hosts an annual awards program each year. The complete list of Finalists can be found at: https://www.forewordreviews.com/awards/finalists/2024/
“This year’s submissions have truly impressed me with their depth and diversity. Each finalist stands as a testament to the remarkable talent and vision within the independent publishing world. The INDIES not only celebrates these exceptional literary works but also plays a pivotal role in connecting them with librarians and booksellers, ensuring that a rich variety of voices continues to thrive in the world.” said Christopher Nesbit, INDIES Award Director.
Out of the thousands of titles reviewed by Foreword Magazine, ‘Disrupt With Impact’ stood out as among the best books for the librarians and booksellers.
Roger Spitz’s Book "Disrupt with Impact" Named Finalist in the Prestigious Chanticleer International Book Awards
Harvey Chute Book Awards
January 26, 2025
‘Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World’ by Roger Spitz has been named Finalist for the prestigious 2024 Harvey Chute Book Awards for Business and Enterprise.
The Harvey Book Awards recognize outstanding works in Business and Enterprise Non-Fiction. The Harvey Chute Book Awards is a genre division of the prestigious Chanticleer International Book Awards (CIBAs).
Published by Kogan Page, the title ‘Disrupt With Impact’ by Roger Spitz has moved forward in the rigorous final judging rounds from all 2024 Harvey Chute Non-Fiction entries to the 2024 Harvey Chute Book Awards FINALIST. As a Finalist, Disrupt With Impact will now be recognized at the Chanticleer Authors Conference (CAC25).
The AAA Framework: Responsible Leadership for Sustainable Futures, in Anticipatory Governance: Shaping a Responsible Future
World Scientific Publishing, Singapore
January 01, 2025
THE AAA FRAMEWORK CHAPTER: RESPONSIBLE LEADERSHIP FOR SUSTAINABLE FUTURES
Roger Spitz, founding chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute, contributed a dedicated chapter on their foundational and proprietary methodology: “The AAA Framework: Responsible Leadership for Sustainable Futures.”
This Chapter on Spitz's AAA Framework is included in the “Leadership and Transformation” Section of ‘Anticipatory Governance: Shaping a Responsible Future’ (Chapter 7, pages 103-120).
An Existential Framework for the Future of Decision-Making in Leadership, in Leadership for the Future: Lessons from the Past, Current Approaches, and Future Insights
Cambridge Scholars Publisher
July 12, 2021
Prescriptive AI presents unprecedented challenges in understanding the benefits and shortcomings of technoscientific solutions. Where the potential benefits are often promoted, critical consideration concerning the limitations of AI follows with a lag. We aim to consider the epistemic context of AI decision-making in uncertain and complex environments in relation to leadership. Our framework uses Deleuzo-Sartrean existential philosophy to draw parallels between the emergent nature of Being and decision-making, in the context of advancements in AI. While AI provides increasing insights, decision-making at leadership level and in complex environments would benefit from understanding the nature of the scientific method.
Midwest Book Review of “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World” by Roger Spitz (Kogan Page)
Midwest Book Review
December 03, 2024
Midwest Book Review of “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World” by Roger Spitz (Kogan Page)
Midwest Book Review. “The Business Shelf: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World”. Midwest Book Review, December, 2024.
San Francisco Book Review of “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World” by Roger Spitz (Kogan Page)
San Francisco Book Review
August 21, 2024
San Francisco Book Review of “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World” by Roger Spitz (Kogan Page)
Britton, E. “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World”. San Francisco Book Review, August 21, 2024.
Manhattan Book Review of “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World” by Roger Spitz (Kogan Page)
Manhattan Book Review
August 19, 2024
Manhattan Book Review of “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World” by Roger Spitz (Kogan Page)
Yinks, M. “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World”. Manhattan Book Review, August 19, 2024.
Towards Modelling Military Disadvantage in Military Operations
International Conference on Computers and Artificial Intelligence Technology (CAIT)
March 12, 2026
Trustworthy Military AI Systems: “To this end, this research contributes to existing efforts that are dedicated to building intelligent and adaptive AI-driven decision-making support and to building responsible and trustworthy military AI systems.” — C. Maathuis, “Towards Modelling Military Disadvantage in Military Operations,” 2025 6th International Conference on Computers and Artificial Intelligence Technology (CAIT), Huizhou, China, 2025, pp. 640-645, doi: 10.1109/CAIT68620.2025.11424866. https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/11424866
AI Command and Staff—Operational Evidence and Insights from Wargaming
MILITARY STRATEGY MAGAZINE
January 08, 2026
[...] "Break models in training before implementing in operational planning. Planners must see, and understand, GenAI model limitations in real time to appreciate the deficits. Training must demonstrate model fragility. The U.S. Army must promote planning systems and processes that are “antifragile”—systems that improve under chaos.[28] Artificial intelligence, based on machine learning, is the antithesis of this; it is an inherently “fragile” system. Its performance is directly proportional to the quality and comprehensiveness of the data on which it was trained. It excels in ordered, data-rich environments where the patterns of the past are reliable predictors of the future. However, war is defined by its novelty and its “black swan” events—unforeseen circumstances that have limited or no precedent in the training data. As the wargaming evidence suggests, an AI system encountering a truly novel situation—an adversary employing an unexpected tactic, a sudden political collapse, a new type of technological failure—has no relevant data on which to base its inductive logic. Its performance would not just degrade; it could fail catastrophically and unpredictably. Therefore, replacing the anti-fragile human system of mission command with a fragile algorithmic one would be to exchange a system that thrives in war’s true nature for one that thrives only in war’s idealized, data-fied representation."
[...]
[28] Roger Spitz, "The Future of Strategic Decision-Making," Journal of Futures Studies, July 26, 2020, https://jfsdigital.org/2020/07/26/the-future-of-strategic-decision-making/
AI Command and Staff—Operational Evidence and Insights from Wargaming
Military Strategy Magazine
January 05, 2026
The relevance of the Disruptive Futures Institute’s frameworks to national security was recently highlighted in Military Strategy Magazine (MSM). In their analysis of AI and wargaming, U.S. Army War College authors Aaron Blair Wilcox and Chase Metcalf cited Spitz’s Journal of Futures Studies seminal paper on “The Future of Strategic Decision-Making” to warn against the fragility of algorithmic reliance in command-and-control and combat planning.
The authors of Military Strategy Magazine noted that replacing “the anti-fragile human system of mission command with a fragile algorithmic one would be to exchange a system that thrives in war’s true nature for one that thrives only in war’s idealized, data-fied representation.” They further emphasized Spitz’s view on model fragility, stating: “The U.S. Army must promote planning systems and processes that are ‘antifragile’—systems that improve under chaos.”
— Wilcox & Metcalf, Military Strategy Magazine (Winter 2026) citing Spitz’s paper.
Citations:
• Wilcox, Aaron Blair and Metcalf, Chase, “AI Command and Staff—Operational Evidence and Insights from Wargaming,” Military Strategy Magazine, Volume 10, Issue 4, winter 2026, pages 4-10. https://doi.org/10.64148/msm.v10i4.1
• Roger Spitz, “The Future of Strategic Decision-Making,” Journal of Futures Studies, July 26, 2020, https://jfsdigital.org/2020/07/26/the-future-of-strategic-decision-making/
Governance Under Fallout: Anticipating and Navigating the 2nd Order Impacts of a Nuclear Strike
Odyssean Institute
December 01, 2025
Governance & Tipping Points: “Converging tipping points across economic, environmental, technological, and political domains generate cascading and often unpredictable effects, complicating the governance of complex systems (Spitz & Zuin, 2022.” — Dal Prá, G., Balzer, J., Aldrich, D., Schiffling, S., Morgan, K., Baldus, J., ... & Talebian, S. (2025). Governance Under Fallout: Anticipating and Navigating the 2nd Order Impacts of a Nuclear Strike.
Tags: Change Management, Leadership, National Security
Technology for Whom and for What? A Global South View of Tech Diplomacy
Global Policy
July 07, 2025
Global Diplomacy & Policy: “Binary, analogical, and one-dimensional thinking, motivated by deep-rooted convictions, is ineffective in understanding an intrinsically fluid, non-linear, and often ambiguous political environment in which uncertainty prevails (Spitz and Zuin 2022). If the understanding of these phenomena is flawed, the resulting foreign policy decisions might be suboptimal or even disastrous in some cases.” — Eugenio V. Garcia, “Technology for Whom and for What? A Global South View of Tech Diplomacy”. Garcia, E. V.2025. “Technology for Whom and for What? A Global South View of Tech Diplomacy.” Global Policy1–9. https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70024.
Why shifting from prediction to foresight can help us plan for future disruption
IDOS Policy Brief
December 10, 2024
Roger Spitz article:
- Spitz, R. “Why shifting from prediction to foresight can help us plan for future disruption”. World Economic Forum, May 3, 2024.
Cited in:
- Klingebiel, S., & Baumann, M. O. (2024). Trump 2.0 in times of political upheaval? Implications of a possible second presidency for international politics and Europe (No. 24/2024). IDOS Policy Brief.
Scenario Planning, Foresight, and the Power of Imagination: Navigating an Uncertain Future
CFA Institute, Enterprising Investor
August 05, 2024
The concept of “metaruptions,” coined by the Disruptive Futures Institute, describes multidimensional systemic disruptions that extend beyond initial impacts. Understanding these disruptions requires a creative approach, because conventional data analysis falls short. Scenario planning, originally developed in the 1950s and refined in the 1970s, provides a framework for exploring different futures and their implications.
The future of strategic decision-making
Management Decision
July 15, 2024
Roger Spitz article:
- Spitz, R. “The Future of Strategic Decision-Making”. Journal of Futures Studies, July 26, 2020.
Cited in:
- Biloslavo, R., Edgar, D., Aydin, E., & Bulut, C. (2024). Artificial intelligence (AI) and strategic planning process within VUCA environments: a research agenda and guidelines. Management Decision.
The Future of Strategic Decision-Making
Journal of Futures Studies
June 01, 2024
Roger Spitz article:
- Spitz, R. “The Future of Strategic Decision-Making”. Journal of Futures Studies, July 26, 2020.
Cited in:
Torres, H. D. L., Urrego, J. A. M., Pineda, V. G., Cristina, L., & Colorado, H. (2024). Challenges and Scenarios for Organizations Offering Tennis Training Programs. Journal of Futures Studies, 28(4), 15-29.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
Springer Nature
February 20, 2024
Roger Spitz book:
- Spitz, R., and Zuin, L. The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty. Disruptive Futures Institute: San Francisco, 2022.
Cited in:
- Cano M, J. J. (2023, October). RAFA Model. Rethinking Cyber Risk Management in Organizations. In International Conference on Global Security, Safety, and Sustainability (pp. 231-243). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
Editora Foco
February 02, 2024
Roger Spitz book:
- Spitz, R., and Zuin, L. The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty. Disruptive Futures Institute: San Francisco, 2022.
Cited in:
- Mendoça, V. (2024). Manual de Gestão Jurídica de Micro e Pequenas Empresas. Editora Foco.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
Springer Nature
October 01, 2023
Roger Spitz book:
- Spitz, R., and Zuin, L. The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty. Disruptive Futures Institute: San Francisco, 2022.
Cited in:
- Risk, R. M. R. C. (2024). Management in Organizations. In Cybersecurity Challenges in the Age of AI, Space Communications and Cyborgs: Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Global Security, Safety and Sustainability, London, October 2023 (p. 231). Springer Nature.
The Future of Strategic Decision-Making
Doctoral dissertation
August 21, 2023
Roger Spitz article:
- Spitz, R. “The Future of Strategic Decision-Making”. Journal of Futures Studies, July 26, 2020.
Cited in:
- Weigend Rodríguez, R. (2023). Circular Futures: an interdisciplinary approach based on Circular Economy principles and Futures Studies methods to support Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) transitioning to circularity and a futures-oriented organisation (Doctoral dissertation).
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
Revista Sistemas
June 26, 2023
Roger Spitz book:
- Spitz, R., and Zuin, L. The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty. Disruptive Futures Institute: San Francisco, 2022.
Cited in:
- Martínez, J. J. C. (2023). Seguridad AHI (Asimétrica, Híbrida e Interconectada). Revista Sistemas, (167), 56-65.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
Ciberprisma - alianza por la ciberseguridad
June 07, 2023
Roger Spitz book:
- Spitz, R., and Zuin, L. The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty. Disruptive Futures Institute: San Francisco, 2022.
Cited in:
- Cano, J. Postura de Seguridad/Ciberseguridad: Un Imperativo Estratégico para las Empresas Modernas en el Contexto Digital.
The Future of Strategic Decision-Making
Revista Brasileira de Ciências Policiais
May 04, 2023
Roger Spitz article:
- Spitz, R. “The Future of Strategic Decision-Making”. Journal of Futures Studies, July 26, 2020.
Cited in:
- Noboa, M. F., Moreano, H., & Ruiz, L. (2023). COVID-19 en Ecuador: golpe de timón favorable a la criminalidad organizada de cuello blanco. Revista Brasileira de Ciências Policiais, 14(12), 91-123.
The Future of Strategic Decision-Making
Edward Elgar Publishing
February 14, 2023
Roger Spitz article:
- Spitz, R. “The Future of Strategic Decision-Making”. Journal of Futures Studies, July 26, 2020.
Cited in:
- Jurgilevich, A. (2023). Adaptive and anticipatory governance in urban adaptation to climate change. In Handbook on Adaptive Governance (pp. 207-217). Edward Elgar Publishing.
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
LITERARY VOICE
December 20, 2022
Roger Spitz book:
- Spitz, R., and Zuin, L. The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Vol. II. Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty. Disruptive Futures Institute: San Francisco, 2022.
Cited in:
- Joseph, D., & Saini, A. Performativity and Undoing Gender Roles in Jaya Jaya Jaya Jaya Hey (2022). LITERARY VOICE, 206.
Innovation starts when you fall off the edge of the playground
Springer International Publishing
May 13, 2022
Roger Spitz article:
- Spitz, R. “Innovation starts when you fall off the edge of the playground”. MIT Technology Review, March 17, 2020.
Cited in:
- Dobrescu, P., & Durach, F. (2022). AI First. In The New Age of Development: The Geopolitical Assertion of Eurasia (pp. 1-43). Cham: Springer International Publishing.
Innovation starts when you fall off the edge of the playground
IATED
March 08, 2021
Roger Spitz article:
- Spitz, R. “Innovation starts when you fall off the edge of the playground”. MIT Technology Review, March 17, 2020.
Cited in:
- Călinescu, L., Dobrescu, P., & Durach, F. (2021). Education and Development. The role of human capital in sustainable growth. In INTED2021 Proceedings (pp. 3142-3149). IATED.
Disruptive Futures Institute Launches Geopolitics Center as Military Strategy Journals Cite Futurist Spitz’s Research
EIN Presswire
March 16, 2026
As Military Citations Surge, DFI Bridges Boardrooms and Tactical Edges to Navigate the Metaruption Era’s Collision of Geopolitics, Geotechnology & Geoeconomics
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, March 16, 2026 /EINPresswire.com/ -- Following the formal launch of the DFI Geopolitics Center for Grand Strategy, the Disruptive Futures Institute is scaling its response to a fundamental shift in the global risk landscape: the transition from isolated disruptions to “Metaruptions” - a multidimensional family of systemic, self-reinforcing shocks (and opportunities) that rewrite the nature of global order.
For years, the work of Disruptive Futures Institute Chair Roger Spitz served as the definitive guide for boardrooms and venture capitalists navigating technological shifts. However, as 2026 progresses, the focus has pivoted. The “Three Gs” - Geopolitics, Geoeconomics, and Geotechnology - have converged into a single, volatile theater of operations. This shift is validated by an unprecedented surge in citations of Spitz’s research within military strategy journals and national security institutions, signaling that the frameworks once used to navigate market volatility are now being deployed to manage global instability.
“We have moved beyond simple volatility into a state of liminality and multipolarity,” says Roger Spitz, Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute. “In this hybrid world, power is fragmenting and consensus is eroding. The ability to navigate instability depends on moving from linear prediction to Anticipatory Governance. Formalizing this expansion through the Geopolitics Center for Grand Strategy allows us to equip leaders with the AAA Framework - Antifragile, Anticipatory, and Agility - needed to secure strategic advantage where old rules no longer apply.”
Haskayne School of Business - University of Calgary
Haskayne School of Business - University of Calgary
February 03, 2026
Roger Spitz, M.Sc
Mega Trends
As Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute and CEO of Techistential, Roger advises global organizations and leaders on how to understand the dynamic drivers of the future world.
Disruptive Futures Institute Unveils New Strategic Practice on Geopolitics to Navigate the Era of 'Metaruptions'
EIN Presswire / Disruptive Futures Institute
January 02, 2026
Leading Futurist Roger Spitz Expands Foresight Offerings Focused on Global Disorder, Grand Strategy & the “Three Gs”: Geopolitics, Geoeconomics & Geotechnology
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, January 2, 2026 /EINPresswire.com/ -- The Disruptive Futures Institute today announced the launch of a major new strategic foresight practice and global keynote series focused on Global Disorder, Grand Strategy, and the “Three Gs” of Geopolitics, Geoeconomics, and Geotechnology. This expansion addresses the critical need for “Anticipatory Governance” as companies, institutions, and nations navigate a fracturing world defined by what Disruptive Futures Institute Chair Roger Spitz has coined “Metaruptions” - deep, interconnected, and systemic shifts arising from convergence of technological, ecological, geopolitical, economic, and societal forces. Amplified by the diffusion of global power, these cascading interactions fuel radical unpredictability.
As the lines between kinetic conflict, cyber-attacks, geoeconomics, and information manipulation blur, the Disruptive Futures Institute is operationalizing its frameworks to help boards, policymakers, and investors anticipate the collision of the Three Gs: Geopolitics, Geoeconomics, and Geotechnology.
Formalizing this expansion, the Disruptive Futures Institute introduces the “DFI Geopolitics Center for Grand Strategy.”
This specialized foresight practice focuses on Global Disorder and the “Three Gs” (Geopolitics, Geoeconomics, and Geotechnology). The DFI Geopolitics Center is designed to help CEOs, boards, policymakers, and investors build Resilience and develop Grand Strategy with Anticipatory Governance to navigate Metaruptions and secure strategic advantage in a fracturing world.
“We have moved beyond simple volatility into a state of liminality and multipolarity. In this hybrid world, state and non-state actors compete for dominance, driven by irreconcilable worldviews and rules that are increasingly ignored. This diffusion of power fuels radical unpredictability; as incompatible visions of global order collide, the ability to find consensus erodes.” - Roger Spitz, Chair, Disruptive Futures Institute
Disruptive Futures Institute
Disruptive Futures Institute
March 02, 2020
Founded by celebrated futurist Roger Spitz, the Disruptive Futures Institute is a global Think Tank offering education, practitioner research, and thought leadership on driving transformative change in our increasingly complex, unpredictable and nonlinear world
Techistential (Strategic Foresight & Sustainable Futures)
Techistential
February 01, 2019
Our Group also includes the Disruptive Futures Institute, a Think Tank offering executive education, research and thought leadership on adapting to our increasingly complex and unpredictable world. The Disruptive Futures Institute LLC is the publisher of the seminal four-volume collection: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption (www.thrivingondisruption.com).
Policrise ou Polipreparação? Conheça as metadisrupções
MIT Technology Review Brasil
August 26, 2025
MIT Technology Review Brasil
Polycrisis or Polyprepared? Welcome to Metaruptions
Abstract: Polycrisis is expanding. Global action often stems from disaster warnings, but we overlook the potential of preparation with optimistic narratives to inspire positive change.
Citation: Spitz, R. “Policrise ou Polipreparação? Conheça as metadisrupções”. MIT Technology Review Brasil, August 26, 2025.
The future of risk and insurability in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence
Risk.Net Risk Journals
June 09, 2025
Spitz, R., and Desbiey, O. “The future of risk and insurability in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence”. Journal of Operational Risk. Risk.net, June 9, 2025.
In an era defined by systemic disruption, radical unpredictability and the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence, the classical distinction between risk and uncertainty, first articulated by Frank Knight and John Maynard Keynes, demands urgent reexamination. While traditional risk is measurable through probabilistic models, deep uncertainty involves unknowable probabilities and indeterminate outcomes that increasingly defy legacy risk frameworks. This paper explores how the rising frequency of high-impact shocks – technological, geopolitical, financial and epidemiological – exposes the fragility of conventional risk management approaches. It argues for a paradigm shift, from viewing disruption as episodic to understanding it as systemic, whereby interdependent stressors interact to produce cascading, nonlinear impacts. To address this complexity, we propose the antifragile, anticipatory and agility (AAA) framework as a novel approach for uncertainty management. Drawing on insights from complexity science, strategic foresight and adaptive resilience, the framework emphasizes imagination over prediction and prioritizes managing outcome amplitude over probability. By cultivating organizational shock absorbers and dynamic responsiveness, the AAA framework enables stakeholders to navigate open-ended volatility, build adaptive capability for decision-making under deep uncertainty and seize emergent opportunities across multiple plausible futures. This has critical implications for risk intelligence, insurability and policy design in increasingly volatile and complex environments.
The Future of Strategic Decision-Making
Journal of Futures Studies
July 26, 2020
As a society, we must completely adapt the education system, prioritizing experimentation and discovery, instilling curiosity and comfort with uncertainty, first starting in the playground and then spreading all the way to our boardrooms. If we don’t improve our abilities to evolve in a nonlinear world, we could find human decision-making sidelined by algorithms as we become blindsided by increasing complexity, while machines gradually learn to move up the decision value chain.
AAA is often used to reflect the ultimate achievement. Those with finance backgrounds will recognize that AAA is the highest level of credit worthiness, or in science the best rank for alphabetical grading scales.
Stephen Hawking qualified the 21st century as “the century of complexity.” With that backdrop, for some time we have been using AAA as “Anticipatory, Antifragile and Agility” (AAA) to define what humans should be developing to improve their abilities as the world becomes more complex. This need for humans to enhance their capabilities is that much more relevant in the context of machines learning fast and with increasingly higher-level human functions.
Roger Spitz Keynote Speaker at Distinguished Leadership and Innovation Conference
Arthur Lok Jack Global School of Business
March 13, 2026
For 2026, Roger Spitz is the headline speaker for the Distinguished Leadership and Innovation Conference (DLIC). The conference is hosted by the Arthur Lok Jack Global School of Business (part of the University of the West Indies).
Details for the event are as follows:
Theme: The 2026 conference theme is "IntelliLEAD: The Leadership Advantage in the Age of Intelligence," focusing on how leaders navigate algorithmic influence and AI-driven decision-making.
Date & Time: March 13, 2026, from 8:00 am to 3:00 pm.
Venue: Hyatt Regency Trinidad.
Global Finance Enters 'End of Predictability' as Demand for Roger Spitz’s Uncertainty Keynotes Surges
EIN Presswire
March 08, 2026
Former M&A Banker and Top-Ranked Futurist Roger Spitz Decodes Era of “Metaruptions” as Boards across Global Finance Seek Operating System for Deep Uncertainty
As we close the first quarter of 2026 and the first quarter of the 21st century, the verdict is in: ‘rare’ has become routine, and the ‘unprecedented’ is now our normal.”— Roger Spitz, Chair Disruptive Futures Institute
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, March 8, 2026 /EINPresswire.com/ -- Against the backdrop of a volatile start to 2026 - as the first quarter of the 21st century unfolds and global markets grapple with the collapse of historical data-driven models - the Disruptive Futures Institute announces an expanded global keynote tour for Roger Spitz. Anchored by the Strategic Imperative Series, “The Future of Predictability, Risk & Finance,” this special edition tour addresses a world where “rare” is routine and traditional “Predict and Act” frameworks have reached their expiration date.
Roger Spitz - named Top 15 Professional Futurists Worldwide for 2026 by Global Gurus 30 - brings a perspective that is unique in the field: the clinical rigor, insights and high-stakes experience of a former Global Head of Technology M&A applied to the nonlinear, liminal, and multiple worlds of a futurist. In an era defined by Metaruptions (the Disruptive Futures Institute 2026 Word of the Year), Spitz is decoding the paradigm shifts emerging across the boardrooms of asset managers, family offices, banks, insurers, and sovereign wealth funds.
“As we close the first quarter of the 21st century, the verdict is in: risk has mutated into deep (radical) uncertainty,” says Roger Spitz, Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute. “Financial models thrive on data to price risk and returns, but the world is throwing curveballs - climate shifts, geofinancial fragmentation, and AI-driven systemic shocks - that defy historical precedence. You cannot model the unquantifiable; you must build the antifragility to weather it. Put simply, there is no data on the future.”
Leading Futurist Roger Spitz Keynote Speaker at Trust Forward Summit by Cloudflare
Cloudflare TV
February 10, 2026
The Trust Forward Summit by Cloudflare is an exclusive side event at RSA Conference 2026, connecting cybersecurity leaders, AI innovators, and technology executives to tackle the most pressing challenges in digital trust and AI-driven innovation.
As we reach an inflection point driven by the rise of Generative AI and the move toward autonomous digital ecosystems, "business as usual" is no longer an option. Cloudflare's Trust Forward Summit brings together a curated group of CIOs, CISOs, and technology visionaries to explore a "trust-first" approach. An approach that doesn't just react to threats, but anticipates them through innovation, governance, and resilient architecture.
Attendees will explore how to accelerate AI safely, secure AI systems, and harness AI for cybersecurity advantage, leaving with practical strategies, forward-thinking insights, and peer connections.
Featured Keynote Speaker: Roger Spitz
Founder & CEO, Techistential
Roger Spitz is a top-ranked futurist and global authority on artificial intelligence and systemic disruption. President of Techistential and Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute, he is an advisor to the World Economic Forum. His expertise is grounded in his tenure as Global Head of Technology M&A (BNP Paribas) and in venture capital (Berkeley SkyDeck).
A bestselling author of five books, including Disrupt With Impact, Roger developed the widely adopted AAA Framework (Antifragility, Anticipatory, Agility). Having lived in 10 cities, he regularly headlines global summits, helping organizations gain clarity and resilience in an increasingly unpredictable world.
"The trade-off between efficiency and resiliency is a trade-off between fragile and antifragile... This asymmetry means that the fragile suffers a disproportionate amount of downside from shocks." - Roger Spitz, Disrupt With Impact
Roger will be signing copies of his book, Disrupt With Impact, at the event. Join us on the day-of to get your signed copy!
Disrupt With Impact in Today’s Unpredictable World @ Volcano Summit
Volcano Summit
December 29, 2025
Roger Spitz challenges the conventional definition of innovation, arguing that its true value lies not merely in disruption, but in its ability to ignite hope and catalyze positive system-wide transformation. As global complexities intensify, Spitz warns that the "pre-cooked playbooks" and linear assumptions of the past are becoming dangerous liabilities. In this provocative keynote, he confronts the rising cost of "business as usual," empowering leaders to discard outdated formulas. Listeners will learn how to reclaim their agency, exploring multiple possible futures to challenge the status quo and turn unpredictability into a strategic advantage.
Distinguished Leadership Innovation Conference (DLIC 2026)
Arthur Lok Jack Global School of Business, University of the West Indies (UWI)
December 29, 2025
As digital transformation and AI accelerates across the Caribbean, the Distinguished Leadership Innovation Conference (DLIC 2026) tackled the defining challenges of the era. The Disruptive Futures Institute (DFI) is proud to announce that its Chair, Roger Spitz, featured as an international voice at this year’s summit on March 13th, 2026 hosted by the Arthur Lok Jack Global School of Business, University of the West Indies (UWI).
Roger Spitz Launches Special Edition Speaking Series on the Future of Risk, Unpredictability, and Finance
EIN Newswire
September 08, 2025
Hot off the heels of his blockbuster global book tour, and due to popular demand, leading futurist Roger Spitz is celebrating his powerful new keynote special edition: “Navigating Metaruptions - The Future of Predictability, Risk & Finance.”
Building on the momentum of his groundbreaking work and recent publications at the intersection of finance, foresight, and systemic disruption, Spitz is taking his insights to boardrooms, world stages, and media platforms.
The future of risk & uncertainty: adaptive & anticipatory frameworks for an unpredictable world
Institute and Faculty of Actuaries
September 02, 2025
Roger Spitz Keynote Presentation:
Risk lies at the heart of most actuarial work and actuaries like to model risk. However, risk, uncertainty, and deep uncertainty are fundamentally distinct; not all uncertainty is quantifiable. Deep uncertainty arises in nonlinear systems, driven by complexity, unknowability, and interdependent dynamic variables. In such environments, shocks can accelerate through feedback loops, amplify across domains, and cascade systemically. As extreme and unprecedented events become more frequent, the limitations of legacy risk models are increasingly exposed.
Please join us in this discussion, organised by the Risk Management Lifelong Learning Committee, where Roger Spitz will examine the nature of deep uncertainty and systemic risk, and discuss adaptive and anticipatory frameworks that can help rethink how we model, manage, and respond to systemic disruption in an unpredictable world.
Roger Spitz Headlines Rulebreaker Future Congress With Keynote on Future of Artificial Intelligence and Decision-Making
EIN Presswire
August 20, 2025
Rulebreaker Future Congress Spotlights Roger Spitz, a Staple Keynote Speaker at Leading Technology & Innovation Global Summits
I had the pleasure to hear Roger Spitz, one of the world’s top futurists. He’s able to talk about the future in a compelling way and also provides major insights… He delivers fantastic keynotes.”— Harald Köpping Athanasopoulos, 2B Ahead - Head of Trends & Foresight
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, August 20, 2025 /EINPresswire.com/ -- Visionary futurist and bestselling author Roger Spitz delivered a groundbreaking opening keynote at the Rulebreaker Future Congress 2025 in Leipzig, Germany. Hosted by Europe’s largest futures think tank, 2b AHEAD, the event convened global leaders to explore transformative themes like quantum computing, artificial general intelligence, and robotics.
Spitz’s keynote talk, titled “The Future of AI & Strategic Decision-Making in an Era of Systemic Disruption,” introduced his bold lens on AI through “Techistentialism,” which explores how artificial intelligence is fundamentally reshaping human agency and decision-making. He challenged the audience to reclaim intelligence to remain relevant as machines encroach upon the decision-making value chain.
Risk in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence
Disruptive Futures Institute
June 18, 2025
RISK LIVE EUROPE - ROGER SPITZ CLOSING KEYNOTE
Risk in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence
In our Closing Keynote, top-ranked futurist Roger Spitz reframes disruption, recognizing it is more than a discrete or recurring event; it’s now systemic, expanding its reach. What does risk decision-making look like in deeply uncertain complex environments and when AI is taking over areas previously thought too important to entrust to machines? What does it mean when risks and events have multiple concurrent stressors which can cascade, spilling over as systemic impacts of intersecting disruptions multiply and amplify? Impacts such as climate or geopolitics are not siloed; likewise, neither should our approach to assessing risks and future-preparedness decisions.
Mastering Metaruptions: Seizing the Strategic Initiative in Uncertain Times
Toffler Associates
April 14, 2025
In a world where disruption is no longer a single or recurring event, but a steady state expanding its impact, how do you chart the uncharted?
Toffler Associates and The Aerospace Corporation invite you to join acclaimed futurist and author Roger Spitz for an exclusive event on Wednesday, May 7th as he reveals insights from his bestselling book, Disrupt with Impact.
Forget trends or even mega-/meta-trends. Spitz introduces “metaruptions” - a new lens on systemic, multidimensional disruptions reshaping geopolitics, artificial intelligence, space, cybersecurity, and beyond. These aren’t mere paradigm shifts; they’re redefinitions of change itself. Ditching outdated playbooks and predictable formulas, Spitz equips you with a new operating system to turn chaos into opportunity - a compass forged for the unpredictable.
For leaders shaping the future amid global and technological turbulence, this is your moment to rethink strategy and master what’s next.
Unpredictability for Chemical Engineers
AIChE - American Institute of Chemical Engineers
March 04, 2025
As systemic disruptions, technological and bioengineering advancements continue to converge, the need for new approaches to navigating uncertainty has never been more urgent. The landscape is shifting rapidly.
From climate change and artificial intelligence to geopolitics and cybersecurity, the challenges facing the chemical engineering field are constantly evolving. Are you prepared to navigate this deep uncertainty and seize new opportunities?
Join Roger Spitz from the Disruptive Futures Institute for a Keynote talk hosted by the AIChE - American Institute of Chemical Engineers on “Unpredictability for Chemical Engineers.”
ROGER SPITZ | KEYNOTE SPEAKER SHOWREEL (Official 5 mins)
Disruptive Futures Institute
January 30, 2025
This short video offers highlights selected from hundreds of Roger Spitz's recent speaking engagements, TV appearances, and media interviews.
Building on his bestselling books and global recognition as the leading authority on systemic disruption, Roger Spitz is dedicated to helping organizations build futures intelligence, drive systems innovation, and create sustainable value.
Known for his unique Keynote talks that blend exclusive research and insights from the Disruptive Futures Institute, and constantly updated real-world case studies from his strategic foresight practice, Techistential, Roger Spitz delivers impactful learnings that help organizations anticipate disruptions and thrive in an unpredictable world.
You can also view the full-length official version of Roger Spitz's 5-minute Keynote Speaker Showreel.
This short video offers abridged highlights selected from hundreds of Roger Spitz's recent speaking engagements, TV appearances, and media interviews.
Building on his bestselling books and global recognition as the leading authority on systemic disruption, Roger Spitz is dedicated to helping organizations build futures intelligence, drive systems innovation, and create sustainable value.
Roger Spitz's 'Disrupt with Impact' Keynote & FH Horizons Insights Event
FutureHacker
January 24, 2025
How do we rethink disruption in a world of constant change?
On August 15, 2024, Future Hacker and ONONO hosted an event that brought together thought leaders to explore the future of innovation, disruption, and strategic foresight. Featuring Roger Spitz, a globally renowned futurist and author of Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World, we uncovered how disruption has evolved from isolated events to a continuous state, redefining the rules of business and innovation.
The event also showcased FH Horizons, a strategic tool designed to help
individuals and organizations anticipate future challenges, explore emerging trends, and drive impactful change. This comprehensive approach emphasized how foresight and preparation are critical in navigating uncertainty and unlocking new possibilities.
A highlight of the day was the engaging roundtable discussion featuring Roger Spitz, Maria Athayde (Partner at Future Hacker), and Ornella Nitardi (BASF Open Innovation & Digital Ecosystem Manager South America). Together, they shared diverse perspectives on how leaders can harness innovation and rethink traditional boundaries to create sustainable, systemic change. This is an essential conversation for anyone looking to innovate, lead, and thrive in a rapidly evolving world.
How Agency, Foresight & Narratives Drive Virtuous Tipping Points
Speculative Futures Paris
January 22, 2025
Join us for this Keynote talk with Roger Spitz.
At the heart of Roger Spitz's work at the Disruptive Futures Institute and his latest bestselling book 'Disrupt With Impact' is informed optimism for driving positive inflection points.
Roger will share insights from his latest book 'Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World', delving into his climate and strategic foresight work with real-world case studies exploring.
5 key points from celebrated futurist Roger Spitz’s keynote address in Paris
HEC
November 18, 2024
On November 5, 2024, the “think-and-do tank” La Fabrique du Futur invited the celebrated author and futurist Roger Spitz to deliver a keynote address on his latest bestselling book – ‘Disrupt With Impact’ – in partnership with ISC Paris and HEC Paris Alumni. Members of Le Club Stratégie de l’Entreprise de HEC Alumni, ISC Paris alumni, and many others gathered at the ISC Campus in Paris to attend his talk, which explored the existential challenges that face humanity today – as well as tools we can use to address them.
Roger Spitz Keynote Address @ Institute of Directors (London, UK)
Disruptive Futures Institute
November 13, 2024
Roger Spitz had the honor of being part of the debate and deliberations in London for the 2024 Annual London Global Contention of the Institute of Directors (IOD), India. This global convention focused on “Board’s Strategy for a Secure Future & Turning Disruptions into Opportunities”, including events at the iconic House of Lords - UK Parliament.
Roger Spitz's Keynote talk tied in with core themes from his bestselling book “Disrupt With Impact." Roger also chaired a Plenary Session on “AI and the Boardroom: Embracing the Future of Corporate Governance”.
Roger Spitz Futures Talk Edition (Highlights) @ AXA (Paris, France)
AXA
November 12, 2024
In November 2024, Roger Spitz delivered a keynote talk at AXA’s headquarters in Paris, as part of AXA’s longstanding “100+ Reasons to Love the Future” program.
AXA Synopsis: "Recently, renowned foresight strategy and AI expert Roger Spitz joined us to present his latest book, Disrupt with Impact. A unique opportunity to discuss the need for effective decision-making in an unpredictable landscape and the essential impact of AI on our future endeavors."
BJJS Keynote Talk with Futurist Roger Spitz on Disrupt With Impact
BJSS
November 12, 2024
Following the global release of his new book Disrupt with Impact, we're delighted that Roger Spitz will be joining us for an exclusive Q&A networking event here in the UK.
This is a rare opportunity to meet with Roger in a private setting to explore the world of futures and foresight in an era of unprecedented change and disruption. Roger will share his unique perspective on the future of AI, strategic decision-making, and sustainable value creation in a rapidly changing business landscape.
The session will also cover some of the key topics covered in his book and how these can be applied in a business setting. Roger will discuss how to drive innovative and transformative change, the future of Artificial Intelligence and strategic decision-making.
Risk in the Era of Systemic Disruption, Unpredictability & Artificial Intelligence
Risk Awareness Week
October 07, 2024
We reframe disruption, recognizing it is more than a discrete or recurring event; it’s now systemic, expanding its reach. What does risk decision-making look like when AI is taking over areas previously thought too important to entrust to machine, and in deeply uncertain complex enviroments. What does it mean when risks and events have multiple concurrent stressors which can cascade, spilling over as systemic impacts of intersecting disruptions multiply and amplify. Impacts such as climate or geopolitics are not siloed; likewise, neither should our approach to assessing risks and future-preparedness decisions.
Distinguished Leadership Conference To Tackle Digital Change
TTT
March 09, 2026
Distinguished Leadership Conference To Tackle Digital Change
March 2, 2026 Danielle John
Business leaders are being urged to prepare now for the rapid changes brought on by artificial intelligence.
Chief Executive Officer of The UWI Arthur Lok Jack Global School of Business, Mariano Browne, says artificial intelligence is no longer a distant concept, as it is already reshaping how companies operate, market, and make decisions.
He said the Distinguished Leadership and Innovation Conference, hosted by the Arthur Lok Jack Global School of Business on March 13th, will focus squarely on how businesses can adapt.
“What we do is we invite, bring international speakers, people in the business of innovation, who are in the business of business, and in terms of what the business landscape looks like to anticipate the changes, what’s taking place, what you need to look at, and also, too, how you need to change some of your business practices.”
He noted that businesses must begin treating data as a key foundation of their success and rethink how they operate in an evolving digital environment.
“The reality is how do we adapt our business to understand what is taking place. That’s really the whole idea of disruption, because that’s what AI does. It’s disruptive. It changes business models. It changes the way things happen. How do you prepare for it? How do you prepare your business? How do you deal with your data? How do you address your data? How do you keep it? Most of us don’t. But that’s one of the key things, that’s a key foundation of all your success, your business model.
And it’s really built on your customers’ data.”
The conference will feature international speakers, including Ian Khan and Roger Spitz, with sessions designed to help executives and managers future-proof their organisations.
From Foresight to Zeitgeist: 'Metaruptions' Named Word of the Year as New Framework for Systemic Change Goes Mainstream
Disruptive Futures Institute
February 06, 2026
The Era of ‘Metaruptions’ Has Arrived, as Spitz’s “AAA Framework” Replaces Failing Strategy With Anticipatory Leadership
By mid-decade, the question is no longer whether organizations face Metaruptions - but whether they meet them by design or by surprise.”— Roger Spitz, Chair Disruptive Futures Institute
The Disruptive Futures Institute today recognizes a pivotal shift in the global lexicon as the term “Metaruptions” achieves escape velocity, transitioning from a specialized strategic foresight framework to the defining descriptor of the mid-decade zeitgeist. Following the Disruptive Futures Institute’s own declarations, the momentum has culminated in 'Metaruption' being hailed as the Word of the Year for 2026 in a Forbes article signaling a fundamental change in how leaders, policymakers, and even artists perceive the dynamics of change.
2026年のキーワードは「メタラプション」──リーダーの思考を変える新たな破壊の時代
Forbes Japan
January 14, 2026
FROM CONCEPT TO GLOBAL LEXICON
The term Metaruptions achieved mainstream visibility in 2024, when Spitz’s Disrupt With Impact became a multi-award-winning bestseller and the concept was featured across mainstream media, including CNN.
Metaruptions gained explosive mainstream visibility in late 2025-early 2026 - first with Disrupt With Impact’s awards cascade and media exposure, then Forbes contributor Dr. Nadya Zhexembayeva designated it Word of the Year, framing it as the essential lens for understanding the modern landscape of compounding systemic change. Forbes Japan subsequently translated the piece, signaling global resonance with Japanese leaders navigating a “Metaruption” era defined by the collision of semiconductor sovereignty, AI-driven energy demands, the systemic strain of demographic inversion, and geopolitical paradigm shifts.
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s earlier prescience anticipated this momentum. Spitz and his team demonstrated that isolated trend analysis - once the gold standard in strategy - was increasingly ineffective in environments where disruption propagates across sectors, geographies, and time horizons simultaneously. Metaruptions describe networks of disruption rather than discrete events, forcing organizations and governments to explore second- and third-order effects across domains.
• Forbes article by Dr. Nadya Zhexembayeva (5 January 2026): “My Word For 2026 Is Metaruption—And It Changes How Leaders Must Think”, read here https://www.forbes.com/sites/nadyazhexembayeva/2025/12/31/my-word-for-2026-is-metaruption-and-it-changes-how-leaders-must-think/
• Forbes Japan translated article by Dr. Nadya Zhexembayeva (14 January 2026): 2026年のキーワードは「メタラプション」──リーダーの思考を変える新たな破壊の時代 - read here https://forbesjapan.com/articles/detail/89283
Can AI Predict the Future? Roger Spitz CNN Interview
CNN
January 02, 2026
Can AI Predict the Future? Watch my latest CNN Interview Clip.
Roger Spitz speaks to the difference between uncertainty and deep uncertainty, and how organizations and individuals can address unpredictability - especially in the age of AI.
Spitz, R, Chaves, A, and Ciccone, M. “Viver o Imprevisível”. The President (Revista, Edition No. 76), December 2nd, 2025.
The President (Revista)
December 02, 2025
Spitz, R, Chaves, A, and Ciccone, M. “Viver o Imprevisível”. The President (Revista, Edition No. 76), December 2nd, 2025.
This special edition of The President focuses on Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Future Trends. In this interview, Roger Spitz discusses that leaders must shift from a "predict and act" paradigm to one of "prepare and adapt" in a non-linear and unpredictable world. He also introduced the concept of Metaruptions (deep, interconnected, and systemic transformations) and the AAA Framework (Antifragile, Anticipatory, Agile).
WHY TRADITIONAL RISK MODELS CAN’T SURVIVE THE ‘METARUPTIONS’ OF DEEP UNCERTAINTY
Connect Magazine Center for Financial Professionals (CeFPro)
November 25, 2025
Center for Financial Professionals (CeFPro):
Connect Magazine interview with Roger Spitz:
"Why Traditional Risk Models Can't Survive the 'Metaruptions' of Deep Uncertainty"
Nov 25, 2025
Connect Magazine Issue 14: The forces shaping financial services today are more dynamic - and more disruptive than ever.
Issue 14 tackles the forces redefining financial services in 2025 - and the emerging shifts set to shape 2026. It unpacks the cultural, geopolitical, technological, and economic pressures transforming how institutions assess risk, build resilience, and make strategic decisions.
Entramos em mundo multipolar, diz Spitz ao CNN Money
CNN Brasil
October 01, 2025
CNN Brasil article/blog write-up:
Entramos em mundo multipolar, diz Spitz ao CNN Money
https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/economia/macroeconomia/entramos-em-mundo-multipolar-diz-spitz-ao-cnn-money/
Digital Accessibility: Bridging the Future and Inclusion with Roger Spitz
Perto Digital
October 01, 2025
In this episode, we have an incredible conversation with Roger Spitz, one of the world's greatest minds when it comes to innovation and transformation!
We explore how digital can be the key to uniting accessibility and the future. Roger challenges us to rethink concepts and understand that the "standard" model no longer works. The solution? Creating a more inclusive, diverse, and accessible world.
In this chat, you'll understand:
Why unpredictability is an opportunity, not a problem.
The market potential of digital inclusion in Brazil.
How mass personalization is the future of the market.
Why autonomy becomes the key to innovation.
The difference between Disruption and Disruption with Impact.
About the Guest:
Roger Spitz is the author of several books, including the upcoming book "Disrupt with Impact." He is a global reference in management, strategy, and innovation. His unique vision helps us see today's challenges as opportunities to build a stronger future for all.
ENTREVISTA ESPECIAL COM ROGER SPITZ , CEO DO DISRUPTIVE FUTURES INSTITUTE
CNN Brasil
September 30, 2025
CNN Brasil Live FULL VIDEO ORIGINAL _ ENTREVISTA ESPECIAL COM ROGER SPITZ , CEO DO DISRUPTIVE FUTURES INSTITUTE - 30⧸09⧸2025 ｜ CNN MONEY.mp4
Main 30 minute interview from CNN Brasil
ENTREVISTA ESPECIAL COM ROGER SPITZ , CEO DO DISRUPTIVE FUTURES INSTITUTE - 30/09/2025 | CNN MONEY
Official link:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ruLNGJcHCq0
IA não vai ajudar em cenários de incerteza, diz Spitz
CNN Brasil
September 30, 2025
Short from CNN Brasil Morning Call
IA não vai ajudar em cenários de incerteza, diz Spitz | CNN Morning Call
Official link:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yOYXDcAIsX8
The Future Isn’t Predictable – But You Can Be Ready: Roger Spitz Shares His Vision
European Business Magazine
July 10, 2025
Roger Spitz is one of the world’s most influential Futurism & Trends Speakers, renowned for his expertise in strategic foresight, disruptive innovation, and complexity leadership.
As the founder of Techistential and Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute, he has advised the leadership teams of more than 100 global organisations, helping them navigate uncertainty and build future-ready strategies in an age of exponential change.
A four-time author and keynote speaker, Roger is celebrated for challenging conventional thinking and empowering decision-makers to embrace non-linear thinking and transformational storytelling.
In this exclusive interview with The Champions Speakers Agency, he unpacks the power of anticipation, the myth of predictability, and how businesses can turn disruption into opportunity.
Roger Spitz Exclusive Interview @Risk Live Europe 2025 (London): What is the Future of Risk?
Risk.Net | Risk Live Europe
June 18, 2025
Ever wondered about the future of risk and insurability in a world of systemic disruption, unpredictability, and artificial intelligence? In this exclusive interview, Roger Spitz, shares his insights.
During his 2025 London Speaking Tour, Spitz delivered the Closing Keynote at Risk Live Europe. Following his talk, he joined the Risk.Net teams to record this exclusive conversation based on his latest paper on the future of risk.
The Future of Risk & Insurability: World Economic Forum TV - Introduction Clip with Roger Spitz
World Economic Forum TV
June 13, 2025
During this Live TV Programme for the World Economic Forum, Roger Spitz and Olivier Desbiey discuss their new paper, “The future of risk and insurability in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence”, published in the Journal of Operational Risk (Risk.Net). In this short clip, host Tatiana Kalashnikova introduces Roger and Olivier, then Roger dives into the key ideas from their paper.
The paper is open access, you can download for free on Risk.Net:
► https://www.risk.net/node/7961666
► Citation: Spitz, R., and Desbiey, O. “The future of risk and insurability in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence”. Journal of Operational Risk. Risk.net, June 9, 2025.
The AAA Framework for Resiliency: World Economic Forum TV Session Clip with Roger Spitz
World Economic Forum TV
June 13, 2025
During this Live TV Programme for the World Economic Forum, Roger Spitz and Olivier Desbiey discuss their paper, “The future of risk and insurability in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence”, published in the Journal of Operational Risk (Risk.Net). In this short clip, Roger outlines his journey from investment banking to foresight, and explores the implications of his AAA Framework on decision-making in deep uncertainty.
The Future of Risk paper is open access, you can download for free on Risk.Net:
► https://www.risk.net/node/7961666
► Citation: Spitz, R., and Desbiey, O. “The future of risk and insurability in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence”. Journal of Operational Risk. Risk.net, June 9, 2025.
World Economic Forum TV Programme Session: The Future of Risk and Insurability in the Era of Systemic Disruption, Unpredictability and Artificial Intelligence
World Economic Forum
June 13, 2025
Spitz, R., and Desbiey, O. “Virtual Programme Session: The Future of Risk and Insurability in the Era of Systemic Disruption, Unpredictability and Artificial Intelligence”, World Economic Forum, June 13, 2025.
Leading in a World of Metaruptions: Reflections on Disruption with Roger Spitz
IBM Center for The Business of Government
May 22, 2025
This essay distills key takeaways from my conversation with Roger Spitz, outlines leadership lessons, and offers practical recommendations for government executives to apply these insights effectively
As the host of The Business of Government Hour, I’ve had the privilege of engaging with thought leaders who challenge conventional wisdom and offer actionable insights for navigating complex challenges. My recent in-person conversation with Roger Spitz, president of the Disruptive Futures Institute and author of Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World, was no exception. Roger, a futurist and expert in strategic foresight, joined me to explore how government leaders can embrace systemic disruption, build resilience, and drive meaningful outcomes in a world defined by uncertainty.
This essay distills key takeaways from the discussion, outlines leadership lessons, and offers practical recommendations for government executives to apply these insights effectively.
A Bigger View of the Future, with Futurist Roger Spitz | Ep. 115
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) - Reimagining The Future
April 03, 2025
A Bigger View of the Future, with Futurist Roger Spitz
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) - Reimagining The Future
Join us for a thought-provoking conversation that dives deep into the future. Today, we're tackling the big questions: from the perceived biases of AI in sustainability to the anxieties that keep business executives up at night. We'll explore the seismic shift in corporate engagement with politics, the exhilarating yet perplexing journey of AI growth, and the crucial balance between hyped and under-hyped AI capabilities. Join us as we navigate the complexities of future trends, challenge prevailing mental paradigms, and seek answers to the pervasive sense of pessimism that often overshadows our potential for a better future.
Capital Insights Vol2 Issue 4: Roadmap for Digital Disruption by 2035
The FinTech Times
January 24, 2025
"Ultimately, the report suggests that the next decade rewards organisations that treat disruption as a capability rather than an event. Roger Spitz, founder of the Disruptive Futures Institute, concluded that siloed risk management is no longer effective. He said that leaders must embrace complexity and uncertainty as defining features of a dynamic strategic landscape, moving from prediction to imagination."
From disruption to transformation
School of International Futures (SOIF)
December 19, 2024
Roger Spitz, President of Techistential and Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute, joined SOIF’s community event last October to inspire actionable thinking on navigating uncertainty. Author of the bestselling “Disrupt with Impact”, he shared insights into reframing disruption as a driver for systemic change. His book provides tools to help decision-makers navigate and respond effectively in an increasingly ‘UN-VICE’ world—Unknown, Volatile, Intersecting, Complex and Exponential. Systemic change has diminished the value of ‘ad-vice’.
Advisory Council, Mentor & Speaker | LP Investor in UC Berkeley SkyDeck Fund
UC Berkeley SkyDeck Fund
March 01, 2022
Advisory Council, Mentor & Speaker | LP Investor in UC Berkeley SkyDeck Fund
Berkeley SkyDeck, University of California, is Berkeley’s largest accelerator. Advisor to SkyDeck portfolio companies and the Venture Capital Fund itself, as well as source and select companies to fund and incubate as a venture advisor. I am also an investor and LP in the Berkeley SkyDeck investment fund.
Tags: Emerging Technology, Startups, Venture Capital
1 Panel
A Comissão de Educação da Câmara dos Deputados, Brasil, Seminário sobre altas habilidades
Brazil Chamber of Deputies
October 19, 2023
Câmara dos Deputados. “Seminário sobre altas habilidades (TARDE) - Comissão de Educação”. A Comissão de Educação da Câmara dos Deputados, Brasil, October 19, 2023.
Techistentialism: Trust, Agency, and Decision-Making in Tech Acceleration
In-between Trust Podcast
November 05, 2025
Spitz, R., and Lihotzky, E. S. “#11 - Techistentialism: Trust, Agency, and Decision-Making in Tech Acceleration”. The in-between trust podcast, November 5, 2025.
Change with venture capitalist & futurist Roger Spitz
Looking Outside
June 18, 2025
You can’t talk about the future without talking about change. But change can trick you, as guest Roger Spitz says on this latest episode, filmed live at the Rulebreaker Future Congress in Germany. Roger is the founding Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute and, there, instructs global leaders in operating with agility in uncertain environments. The thing about change, Roger explains, is that it feels equally incredibly slow and exponentially fast – and both perceptual models can distract us from focusing on the present moment and what needs to be solved for today. On the show, Roger stresses why cognitive agility and informed optimism are critical mindsets in a future that feels uncontrollably volatile.
Think Forward EP 132 - Disruptive Futures with Roger Spitz
Think Forward: Conversations with Futurists, Innovators and Big Thinkers
May 05, 2025
Welcome to episode 132! We sit down with Roger Spitz of the Disruptive Futures Institute.
Roger Spitz brings a refreshingly different perspective to the future of business and leadership. As the former global head of Tech M&A who pivoted into professional futures work, Roger's journey represents exactly the kind of transformation he advocates for—bold, purpose-driven, and responsive to a changing world.
What sets Roger apart is his holistic approach to disruption. While most futurists focus narrowly on technological innovation, Roger delves into the systemic changes reshaping our entire landscape. His Triple A framework—Anti-fragile, Anticipatory, and Agility—offers a practical operating system for navigating uncertainty that goes beyond standard playbooks.
The concept of "meta-eruptions" that Roger introduces challenges conventional thinking about trends and forecasting. As he explains, we're living in a world where "unprecedented" has become the norm, requiring fundamentally different approaches to preparation and response. His global perspective, having lived across nine countries by age 18, combined with his unconventional study of disciplines like improv comedy alongside traditional futures methodology, creates a unique lens for understanding adaptation and resilience.
In this fantastic talk, we cover:
Developing the Triple A framework: Anti-fragile foundations, Anticipatory thinking, and Agility to reconcile long-term vision with immediate action
Understanding "meta-eruptions" as constant, often surprising systemic changes that require a new approach beyond traditional megatrend analysis
How global perspective and varied experiences (including studying improv comedy) enhance futures intelligence and adaptability
Creating the Disruptive Futures Institute to address the gap between specialized fields and build a new operating system for decision-making
Applying futures thinking to complex challenges like climate action and sustainable market transformation
Emphasizing relevance as the ultimate test for individuals and organizations in a rapidly changing world
Recognizing our agency to create virtuous tipping points even amid accelerating disruption
Find Roger Spitz online through LinkedIn, the Disruptive Futures Institute website, or his book "Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World."
Kevin Benedict Ponders the Future, A Bigger View of the Future, with Futurist Roger Spitz
Future of Business TV
April 03, 2025
Spitz, R., and Benedict, K. “A Bigger View of the Future, with Futurist Roger Spitz”, Kevin Benedict Ponders the Future - Future of Business TV, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) Executive Briefing, April 3, 2025.
CPD Strategic Foresight in Action with Roger Spitz (Part 2)
RiskMasters
March 01, 2025
In this CPD episode of RiskMasters, host Julien Haye continues his conversation with Roger Spitz, global foresight expert and founder of Techistential and the Disruptive Futures Institute.
Building on Part 1 (Foresight and Risk: Embracing Unpredictability with Roger Spitz), Roger delves deeper into the practical application of foresight in risk management, covering how organisations can integrate scenario planning, anticipate systemic risks, and build resilience against unpredictable disruptions.
CPD Foresight and Risk: Embracing Unpredictability with Roger Spitz (Part 1)
RiskMasters
February 15, 2025
In this CPD episode of RiskMasters, host Julien Haye welcomes Roger Spitz, a global leader in foresight and strategic risk intelligence. Roger, the founder of Techistential and The Disruptive Futures Institute, discusses his career pivot from investment banking to futures studies and how foresight can transform risk management.
A 'future-without-jobs' or how to stay relevant in the age of AI? Exclusive interview
The Future of Skills Podcast
November 21, 2024
Spitz, R., and Birca, N. “Episode #14: A 'future-without-jobs' or how to stay relevant in the age of AI? Exclusive interview”. The Future of Skills Podcast, November 21, 2024.
Navigating the Future of the Pacific Islands: AI Asia Pacific Institute Podcast with Roger Spitz
AI Asia Pacific Institute Podcast
September 03, 2024
On this episode of the AI Asia Pacific Institute Podcast, Roger Spitz discusses Techistentialism and how it relates to the future of the Pacific Islands, from climate change to AI and human decision-making. They explore the role of digital technology and AI in both mitigating and exacerbating challenges.
Rebel Educator Podcast, 110: Foresight as a Tool for Building Resilience and Thriving in Disruption with Roger Spitz
Rebel Educator
August 16, 2024
Spitz, R., and Scheckley, T. “110: Foresight as a Tool for Building Resilience and Thriving in Disruption with Roger Spitz”. Rebel Educator Podcast, August 16, 2024.
Tags: Business Strategy, Emerging Technology, Leadership
Upside & Impact: Investing for Change, Can We Have a Sustainable Future? Futurist Roger Spitz Weighs In
EFT Central
December 27, 2023
Spitz, R., and Alfano, E. “Can We Have a Sustainable Future? Futurist Roger Spitz Weighs In”. Upside & Impact: Investing for Change, December 27, 2023.
Machine Ethics Podcast (Ben Byford) - Taming Uncertainty with Roger Spitz
Machine Ethics Podcast
July 11, 2023
What is AI and its role in disruption? Is AI an existential risk? How can we tell the difference between potential disaster and limitless opportunity in the age of exponential technologies?
Roger Spitz on the future of strategic decision-making, thriving on disruption, resilient systems and thinking, and beginner’s mind (Ep59)
Amplifying Cognition
April 13, 2023
On this thought-provoking episode of Thriving on Overload, Ross Dawson and Roger Spitz dive deep into decision-making in the disruptive 21st century. They discuss the future of strategic decision-making in the context of humanity and how technology may be taking over areas of decision-making we never thought it would. They also speak about how these topics are being unpacked in boardrooms around the world - and how many businesses are still operating under the assumption business as usual.
The New Abnormal Podcast, in partnership with the Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies, The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption
Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies
April 07, 2023
Pillot de Chenecey, S, and Spitz, R. “The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption”. The New Abnormal Podcast, in partnership with the Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies, April 7, 2023.
Insights From A Successful Career In Investment Banking & Venture Capital
Reframe & Reset Your Career Podcast
February 01, 2023
Boralessa, H, and Spitz, R. “Insights From A Successful Career In Investment Banking & Venture Capital”. Reframe & Reset Your Career Podcast, February 1, 2023.
Brunswick, S, and Spitz, R. “Thriving on Disruption: Roger Spitz, Founder and President of Techistential
Space Foundation Global Alliance
October 01, 2022
Brunswick, S, and Spitz, R. “Thriving on Disruption: Roger Spitz, Founder and President of Techistential”. Space Foundation Global Alliance, October, 2022.
Bloomberg Quote of the Day
Bloomberg
September 15, 2025
Quoted on Bloomberg's Quote of the Day, 15 September 2025.
“When we connect with multiple perspectives and diverging views, we unleash inspiration.” - Roger Spitz (form "Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World" (Kogan Page Publishing)
My Word For 2026 Is Metaruption—And It Changes How Leaders Must Think
Forbes
January 31, 2025
My Word For 2026 Is Metaruption—And It Changes How Leaders Must Think
By Dr. Nadya Zhexembayeva
If 2025 felt harder to manage than any year before it, you’re not imagining it. The challenge leaders face today isn’t simply the number of disruptions—it’s their compounding nature. Just as organizations begin adjusting to one disruption—AI, geopolitics, regulation, climate, labor markets—another arrives, amplified by the first. And then another.
Disruptions no longer interrupt the system.
They are the system.
What we are experiencing is not volatility as we used to know it. It is a fundamentally different operating environment—one where shocks stack, interact and trigger second- and third-order effects faster than organizations can absorb them. Planning cycles lag reality. Forecasts decay almost immediately. And strategies designed for linear cause-and-effect struggle to stay relevant even months after they are approved.
There is a word for this new reality. The Age Of Metaruptions. My word for 2026 is metaruption.
Coined by futurist Roger Spitz, futurist and chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute, the term captures a shift many leaders feel viscerally but still struggle to articulate: disruptions stacked on top of one another, each feeding and accelerating the next.
Global Gurus Ranks Roger Spitz #15 Among World’s Top 30 Futurist Professionals for 2026
Global Gurus
February 04, 2026
Recognition Highlights Spitz’s AAA Framework as the Definitive Operating System for Anticipatory Leaders Navigating Systemic Disruption and Deep Uncertainty
This recognition reflects a global shift in leadership priorities - away from predicting the future and toward building the agency to shape it under deep uncertainty.”— Roger Spitz, Chair Disruptive Futures Institute
The Disruptive Futures Institute marks a milestone in the field of strategic foresight as Roger Spitz (B.Sc. Econ, M.Sc., FCA, APF) has been named one of the World’s Top 30 Futurist Professionals for 2026 by Global Gurus. Ranking #15 worldwide, Spitz’s inclusion in this prestigious cohort marks a pivotal moment in the 2026 momentum that has seen him emerge as the era’s most relevant and visible futurist, board advisor, and headlining keynote speaker of systemic disruption.
The prestigious Global Gurus rankings - a rigorous, data-driven assessment of impact, unique conceptual contributions, and the practical ability of leaders to apply foresight to organizational success - place Spitz among a remarkable group of global icons, including Ray Kurzweil, Peter Diamandis, and Michio Kaku. This recognition validates a career-long mission: moving the global dialogue away from the futility of “predicting” the future toward the strategic imperative of “inventing” it through agency and systemic resilience.
Roger Spitz Named Leading Futurist Speaker for 2025
Motivational Speakers Agency
February 25, 2025
Roger Spitz, founder of the Disruptive Futures Institute, has been recognized as one of the top futurist speakers for 2025 by leading speaker agencies. This recognition further highlights Spitz’s expertise in disruption, innovation, and strategic foresight.
21 World Leading Futurist Speakers Trending in 2025 - Official List
Champions Speakers Agency
September 20, 2024
Drawing on exclusive, verified feedback from over 1,200 events in 52 countries, and with over 20 years of refined experience collaborating with world-leading futurists, we present the official selection of the 21 most sought-after Futurist Speakers trending in 2025. Endorsed by agents and consistently praised by clients, these speakers have been instrumental in helping businesses navigate rapid technological changes and societal shifts. Their proven expertise and ability to offer actionable insights ensure that organisations are prepared for the future. Explore our exclusive, reliable selection to book a speaker who can guide your team toward innovation and success.
The Top Ranked Futurist Speakers Shaping the Future in 2025
The Motivational Speakers Agency
September 12, 2024
The Motivational Speakers Agency have worked with many of the World's leading futurists. Following official market research conducted with clients from over 227 futurism-themed events, we have compiled the top-ranked futurism speakers shaping the future. Take a look at their official rating below, vetted by happy clients!
London Speaker Bureau Interview with Roger Spitz: Authority on strategic foresight and transformative change
London Speaker Bureau
August 05, 2025
London Speaker Bureau - Interview with Roger Spitz: Authority on strategic foresight and transformative change
Roger Spitz is the leading authority on systemic disruption, strategic foresight, and the future of decision-making. With a distinguished career in investment banking, he served as Global Head of Technology M&A at BNP Paribas, advising on transactions exceeding $25 billion. Roger blends rigorous analysis and actionable insights to illuminate the intersection of complexity, ecosystems and trust.
The Speakers Agency - Roger Spitz
The Speakers Agency
March 01, 2025
Roger Spitz - The Speakers Agency
Roger Spitz is a world-renowned expert on disruption, strategic foresight, and future decision-making. Formerly Global Head of Technology M&A at BNP Paribas, he now leads Techistential and the Disruptive Futures Institute, advising global leaders and boards. A bestselling author and captivating keynote speaker, Roger helps organisations navigate uncertainty, embrace innovation, and build resilience in an unpredictable world.
AAE Speakers - Roger Spitz: The Leading Speakers Bureau for Booking Top Entertainment, Celebrities, and Speakers.
AAE Speakers
January 01, 2025
AAE Speakers
The Leading Speakers Bureau for Booking Top Entertainment, Celebrities, and Speakers.
Roger Spitz Speaker Agent
Roger Spitz
Category: Artificial Intelligence, Authors, Change Management, Creativity, Disruptive Thinking, Education, Energy, Ethics & Integrity, Future of Work, Futurism, Leadership, Mindset, Non-Fiction Authors, Personal Growth, Resilience, Technology
PepTalk - Roger Spitz Speaker Profile
PepTalk
August 01, 2024
PepTalk
Roger Spitz
Unlock actionable strategies for navigating systemic disruption and making confident, informed decisions in times of deep uncertainty, with Roger Spitz, speaker and visionary futurist
Roger Spitz | Speaker Biography
- Global advisor on systemic disruption and strategic foresight
- Founder of the Disruptive Futures Institute and President of Techistential
- Bestselling author and top-ranked speaker on systems innovation
Champions Speaker Agency - Roger Spitz
Champions Speaker Agency
January 01, 2024
Champions Speaker Agency
Roger Spitz
Renowned futurist, president of Techistential, founding chair of Disruptive Futures Institute, former BNP Paribas managing director, bestselling author on disruption strategy & World Economic Forum Global Foresight Network member
Motivational Speaker Agency - Roger Spitz
Motivational Speaker Agency
January 01, 2024
Motivational Speaker Agency - Roger Spitz
Roger Spitz is a futurist and expert in disruption strategy, President of Techistential, and Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute. A sought-after speaker, he empowers leaders to thrive in uncertainty, offering insights on AI, climate resilience, and future-proofing. Book him now for transformative insights.
CyberSecurity Speakers - Roger Spitz
CyberSecurity Speakers
January 01, 2024
Roger Spitz - Cyber Security Speakers
- President of Techistential & Founding Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute
- Managing Director at BNP Paribas
- Global Foresight Network Contributor
- Author of Four-Volume Series “The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption”
- Author of “Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World”
- Creator of the AAA Framework and Disruptive Thinking Canvas
London Speaker Bureau: Roger Spitz - World-leading authority on strategic foresight, sustainable futures, and transformative change
London Speaker Bureau
February 03, 2021
London Speaker Bureau
Roger Spitz: World-leading authority on strategic foresight, sustainable futures, and transformative change
Roger Spitz Kicks Off 2026 Global Tour with 'Special Edition' Keynote Series on Uncertainty: The End of Predictability
EIN Presswire / Disruptive Futures Institute
January 02, 2026
Building on a Blockbuster Speaking & Media Tour, World Leading Futurist Operationalizes the “Future of Uncertainty” for Asset Managers, Boards & Policymakers
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, January 1, 2026 /EINPresswire.com/ -- As global markets grapple with the collapse of historical patterns, the Disruptive Futures Institute announces the launch of Roger Spitz’s 2026 global keynote tour, anchored by his high-demand Strategic Imperative Series: “The Future of Predictability, Risk & Finance.”
Kicking off the year with a slate of engagements in the world’s financial capitals, Spitz brings a critical message to the boardrooms of sovereign wealth funds, family offices, insurers, and investment banks: In an era where risk has mutated into radical uncertainty, the traditional “Predict and Act” models have stopped working.
This “Uncertainty” Special Edition series addresses the defining challenge of the decade. Financial models thrive on data to price risk and calculate returns, yet the world is throwing curveballs - climate shifts, geoeconomic fragmentation, and AI-driven systemic disruptions - that defy historical precedence and predictability. Put simply, there is no data on the future.
Navigating the Unpredictable: Roger Spitz Unveils 2026 Global Speaking Agenda
EIN Presswire
December 16, 2025
Building on Blockbuster International Headlining Tours, Leading Futurist Spitz Sets the Agenda for AI, Systemic Change, and a Multipolar World
We are entering a new era of metaruptions. In 2026, the future belongs to leaders who stop relying on outdated maps of the past and start building their own compass for unpredictability.”— Roger Spitz
The Visionary Trilogy: Roger Spitz Launches New Global Speaking Series
Medium
August 22, 2025
Following a blockbuster book, speaking, and media tour spanning the Americas, Europe, and Asia, renowned futurist Roger Spitz announces his new keynote series, The Visionary Trilogy. This exclusive series responds directly to a changing world marked by escalating complexity amidst multipolar geopolitical shifts.
The Visionary Trilogy: Leading Futurist Roger Spitz Unveils Exclusive Global Speaking Series After Record-Breaking Book Tour
EIN Presswire
August 18, 2025
Following a blockbuster book, speaking, and media tour spanning the Americas, Europe, and Asia, renowned futurist Roger Spitz announces his new keynote series, The Visionary Trilogy. This exclusive series responds directly to a changing world marked by escalating complexity amidst multipolar geopolitical shifts.
Designed to equip organizations with the foresight and agility to navigate deep uncertainty, The Visionary Trilogy centers on three themes: Mindset, Intelligence, and Leadership.
ROGER SPITZ OFFICIAL SPEAKER REEL 2026 | Global Futurist & Keynote Speaker
Disruptive Futures Institute
February 06, 2026
ROGER SPITZ OFFICIAL SPEAKER REEL 2026 | Global Futurist & Keynote Speaker
Roger Spitz is a leading AI futurist, keynote speaker, and bestselling author, known for empowering leaders to navigate artificial intelligence, systemic disruption, and deep uncertainty.
Ranked among the world’s top professional futurists (Global Gurus Top 30, Thinkers360), Spitz is President of Techistential, Chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute, and a member of the World Economic Forum’s Global Foresight Network.
In this 2026 official speaker reel, Spitz shares how to rewire how we think, decide, and lead to stay relevant in an era of deep transformations.
Roger Spitz on the New Rules of Disruption
London Speaker Bureau
August 07, 2025
We’re no longer living in a world that can be forecasted with tidy models or trend lines. Change today is faster and more unpredictable than ever. The question is, how should we think in a world that refuses to be predicted: “Disruption is a constant. It’s not a problem. It’s a feature.” – Roger Spitz
Roger Spitz Keynote Speaker
In an era of growing complexity, Roger Spitz, founder of the Disruptive Futures Institute, argues that we’re completely misunderstanding disruption. It’s not just about new technologies or market shifts – it’s systemic and it’s constant.
Rather than trying to forecast change with outdated models, the Authority on Strategic Foresight adopts a new approach, rooted in systems thinking and informed optimism.
During this interview, he introduces the idea of ‘Metaruptions’, which are intersecting forces that resist traditional trend analysis. These include climate, AI, societal shifts, and the breakdown of information ecosystems. “You cannot control it or isolate it or seek to predict it. So you really need to be prepared for shocks and surprises and get comfortable with that unpredictability.”
London Speaker Bureau - This is Roger Spitz
London Speaker Bureau
July 24, 2025
London Speaker Bureau - This is Roger Spitz
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SeCz5OWVAH0&t=4s
Roger Spitz is the leading authority on systemic disruption, strategic foresight, and the future of decision-making. With a distinguished career in investment banking, he served as Global Head of Technology M&A at BNP Paribas, advising on transactions exceeding $25 billion. Roger blends rigorous analysis and actionable insights to illuminate the intersection of complexity, ecosystems and trust.
Roger Spitz: prosperar en la disrupción
Peter Drucker Forum
November 17, 2024
“El concepto de disrupción significa que estamos forzados a convertirnos en agentes de cambio”, afirma el futurista y presidente de Techistential y de Disruptive Futures Institute, Roger Spitz.
La verdadera innovación, según Spitz, no reside únicamente en la disrupción, sino en su capacidad para generar esperanza, desbloquear nuevas posibilidades y catalizar transformaciones positivas en los sistemas. Su último libro, Disrupt With Impact, “no se refiere al sentido tradicional de productos tecnológicos o innovación tecnocéntrica, sino más bien a entender el cambio constante y darnos cuenta de que el statu quo no resolverá los mayores desafíos del mundo. Pero no basta con cambiar por cambiar o romper cosas sin sentido. Debemos hacerlo de una manera efectiva”, afirma; por eso, el término with impact (con impacto) es crucial.
En su charla con Franziska Graf, durante el pasado Global Peter Drucker Forum, profundizó en algunos aspectos, como los estados mentales necesarios para afrontar mejor el cambio en la incertidumbre, y su aplicación cotidiana.
The Future of AI and Decision-Making in an Era of Systemic Disruption
AmCham
March 21, 2025
Masterclass with Amcham-Brasil on Anticipatory Leadership in the Age of AI & Systemic Disruption.
The Future of AI and Decision-Making in an Era of Systemic Disruption: Artificial intelligence is rapidly advancing into domains once considered exclusively human. While we’ve long excelled at decision-making, our advantage may be waning. Through the lens of “Techistentialism,” our very existence and decision-making are being fundamentally reshaped by technology.
Automation, cognification, decentralization, digitization, and virtualization are altering every aspect of our lives. I will unpack how as humans we can enhance our capabilities to remain relevant as AI advances. What higher-level functions are machines now capable of, and how quickly are they learning? What strategies can we adopt to thrive in a world where AI increasingly influences decision-making? We’ll explore actionable tools and a mindset shift to thrive in a future where human cognition and AI are inseparable.
Capital Insights Vol 2 Issue 4 - Disruption 2035 Released: Roger Spitz on The Future of Leadership & Decision-Making
EIN Presswire / Disruptive Futures Institute
December 26, 2025
Spitz Contributes to Capital Club Dubai’s Latest Research on Future of Leadership with His Award-Winning Framework: AAA Decision-Making for Systemic Disruption
To thrive in 2035 scenarios, the most successful leaders will be those who design for systemic disruption - transforming uncertainty into strategic advantage.”— Roger Spitz, Chair Disruptive Futures Institute
SAN FRANCISCO, CA, UNITED STATES, December 24, 2025 /EINPresswire.com/ -- Note to Editors: This release forms part of a 2026 executive briefing on Disruption Leadership and anticipatory decision-making in the age of metaruptions.
As organizations navigate an era of accelerating complexity and systemic disruption, Roger Spitz has contributed practitioner research on decision-making and leadership design to Capital Insights, Capital Club Dubai’s quarterly publication, in its latest issue “Disruption 2035” (Vol. 2, Issue 4, December 2025).
Climate Foresight: Transforming the Voluntary Carbon Markets
World Economic Forum
March 06, 2025
1. Situation
Voluntary Carbon Markets (VCMs) are systems where companies or individuals can buy carbon credits to offset their greenhouse gas emissions. VCMs have many promising aspects, but they do not constitute direct emissions reduction. Additionally, While VCMs create new market-based incentives for carbon abatement, their integrity is often critiqued as lackluster, untransparent, and poorly verified.
2. Complication
The carbon crisis and energy transition are “wicked problems” that exist in dynamic, nonlinear environments, where solutions from predetermined paths cannot be relied upon with certainty. As a result, effective carbon offsetting, requires a nuanced understanding the systems that underpin the market, and strategic projections that propose many possible solutions to uncertain outcomes. Addressing these challenges necessitates integrating climate foresight into carbon market research - allowing teams to move from silos to systems, and rethink the structures that incentivize desired outcomes. Foresight will also allow businesses and investors to consider multiple stakeholders and complex ecosystem interactions.
3. Solution
This article uses Brazilian climate-tech startup Lux Carbon Standard (LuxCS) as a case study to evaluate the role of anticipatory governance - a growing futures concept - in transforming VCMs. By applying climate and strategic foresight, systems thinking, and theories of change, LuxCS is building a democratized, transparent, and effective carbon credit market, initially adapted to Brazil and its biomes. Alongside their foresight integration, LuxCS is using cutting edge techniques including blockchain, satellite monitoring, and innovative biodiversity calculations, to verify the integrity of carbon credits. LuxCS is driving systemic change in VCMs, as their standards can be scaled globally. Nevertheless, while the opportunities are great, this study also explores foresight exercises that reveal how LuxCS’ strategy could result in perverse outcomes for VCMs and the energy transition as a whole.
Impact / Outcome
1. Strategic foresight tools have enabled LuxCS and its partners to navigate deep uncertainty, providing actionable frameworks for decision-making and long-term planning in the VCM ecosystem. 2. By leveraging positive narratives and informed optimism, LuxCS is helping to shift perceptions around carbon markets. 3. LuxCS’s initiative democratizes market access, benefiting all stakeholders from local landowners to global buyers. 4. The integration of advanced technologies—such as blockchain, satellite monitoring, and innovative biodiversity metrics—has improved transparency, traceability, and the credibility of carbon credits. 5. LuxCS’s vision, together with Brazil’s evolving regulations, positions the country as a potential leader in global carbon markets. 6. Achieving this vision will require ongoing collective action and agency from all stakeholders. 7. Bill 182/2024 serves as a key regulatory lever for transforming global carbon markets. 8. Achieving a “virtuous tipping point” in the VCM will require ongoing collective action, agency, and the convergence of narratives, foresight, and systems change to ensure sustainable, high-integrity outcomes for all stakeholders.
Project North Star: Strategic Foresight for U.S. Grand Strategy
The Aerospace Corporation
July 17, 2023
Cunzeman, K. C., and Dickey, R. Project North Star: Strategic Foresight for U.S. Grand Strategy, The Aerospace Corporation, July, 2023.
Synopsis:
Member of Advisor Committee working with the Foresight Strategy team at The Aerospace Corporation. In response to challenging and urgent issues, we explore the concept of U.S. National Grand Strategy and investigate how strategic foresighting methodologies could be used to formulate grand strategies that are resilient in complex, unpredictable, and nonlinear environments.
Association of Professional Futurists (APF) Foresight Evaluation Task Force Report
Association of Professional Futurists.
December 23, 2022
Association of Professional Futurists. APF Foresight Evaluation Task Force Report, December 23, 2022.
Official link:
Synopsis:
Member of Foresight Evaluation Task Force Committee: Building Field and Foresight Practitioner Evaluation Capacity. The APF Foresight Evaluation Task Force explored the challenges and opportunities for expanding foresight evaluation capacity, including surveying the APF membership on existing evaluation capacity. It used this information to guide the development of useful and accessible evaluation capacity-building resources.
NASA Futures Roundtables: Exploring Challenges and Opportunities for NASA in the Emerging Environment
NASA
November 16, 2022
NASA Futures Roundtables: Exploring Challenges and Opportunities for NASA in the Emerging Environment, November 16, 2022
Citation:
Office of Technology, Policy, and Strategy. NASA Futures Roundtables: Exploring Challenges and Opportunities for NASA in the Emerging Environment, NASA, November 16, 2022.
Indian Society of Artificial Intelligence and Law, Conference Proceedings of the Indian Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Law: AI & Glocalization in Law
Indian Society of Artificial Intelligence and Law
October 17, 2020
Spitz, R. “Algorithmic Diplomacy, Geopolitics, and International Law: A New Era”. In Conference Proceedings of the Indian Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Law: AI & Glocalization in Law, Indian Society of Artificial Intelligence and Law, October 17, 2020.
While the definitions of trends, megatrends, or metatrends may be subjective, typical trend reports have features in common. First, they are derived from the past, extrapolating history towards the future. Second, even when unrelated, trends are presented as interacting predictably with each other. Third, trend analysis does not account for second- or third-order consequences, implying continuity and a lack of spillovers.
Extrapolating trends is dangerous, especially when they compound flawed assumptions. With time, assumptions magnify; wrong assumptions cascade and blow up.
Trends are not the finality - they are an initial base on which to build, imagine, and explore possible scenarios of the many diverse futures ahead. But the greater the pace of change, the harder it may be to understand the long-term trajectory of a metatrend from looking in the rearview mirror.
"Metaruptions" Drive Systemic Disruption:
To contrast Naisbitt’s megatrends, Roger Spitz's Disruptive Futures Institute coined the term “metaruptions”. A metaruption is a multidimensional family of systemic disruptions.
Metaruptions cause widespread, self-perpetuating effects that extend beyond their initial disruptions. As early changes spill over, impacts combine, propagate, and modify other elements within the system, ultimately disrupting the disruption itself. Imagining the interplay of metaruptions is a creative endeavour, not a number-crunching exercise.
Metaruptions defy rulebooks. We must envision the questions to be asked - and delve into the questions behind the questions. Metaruptions require adaptive problem finding and resilient solutions amidst incomprehensibility.
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From Foresight to Zeitgeist: Prophetic “Metaruptions” Define the Decade as the Era of Systemic Change
Disruptive Futures Institute Defines 2026 as a Critical Threshold for the ‘Decade of Techistentialism’
Disruptive Futures Institute Names “Metaruptions” 2026 Word of the Year
Foresight is Dead. Long Live Foresight. How Can Futurists Shape a Future Already Colliding with the Present?
Disruptive Futures Institute Celebrates 5 Years of Guiding Leaders with Ancient Wisdom for Modern Uncertainty
Unpredictability & Adaptive Risk Management for our Deeply Uncertain World
Disruptive Futures Institute Reveals the Secrets Behind Global Impact in New Article Series
Metaruptions and the End of Trends: 5 Ways to Prepare for Systemic Disruption
'Disrupt With Impact' by Roger Spitz Named Finalist for Another Prestigious Best Book Award
How agency, foresight and the right narratives can create virtuous tipping points
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s Frameworks, Tools, and Language [1/4]
The Disruptive Futures Institute’s Frameworks & Methodologies [2/4]
The Toolkits of the Disruptive Futures Institute [3/4]
Language & Core Concepts of the Disruptive Futures Institute [4/4]
Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume III - Beta Your Life: Existence in a Disruptive World
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume I - Reframing and Navigating Disruption
From Visionary Warning to Academic Standard: Spitz’s Disrupt With Impact as Essential Manual for 2026 Executive Programs
Roger Spitz’s 'Disrupt With Impact' Wins Fourth Award, Honored by Readers’ Favorite International Book Contest
Readers' Favorite is proud to announce that "Disrupt With Impact" by Roger Spitz won the Bronze Medal in the Non-Fiction - Business/Finance category.
Roger Spitz’s Book "Disrupt with Impact" Named Finalist in the Prestigious Chanticleer International Book Awards
The AAA Framework: Responsible Leadership for Sustainable Futures, in Anticipatory Governance: Shaping a Responsible Future
Disruptive Futures Institute
Techistential (Strategic Foresight & Sustainable Futures)
Policrise ou Polipreparação? Conheça as metadisrupções
Leading Futurist Roger Spitz Keynote Speaker at Trust Forward Summit by Cloudflare
From Silicon Valley to Bengaluru: Roger Spitz Solidifies Status as #1 Futurist Keynote Speaker for 2026
Distinguished Leadership Innovation Conference (DLIC 2026)
MIT Technology Review EmTech Brasil - Closing Keynote
Roger Spitz Launches Special Edition Speaking Series on the Future of Risk, Unpredictability, and Finance
Risk in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence
Roger Spitz Delivers Acclaimed Keynotes in Washington D.C. as Part of 2025 Global Speaking Tour
Unpredictability for Chemical Engineers
Distinguished Leadership Conference To Tackle Digital Change
From Foresight to Zeitgeist: 'Metaruptions' Named Word of the Year as New Framework for Systemic Change Goes Mainstream
Risco existencial da IA está em como ela afeta nossa liberdade de escolha’, diz futurista
The Future of Risk & Insurability: World Economic Forum TV - Introduction Clip with Roger Spitz
The AAA Framework for Resiliency: World Economic Forum TV Session Clip with Roger Spitz
Techistentialism: Trust, Agency, and Decision-Making in Tech Acceleration
CPD Strategic Foresight in Action with Roger Spitz (Part 2)
Bloomberg Quote of the Day
My Word For 2026 Is Metaruption—And It Changes How Leaders Must Think
Global Gurus Ranks Roger Spitz Among World’s Top 30 Futurist Professionals for 2026
Global Gurus Ranks Roger Spitz #15 Among World’s Top 30 Futurist Professionals for 2026
Roger Spitz Named Leading Futurist Speaker for 2025
Disruptive Futures Institute - Roger Spitz Speaking
The Speakers Agency - Roger Spitz
AAE Speakers - Roger Spitz: The Leading Speakers Bureau for Booking Top Entertainment, Celebrities, and Speakers.
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London Speaker Bureau: Roger Spitz - World-leading authority on strategic foresight, sustainable futures, and transformative change
Navigating the Unpredictable: Roger Spitz Unveils 2026 Global Speaking Agenda
Top Futurist Roger Spitz Embarks on Speaking & Media Tour in Brazil
The Visionary Trilogy: Roger Spitz Launches New Global Speaking Series
The Visionary Trilogy: Leading Futurist Roger Spitz Unveils Exclusive Global Speaking Series After Record-Breaking Book Tour
ROGER SPITZ OFFICIAL SPEAKER REEL 2026 | Global Futurist & Keynote Speaker
The Future of AI and Decision-Making in an Era of Systemic Disruption
